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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. DFB Pokal
  3. VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg

Result • DFB Pokal·VfB Stuttgart·SC Freiburg

DFB Pokal
DFB Pokal
Apr 23, 2026
18:45
high Confidence
WINNER
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.62
X4.20
24.75
Stadium
MHP Arena
high Confidence
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Away
Odds
11.62
X4.20
24.75
Stadium
MHP Arena
Win Probabilities
54%
VfB Stuttgart
29%
Draw
17%
SC Freiburg
Home1.6254%
Draw4.2029%
Away4.7517%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees a clash of momentum and history. Stuttgart's home fire meets Freiburg's winning streak, but the ancient ledger favors the visitors. A narrow home victory is written, yet the outcome hangs on a thread.

Our AI model analyzes this DFB Pokal fixture between VfB Stuttgart and SC Freiburg using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns VfB Stuttgart a 54% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and SC Freiburg a 17% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 13'
    Yellow Card: J. MakengoSC Freiburg
    Yellow Card: J. Makengo
  2. Yellow Card: N. Nartey
    15'
    Yellow Card: N. NarteyVfB Stuttgart
  3. 17'
    Yellow Card: J. ManzambiSC Freiburg
    Yellow Card: J. Manzambi
  4. Yellow Card: J. Leweling
    17'
    Yellow Card: J. LewelingVfB Stuttgart
  5. 28'
    Goal: M. EggesteinSC Freiburg · Assist: M. Ginter
    Goal: M. EggesteinAssist: M. Ginter
  6. 56'
    Yellow Card: V. GrifoSC Freiburg
    Yellow Card: V. Grifo
  7. VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideA. Stiller
    61'
    VAR: VAR · Goal Disallowed - offsideVfB Stuttgart · A. Stiller
  8. Substitution: B. El KhannoussOut: N. Nartey
    63'
    Substitution: B. El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart · Out: N. Nartey
  9. Goal: D. UndavAssist: B. El Khannouss
    70'
    Goal: D. UndavVfB Stuttgart · Assist: B. El Khannouss
  10. 71'
    Substitution: D. ScherhantSC Freiburg · Out: V. Grifo
    Substitution: D. ScherhantOut: V. Grifo
  11. 74'
    Yellow Card: I. MatanovicSC Freiburg
    Yellow Card: I. Matanovic
  12. 84'
    Substitution: L. HolerSC Freiburg · Out: I. Matanovic
    Substitution: L. HolerOut: I. Matanovic
  13. Substitution: T. TomasOut: E. Demirovic
    91'
    Substitution: T. TomasVfB Stuttgart · Out: E. Demirovic
  14. 94'
    Yellow Card: L. HolerSC Freiburg
    Yellow Card: L. Holer
  15. Yellow Card: R. Hendriks
    95'
    Yellow Card: R. HendriksVfB Stuttgart
  16. Substitution: L. JaquezOut: R. Hendriks
    98'
    Substitution: L. JaquezVfB Stuttgart · Out: R. Hendriks
  17. 101'
    Substitution: C. GunterSC Freiburg · Out: J. Makengo
    Substitution: C. GunterOut: J. Makengo
  18. 102'
    Substitution: L. KublerSC Freiburg · Out: J. Beste
    Substitution: L. KublerOut: J. Beste
  19. 113'
    Substitution: B. OgbusSC Freiburg · Out: P. Treu
    Substitution: B. OgbusOut: P. Treu
  20. Substitution: B. BouananiOut: C. Fuhrich
    118'
    Substitution: B. BouananiVfB Stuttgart · Out: C. Fuhrich
  21. Substitution: J. VagnomanOut: D. Undav
    118'
    Substitution: J. VagnomanVfB Stuttgart · Out: D. Undav
  22. Goal: T. TomasAssist: B. El Khannouss
    119'
    Goal: T. TomasVfB Stuttgart · Assist: B. El Khannouss
  23. Yellow Card: T. Tomas
    120+1'
    Yellow Card: T. TomasVfB Stuttgart
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1D. Undav vs M. Ginter: Undav's goal-scoring prowess against Ginter's defensive leadership, though Ginter is doubtful.
2B. El Khannouss vs L. Höler: Creative midfielder vs forward; both are key to their team's attacking transitions.
3J. Diehl vs J. Manzambi: Diehl's pace on the wing vs Manzambi's dribbling; could decide wide areas.
Strengths · Weaknesses

VfB Stuttgart

  • Strong attack (57% rating)
  • Home advantage
  • Defensive vulnerability (33% rating)
  • Recent loss streak

SC Freiburg

  • Excellent recent form (4 wins)
  • Solid defense (67% rating)
  • Slightly weaker attack (43% rating)
  • Several doubtful players

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
54%
API-Football
45%
50%
VfB Stuttgart503714

Moderate agreement on home win (50%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, VfB Stuttgart is the predicted winner with a 55% probability, though the match is expected to be competitive.

Form Analysis: VfB Stuttgart has a mixed recent form (LWLWW) with 2.2 goals scored per game but also conceding 2.0 on average. SC Freiburg is on a 4-match winning streak (WWLWL), scoring 2.2 goals per game and conceding only 1.0, showing strong momentum.

Key Factors: 1) SC Freiburg's excellent recent form and defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in last 5) challenge Stuttgart. 2) Head-to-head history favors Freiburg (6 wins vs 4 for Stuttgart in last 10 meetings). 3) Both teams have several doubtful players, but no confirmed key absences. 4) Home advantage for Stuttgart is moderate (rating 0.55).

Conclusion: While Stuttgart has home advantage and a slight edge in attack (57% vs 43%), Freiburg's form and H2H record make them dangerous. The odds and model both lean towards Stuttgart, but the margin is narrow.

Statistical ContextVfB Stuttgart

Double chance : VfB Stuttgart or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
VfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
51%Strength48%
57%Attacking Potential43%
33%Defensive Potential67%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
59%Goals H2H41%
51%Wins the Game48%
Head-to-head →Injuries · VfB StuttgartInjuries · SC Freiburg

Statistical Context

VfB Stuttgart

LWWLW
  • LSep 12, 26A · 1899 Hoffenheim2-1
  • WSep 9, 26H · Viking3-1
  • WSep 4, 26H · 1. FC Köln4-1
  • LAug 28, 26A · Bayern München5-1
  • WAug 21, 26A · Hansa Rostock0-4

SC Freiburg

WWWWW
  • WSep 12, 26H · Borussia Mönchengladbach5-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · SC Paderborn 070-1
  • WAug 30, 26H · Werder Bremen4-1
  • WAug 27, 26H · Motherwell4-1
  • WAug 23, 26A · Fortuna Düsseldorf1-5

Head to Head

4
VfB Stuttgart
0
Draws
6
SC Freiburg
  • Feb 1, 26VfB Stuttgart – SC Freiburg1-0
  • Sep 13, 25SC Freiburg – VfB Stuttgart3-1
  • Jan 18, 25VfB Stuttgart – SC Freiburg4-0
  • Aug 24, 24SC Freiburg – VfB Stuttgart3-1
  • Feb 3, 24SC Freiburg – VfB Stuttgart1-3

Season Statistics — 2026

VfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
Played22
Goals Scored55
Goals Conceded61
Avg Scored2.52.5
Avg Conceded3.00.5
Clean Sheets01

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

VfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
Over 2.5 Goals7/106/10
Both Teams Scored5/105/10
Clean Sheets4/104/10

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees a clash of momentum and history. Stuttgart's home fire meets Freiburg's winning streak, but the ancient ledger favors the visitors. A narrow home victory is written, yet the outcome hangs on a thread.

Based on the data, VfB Stuttgart is the predicted winner with a 55% probability, though the match is expected to be competitive.

Form Analysis: VfB Stuttgart has a mixed recent form (LWLWW) with 2.2 goals scored per game but also conceding 2.0 on average. SC Freiburg is on a 4-match winning streak (WWLWL), scoring 2.2 goals per game and conceding only 1.0, showing strong momentum.

Key Factors: 1) SC Freiburg's excellent recent form and defensive solidity (2 clean sheets in last 5) challenge Stuttgart. 2) Head-to-head history favors Freiburg (6 wins vs 4 for Stuttgart in last 10 meetings). 3) Both teams have several doubtful players, but no confirmed key absences. 4) Home advantage for Stuttgart is moderate (rating 0.55).

Conclusion: While Stuttgart has home advantage and a slight edge in attack (57% vs 43%), Freiburg's form and H2H record make them dangerous. The odds and model both lean towards Stuttgart, but the margin is narrow.

Win Probabilities: VfB Stuttgart: 54% · Draw: 29% · SC Freiburg: 17%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 60% · Under 2.5: 40% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: VfB Stuttgart wins: 4 · Draws: 0 · SC Freiburg wins: 6

Form (latest first): VfB Stuttgart: LWWLW · SC Freiburg: WWWWW

  • D. Undav vs M. Ginter: Undav's goal-scoring prowess against Ginter's defensive leadership, though Ginter is doubtful.
  • B. El Khannouss vs L. Höler: Creative midfielder vs forward; both are key to their team's attacking transitions.
  • J. Diehl vs J. Manzambi: Diehl's pace on the wing vs Manzambi's dribbling; could decide wide areas.

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