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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Super League 1
  3. Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Result • Super League 1·Asteras Tripolis·Olympiakos Piraeus

Super League 1
Super League 1
Aug 30, 2026
18:00
high Confidence
Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
17.10
X4.20
21.44
Stadium
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
Olympiakos Piraeus

Olympiakos Piraeus

Away
Odds
17.10
X4.20
21.44
Stadium
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Win Probabilities
11%
Asteras Tripolis
25%
Draw
64%
Olympiakos Piraeus
Home7.1011%
Draw4.2025%
Away1.4464%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Olympiakos Piraeus are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior league position. However, Asteras Tripolis' physical approach and the rainy conditions could make it a tighter contest than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Super League 1 fixture between Asteras Tripolis and Olympiakos Piraeus using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Asteras Tripolis a 11% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and Olympiakos Piraeus a 64% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 51%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 51%

Match Events

  1. 14'
    Yellow Card: P. RetsosOlympiakos Piraeus
    Yellow Card: P. Retsos
  2. 31'
    Goal: Jota SilvaOlympiakos Piraeus · Assist: M. Saliakas
    Goal: Jota SilvaAssist: M. Saliakas
  3. Yellow Card: K. Ketu
    39'
    Yellow Card: K. KetuAsteras Tripolis
  4. Yellow Card: D. Kourbelis
    41'
    Yellow Card: D. KourbelisAsteras Tripolis
  5. Yellow Card: F. Orozco
    45'
    Yellow Card: F. OrozcoAsteras Tripolis
  6. Substitution: B. PerezOut: J. Bartolo
    46'
    Substitution: B. PerezAsteras Tripolis · Out: J. Bartolo
  7. 58'
    Yellow Card: S. HezzeOlympiakos Piraeus
    Yellow Card: S. Hezze
  8. Substitution: B. KimpiokaOut: F. Orozco
    60'
    Substitution: B. KimpiokaAsteras Tripolis · Out: F. Orozco
  9. 64'
    Substitution: Z. SmajlovicOlympiakos Piraeus · Out: M. Saliakas
    Substitution: Z. SmajlovicOut: M. Saliakas
  10. 69'
    Substitution: A. GonzalezOlympiakos Piraeus · Out: J. Roca
    Substitution: A. GonzalezOut: J. Roca
  11. 69'
    Substitution: G. MartinsOlympiakos Piraeus · Out: Jota Silva
    Substitution: G. MartinsOut: Jota Silva
  12. 75'
    Substitution: R. FreulerOlympiakos Piraeus · Out: A. El Kaabi
    Substitution: R. FreulerOut: A. El Kaabi
  13. 75'
    Substitution: G. SaOlympiakos Piraeus · Out: L. Scipioni
    Substitution: G. SaOut: L. Scipioni
  14. Substitution: F. MachedaOut: Ricardinho
    75'
    Substitution: F. MachedaAsteras Tripolis · Out: Ricardinho
  15. Substitution: N. KaltsasOut: K. Ketu
    75'
    Substitution: N. KaltsasAsteras Tripolis · Out: K. Ketu
  16. Substitution: A. PapakanellosOut: G. Kotsiras
    82'
    Substitution: A. PapakanellosAsteras Tripolis · Out: G. Kotsiras
  17. 87'
    Yellow Card: R. FreulerOlympiakos Piraeus
    Yellow Card: R. Freuler
  18. 90+3'
    Yellow Card: N. TiknizyanOlympiakos Piraeus
    Yellow Card: N. Tiknizyan
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

3 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✓ hitPredicted 2.5 – 6.1Real 3 – 6Olympiakos Piraeus more corners✓ hit
Total corners—Predicted 8.6Real 9chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 3.8Real 7Over 2.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 0-1chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 3.4 – 4.4Real 3 – 7Olympiakos Piraeus more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 10.1 – 14.0Real 10 – 15chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Ayoub El Kaabi vs Dimitris Laskaris: El Kaabi's movement and finishing will test the Asteras center-back's positioning and aerial ability.
2Chiquinho vs Giannis Kotsiras: Chiquinho's pace and dribbling on the wing will challenge Kotsiras' defensive discipline.
3Santiago Hezze vs Dimitris Kourbelis: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Hezze's passing range against Kourbelis' defensive screening.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Asteras Tripolis

  • Solid defensive organization at home
  • Ability to score from set pieces
  • Poor recent form with two consecutive losses
  • Low scoring output (0.8 goals per game)

Olympiakos Piraeus

  • Superior overall squad quality
  • Strong defensive record with two clean sheets in last five
  • Inconsistent scoring, failed to score in two of last five
  • Potential complacency as clear favourites

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
64%
API-Football
45%
55%
Olympiakos Piraeus113554

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (55%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Olympiakos Piraeus are the clear favourites to win this Super League 1 encounter at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium. The market strongly favours the visitors, and the API-Football model also points to an away victory, albeit with a higher draw probability. With a superior league position, a stronger recent form, and a dominant head-to-head record, Olympiakos hold a decisive edge.

Form Analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus come into this match on the back of a win, while Asteras Tripolis have lost their last two matches. Although both teams have similar average goals scored (0.8 per game), Olympiakos have a slightly better defensive record with two clean sheets in their last five, compared to one for Asteras. The visitors also have a better goal difference in the standings (+1 vs -2).

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Olympiakos, who have won six of the last nine meetings, with Asteras winning only once. Additionally, the API-Football comparison gives Olympiakos a 64.7% overall strength rating versus 35.3% for Asteras, and a 100% defensive rating compared to 0% for the home side. The away team's superior form and defensive solidity are decisive.

Conclusion: All data points to an Olympiakos Piraeus victory. Their superior quality, recent form, and historical dominance over Asteras Tripolis make them the clear favourites. While a draw is possible, the evidence strongly supports an away win.

Statistical ContextOlympiakos Piraeus

Double chance : draw or Olympiakos Piraeus

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Asteras TripolisOlympiakos Piraeus
35%Strength64%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential100%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
27%Goals H2H73%
35%Wins the Game64%

More information

Super League 1 predicted line-ups: Gameweek 117/7Head-to-headAsteras Tripolis – Olympiakos PiraeusInjuriesAsteras TripolisInjuriesOlympiakos PiraeusLive scores

Statistical Context

Asteras Tripolis

DLDLW
  • DNov 8, 26H · Kalamata1-1
  • LNov 1, 26A · PAOK2-1
  • DOct 24, 26H · Levadiakos0-0
  • LOct 18, 26A · Panathinaikos5-1
  • WOct 10, 26H · Atromitos2-1

Olympiakos Piraeus

DDWWW
  • DNov 8, 26H · PAOK1-1
  • DNov 4, 26A · Rennes0-0
  • WOct 31, 26A · Kifisia2-3
  • WOct 25, 26H · Kalamata5-0
  • WOct 22, 26H · Sparta Praha1-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Panathinaikos10+1727WWWWL
2Olympiakos Piraeus10+1123DWWWW
3AEK Athens FC9+1720WLWWW
10Panetolikos10-129LLLLL
11Asteras Tripolis10-97DLDLW
12Atromitos9-36DWLLL

Head to Head

1
Asteras Tripolis
2
Draws
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
  • Feb 4, 26Asteras Tripolis – Olympiakos Piraeus0-3
  • Sep 24, 25Asteras Tripolis – Olympiakos Piraeus1-2
  • Aug 23, 25Olympiakos Piraeus – Asteras Tripolis2-0
  • Feb 9, 25Olympiakos Piraeus – Asteras Tripolis1-1
  • Oct 27, 24Asteras Tripolis – Olympiakos Piraeus1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Asteras TripolisOlympiakos Piraeus
Played99
Goals Scored815
Goals Conceded174
Avg Scored0.91.7
Avg Conceded1.90.4
Clean Sheets16

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Asteras TripolisOlympiakos Piraeus
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—5/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus — Match Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus are clear favourites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior league position. However, Asteras Tripolis' physical approach and the rainy conditions could make it a tighter contest than expected.

Olympiakos Piraeus are the clear favourites to win this Super League 1 encounter at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium. The market strongly favours the visitors, and the API-Football model also points to an away victory, albeit with a higher draw probability. With a superior league position, a stronger recent form, and a dominant head-to-head record, Olympiakos hold a decisive edge.

Form Analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus come into this match on the back of a win, while Asteras Tripolis have lost their last two matches. Although both teams have similar average goals scored (0.8 per game), Olympiakos have a slightly better defensive record with two clean sheets in their last five, compared to one for Asteras. The visitors also have a better goal difference in the standings (+1 vs -2).

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Olympiakos, who have won six of the last nine meetings, with Asteras winning only once. Additionally, the API-Football comparison gives Olympiakos a 64.7% overall strength rating versus 35.3% for Asteras, and a 100% defensive rating compared to 0% for the home side. The away team's superior form and defensive solidity are decisive.

Conclusion: All data points to an Olympiakos Piraeus victory. Their superior quality, recent form, and historical dominance over Asteras Tripolis make them the clear favourites. While a draw is possible, the evidence strongly supports an away win.

Win Probabilities: Asteras Tripolis: 11% · Draw: 25% · Olympiakos Piraeus: 64%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 46% · Under 2.5: 54% · BTTS: 51%

H2H: Asteras Tripolis wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Olympiakos Piraeus wins: 6

Form (latest first): Asteras Tripolis: DLDLW · Olympiakos Piraeus: DDWWW

  • Ayoub El Kaabi vs Dimitris Laskaris: El Kaabi's movement and finishing will test the Asteras center-back's positioning and aerial ability.
  • Chiquinho vs Giannis Kotsiras: Chiquinho's pace and dribbling on the wing will challenge Kotsiras' defensive discipline.
  • Santiago Hezze vs Dimitris Kourbelis: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Hezze's passing range against Kourbelis' defensive screening.

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Super League 1

Super League 1

Greece15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Super League 1Greece
Kalamata
Nov 2117:30
AEK Athens FC
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%
Super League 1Greece
Levadiakos
Nov 2214:00
Atromitos
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Super League 1Greece
Panetolikos
Nov 2215:00
Volos NFC
Early projection
11.3972%
X6.6715%
27.6913%
Super League 1Greece
Panathinaikos
Nov 2215:30
OFI
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Super League 1Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
Nov 2217:00
Iraklis 1908
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Super League 1Greece
PAOK
Nov 2217:30
Kifisia
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.2516%
27.6913%
Super League 1Greece
Asteras Tripolis
Nov 2315:00
Aris Thessalonikis
Early projection
14.3523%
X5.0020%
21.7557%
Super League 1Greece
Volos NFC
Nov 2815:00
Asteras Tripolis
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Super League 1Greece
Kifisia
Nov 2818:00
Kalamata
Early projection
11.9651%
X4.5522%
23.7027%
Super League 1Greece
Iraklis 1908
Nov 2819:00
Panetolikos
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Super League 1Greece
Atromitos
Nov 2915:00
Panathinaikos
Early projection
116.676%
X8.3312%
21.2282%
Super League 1Greece
OFI
Nov 2915:30
Levadiakos
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
Super League 1Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
Nov 2917:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Super League 1Greece
AEK Athens FC
Nov 2919:00
PAOK
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Super League 1Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
Dec 518:00
AEK Athens FC
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%

Betting Tips

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