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  1. Home
  2. Premier Division
  3. Shelbourne vs Derry City

Shelbourne vs Derry City

Result • Premier Division·Shelbourne·Derry City

Premier Division
Premier Division
Sep 11, 2026
18:45
low Confidence
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.30
X3.25
22.90
Stadium
Tolka Park
low Confidence
WINNER
Derry City

Derry City

Away
Odds
12.30
X3.25
22.90
Stadium
Tolka Park
Win Probabilities
41%
Shelbourne
27%
Draw
32%
Derry City
Home2.3041%
Draw3.2527%
Away2.9032%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Shelbourne are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier Division fixture between Shelbourne and Derry City using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Shelbourne a 41% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Derry City a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 57%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 57%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Odhran Casey
    27'
    Yellow Card: Odhran CaseyShelbourne
  2. Yellow Card: Jonathan Lunney
    50'
    Yellow Card: Jonathan LunneyShelbourne
  3. Substitution: Sean MooreOut: Alistair Coote
    57'
    Substitution: Sean MooreShelbourne · Out: Alistair Coote
  4. Substitution: Sean BoydOut: Ademipo Odubeko
    57'
    Substitution: Sean BoydShelbourne · Out: Ademipo Odubeko
  5. Substitution: Jack Henry-FrancisOut: Jonathan Lunney
    58'
    Substitution: Jack Henry-FrancisShelbourne · Out: Jonathan Lunney
  6. 59'
    Substitution: James ClarkeDerry City · Out: Darragh Burns
    Substitution: James ClarkeOut: Darragh Burns
  7. 59'
    Substitution: Liam BoyceDerry City · Out: Tyler·Smith
    Substitution: Liam BoyceOut: Tyler·Smith
  8. 65'
    Yellow Card: Adam O'ReillyDerry City
    Yellow Card: Adam O'Reilly
  9. 69'
    Yellow Card: Liam BoyceDerry City
    Yellow Card: Liam Boyce
  10. 72'
    Substitution: Kévin SantosDerry City · Out: Ellis Chapman
    Substitution: Kévin SantosOut: Ellis Chapman
  11. Substitution: Rodrigo Costa FreitasOut: Evan Caffrey
    76'
    Substitution: Rodrigo Costa FreitasShelbourne · Out: Evan Caffrey
  12. 83'
    Yellow Card: nick twiskDerry City
    Yellow Card: nick twisk
  13. Substitution: Sean GannonOut: Milan Bernhard Mbeng
    83'
    Substitution: Sean GannonShelbourne · Out: Milan Bernhard Mbeng
  14. 90+3'
    Goal: Michael DuffyDerry City · Assist: James Clarke
    Goal: Michael DuffyAssist: James Clarke
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headShelbourne – Derry CityInjuriesShelbourneInjuriesDerry CityLive scores

Statistical Context

Shelbourne

WWWDW
  • WOct 23, 26A · Bohemians0-1
  • WOct 16, 26A · St Patrick's Athl.1-2
  • WOct 9, 26H · Sligo Rovers5-1
  • DSep 25, 26A · Galway United1-1
  • WSep 18, 26A · Dundalk2-3

Derry City

WWLWD
  • WOct 23, 26H · Dundalk2-1
  • WOct 19, 26H · St Patrick's Athl.1-0
  • LOct 16, 26A · Drogheda United2-0
  • WSep 18, 26H · Galway United1-0
  • DSep 14, 26A · Waterford2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3St Patrick's Athl.35+2560DLLWW
4Shelbourne35+349WWWDW
5Derry City35+347WWLWD
6Galway United35-542DLWDL

Head to Head

1
Shelbourne
2
Draws
1
Derry City
  • May 25, 26Derry City – Shelbourne0-0
  • Apr 17, 26Shelbourne – Derry City1-2
  • Mar 13, 26Derry City – Shelbourne1-2
  • Sep 19, 25Derry City – Shelbourne1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

ShelbourneDerry City
Played3—
Goals Scored7—
Goals Conceded7—
Avg Scored2.3—
Avg Conceded2.3—
Clean Sheets0—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ShelbourneDerry City
Over 2.5 Goals4/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Shelbourne vs Derry City — Match Analysis

Shelbourne are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 2-1.

Shelbourne host Derry City in the Premier Division on Friday, 11 September 2026. Our model makes Shelbourne the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 27% and Derry City at 32%.

Form and league position

Shelbourne sit 5th of 10 with 36 points from 28 games (37 scored, 39 conceded), recent form L-L-D-D-D. Derry City sit 6th of 10 with 34 points from 29 games (41 scored, 40 conceded), recent form L-D-W-L-D.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 4 times in our records: Shelbourne won 1, Derry City won 1 and 2 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.4–1.3, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Shelbourne at 2.34, the draw at 3.34 and Derry City at 2.93; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Shelbourne to win (41%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Shelbourne: 41% · Draw: 27% · Derry City: 32%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 52% · Under 2.5: 48% · BTTS: 57%

H2H: Shelbourne wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Derry City wins: 1

Form (latest first): Shelbourne: WWWDW · Derry City: WWLWD

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Premier Division

Premier Division

Ireland5 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier DivisionIreland
Dundalk
Oct 3019:45
Shamrock Rovers
13.5728%
X3.7027%
22.2245%
Premier DivisionIreland
Sligo Rovers
Oct 3019:45
Derry City
15.2619%
X4.7621%
21.6760%
Premier DivisionIreland
St Patrick's Athl.
Oct 3019:45
Bohemians
12.1746%
X3.8526%
23.5728%
Premier DivisionIreland
Drogheda United
Oct 3019:45
Galway United
12.3842%
X3.5728%
23.3330%
Premier DivisionIreland
Shelbourne
Oct 3019:45
Waterford
11.9651%
X4.1724%
24.0025%

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