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  1. Home
  2. Premier Division
  3. Sligo Rovers vs Derry City

Sligo Rovers vs Derry City

Result • Premier Division·Sligo Rovers·Derry City

Premier Division
Premier Division
Oct 30, 2026
19:45
high Confidence
DRAW
Sligo Rovers

Sligo Rovers

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
15.00
X4.00
21.53
Stadium
The Showgrounds
high Confidence
DRAW
Derry City

Derry City

Away
Odds
15.00
X4.00
21.53
Stadium
The Showgrounds
Win Probabilities
17%
Sligo Rovers
19%
Draw
64%
Derry City
Home5.0017%
Draw4.0019%
Away1.5364%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Derry City are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier Division fixture between Sligo Rovers and Derry City using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sligo Rovers a 17% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and Derry City a 64% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Gareth McElroy
    25'
    Goal: Gareth McElroySligo Rovers
  2. Goal: Ryan O'Kane
    37'
    Goal: Ryan O'KaneSligo Rovers
  3. 41'
    Substitution: Jamie StottDerry City · Out: Ciaran Grogan
    Substitution: Jamie StottOut: Ciaran Grogan
  4. Substitution: O.DenhamOut: sean stewart
    45'
    Substitution: O.DenhamSligo Rovers · Out: sean stewart
  5. 45'
    Substitution: Tom NorcottDerry City · Out: Brian Maher
    Substitution: Tom NorcottOut: Brian Maher
  6. Red Card: Kaiyne Woolery
    48'
    Red Card: Kaiyne WoolerySligo Rovers
  7. 49'
    Yellow Card: Brooklyn Lyons-FosterDerry City
    Yellow Card: Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
  8. 51'
    Substitution: Liam KellyDerry City · Out: James Olayinka
    Substitution: Liam KellyOut: James Olayinka
  9. Substitution: Cian KavanaghOut: Jack Shorrock
    56'
    Substitution: Cian KavanaghSligo Rovers · Out: Jack Shorrock
  10. Substitution: James McManusOut: Ryan O'Kane
    67'
    Substitution: James McManusSligo Rovers · Out: Ryan O'Kane
  11. 70'
    Yellow Card: Tyler·SmithDerry City
    Yellow Card: Tyler·Smith
  12. 71'
    Substitution: Liam BoyceDerry City · Out: Tyler·Smith
    Substitution: Liam BoyceOut: Tyler·Smith
  13. 71'
    Substitution: Yoann PrigentDerry City · Out: Darragh Markey
    Substitution: Yoann PrigentOut: Darragh Markey
  14. Yellow Card: Cian Kavanagh
    76'
    Yellow Card: Cian KavanaghSligo Rovers
  15. 77'
    Goal: Terence DohertyDerry City · Assist: Gavin Whyte
    Goal: Terence DohertyAssist: Gavin Whyte
  16. Substitution: Ruben GillespieOut: Daire Patton
    80'
    Substitution: Ruben GillespieSligo Rovers · Out: Daire Patton
  17. 82'
    Goal: Terence DohertyDerry City · Assist: Conor Barry
    Goal: Terence DohertyAssist: Conor Barry
  18. 89'
    Yellow Card: Yoann PrigentDerry City
    Yellow Card: Yoann Prigent
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

1 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Sligo Rovers 2-2 Derry City
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✗ missPredicted 3.5 – 7.5Real 3 – 3Derry City more corners✗ miss
Total corners—Predicted 11.0Real 6chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 3.7Real 4Over 2.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 2-0chances only—
Shots on target✗ missPredicted 4.1 – 5.2Real 5 – 5Derry City more shots on target✗ miss
Total shots—Predicted 12.7 – 17.4Real 8 – 14chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Premier Division predicted line-ups: Gameweek 365/5Line-upsSligo Rovers – Derry CityHead-to-headSligo Rovers – Derry CityInjuriesSligo RoversInjuriesDerry CityLive scores

Statistical Context

Sligo Rovers

LDLLL
  • LOct 23, 26A · Shamrock Rovers4-0
  • DOct 17, 26H · Dundalk1-1
  • LOct 9, 26A · Shelbourne5-1
  • LSep 19, 26H · St Patrick's Athl.0-1
  • LSep 14, 26H · Galway United1-3

Derry City

WWLWD
  • WOct 23, 26H · Dundalk2-1
  • WOct 19, 26H · St Patrick's Athl.1-0
  • LOct 16, 26A · Drogheda United2-0
  • WSep 18, 26H · Galway United1-0
  • DSep 14, 26A · Waterford2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Shelbourne36+249LWWWD
5Derry City36+348DWWLW
6Dundalk36-445WLDLL
7Waterford36-743WWWLL
8Galway United36-742LDLWD
9Drogheda United36-1340WLWLL
10Sligo Rovers36-3825DLDLL

Head to Head

0
Sligo Rovers
1
Draws
3
Derry City
  • Aug 7, 26Derry City – Sligo Rovers2-0
  • Apr 6, 26Sligo Rovers – Derry City0-0
  • Feb 6, 26Derry City – Sligo Rovers2-1
  • Oct 5, 25Derry City – Sligo Rovers1-0

Sligo Rovers vs Derry City — Match Analysis

Derry City are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 0-1.

Sligo Rovers host Derry City in the Premier Division on Friday, 30 October 2026. Our model makes Derry City the favourite at 64%, with the draw at 19% and Sligo Rovers at 17%.

Form and league position

Sligo Rovers sit 10th of 10 with 24 points from 35 games (26 scored, 64 conceded), recent form L-L-L-D-L. Derry City sit 5th of 10 with 47 points from 35 games (48 scored, 45 conceded), recent form D-W-L-W-W.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 4 times in our records: Sligo Rovers won 0, Derry City won 3 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.1–1.5, about 2.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Sligo Rovers at 5.00, the draw at 3.95 and Derry City at 1.60; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Derry City to win (64%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Sligo Rovers: 17% · Draw: 19% · Derry City: 64%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (10.2% chance)

Over 2.5: 47% · Under 2.5: 53% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Sligo Rovers wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · Derry City wins: 3

Form (latest first): Sligo Rovers: LDLLL · Derry City: WWLWD

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