Derry City host Dundalk in the Premier Division on Friday, 23 October 2026. Our model makes Derry City the favourite at 57%, with the draw at 22% and Dundalk at 21%.
Form and league position
Derry City sit 5th of 10 with 44 points from 34 games (46 scored, 44 conceded), recent form W-D-W-L-W. Dundalk sit 6th of 10 with 42 points from 34 games (51 scored, 56 conceded), recent form D-L-L-L-D.
Head-to-head record
The two sides have met 3 times in our records: Derry City won 0, Dundalk won 1 and 2 ended level, with an average of 3.7 goals per meeting.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.6–1.3, about 2.9 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 59%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Derry City at 1.73, the draw at 3.90 and Dundalk at 4.18; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Derry City to win (57%), most likely score 2-1.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
