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  1. Home
  2. Premier Division
  3. Shelbourne vs Derry City

Shelbourne vs Derry City

Result • Premier Division·Shelbourne·Derry City

Premier Division
Premier Division
Sep 11, 2026
18:45
low Confidence
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

Home
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
0-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.30
X3.25
22.90
Stadium
Tolka Park
low Confidence
WINNER
Derry City

Derry City

Away
Odds
12.30
X3.25
22.90
Stadium
Tolka Park
Win Probabilities
41%
Shelbourne
27%
Draw
32%
Derry City
Home2.3041%
Draw3.2527%
Away2.9032%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Shelbourne are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier Division fixture between Shelbourne and Derry City using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Shelbourne a 41% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Derry City a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 57%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 57%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · ShelbourneInjuries · Derry City</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Shelbourne

DDDLL
  • DSep 4, 26A · Shamrock Rovers0-0
  • DAug 28, 26A · Galway United1-1
  • DAug 13, 26H · Ajax2-2
  • LAug 9, 26H · St Patrick's Athl.1-2
  • LAug 6, 26A · Ajax3-1

Derry City

DLWDL
  • DAug 30, 26H · Shamrock Rovers3-3
  • LAug 21, 26A · Bohemians5-3
  • WAug 7, 26H · Sligo Rovers2-0
  • DAug 2, 26A · St Patrick's Athl.1-1
  • LJul 30, 26H · HNK Rijeka0-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Dundalk29+140WLLDD
5Shelbourne28-236DDLLW
6Derry City29+134DLWDL
7Galway United28-634DWDDD

Head to Head

1
Shelbourne
2
Draws
1
Derry City
  • May 25, 26Derry City – Shelbourne0-0
  • Apr 17, 26Shelbourne – Derry City1-2
  • Mar 13, 26Derry City – Shelbourne1-2
  • Sep 19, 25Derry City – Shelbourne1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

ShelbourneDerry City
Played3—
Goals Scored7—
Goals Conceded7—
Avg Scored2.3—
Avg Conceded2.3—
Clean Sheets0—

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

ShelbourneDerry City
Over 2.5 Goals4/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Shelbourne vs Derry City — Match Analysis

Shelbourne are favoured at 41%; our projected score is 2-1.

Shelbourne host Derry City in the Premier Division on Friday, 11 September 2026. Our model makes Shelbourne the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 27% and Derry City at 32%.

Form and league position

Shelbourne sit 5th of 10 with 36 points from 28 games (37 scored, 39 conceded), recent form L-L-D-D-D. Derry City sit 6th of 10 with 34 points from 29 games (41 scored, 40 conceded), recent form L-D-W-L-D.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 4 times in our records: Shelbourne won 1, Derry City won 1 and 2 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.4–1.3, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Shelbourne at 2.34, the draw at 3.34 and Derry City at 2.93; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Shelbourne to win (41%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Shelbourne: 41% · Draw: 27% · Derry City: 32%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.6% chance)

Over 2.5: 52% · Under 2.5: 48% · BTTS: 57%

H2H: Shelbourne wins: 1 · Draws: 2 · Derry City wins: 1

Form (latest first): Shelbourne: DDDLL · Derry City: DLWDL

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Premier Division

Premier Division

Ireland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier DivisionIreland
Dundalk
Sep 1418:45
St Patrick's Athl.
13.3330%
X3.7027%
22.3343%
Premier DivisionIreland
Sligo Rovers
Sep 1418:45
Galway United
13.1332%
X3.7027%
22.4441%
Premier DivisionIreland
Waterford
Sep 1418:45
Derry City
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Premier DivisionIreland
Shelbourne
Sep 1418:45
Drogheda United
11.7956%
X4.3523%
24.7621%
Premier DivisionIreland
Dundalk
Sep 1818:45
Shelbourne
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Premier DivisionIreland
Derry City
Sep 1818:45
Galway United
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Premier DivisionIreland
Shamrock Rovers
Sep 1819:00
Waterford
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Premier DivisionIreland
Bohemians
Sep 1819:00
Drogheda United
11.5465%
X5.5618%
25.8817%
Premier DivisionIreland
Sligo Rovers
Sep 1918:45
St Patrick's Athl.
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Premier DivisionIreland
Galway United
Sep 2518:45
Shelbourne
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Premier DivisionIreland
Dundalk
Oct 918:45
Bohemians
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
Premier DivisionIreland
Derry City
Oct 918:45
St Patrick's Athl.
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Premier DivisionIreland
Waterford
Oct 918:45
Galway United
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Premier DivisionIreland
Shelbourne
Oct 918:45
Sligo Rovers
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Premier DivisionIreland
Shamrock Rovers
Oct 919:00
Drogheda United
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%

Betting Tips

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