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  1. Home
  2. Premier Division
  3. Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.

Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.

Result • Premier Division·Dundalk·St Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division
Premier Division
Sep 14, 2026
18:45
medium Confidence
Dundalk

Dundalk

Home
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
0-4
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.20
X3.45
22.14
Stadium
Oriel Park
medium Confidence
WINNER
St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

Away
Odds
13.20
X3.45
22.14
Stadium
Oriel Park
Win Probabilities
30%
Dundalk
26%
Draw
44%
St Patrick's Athl.
Home3.2030%
Draw3.4526%
Away2.1444%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

St Patrick's Athl. are favoured at 45%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this Premier Division fixture between Dundalk and St Patrick's Athl. using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Dundalk a 30% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and St Patrick's Athl. a 44% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 56%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 56%

Match Events

  1. 21'
    Goal: Aidan KeenaSt Patrick's Athl. · Assist: Anthony Olusanya
    Goal: Aidan KeenaAssist: Anthony Olusanya
  2. 29'
    Yellow Card: Anthony OlusanyaSt Patrick's Athl.
    Yellow Card: Anthony Olusanya
  3. 37'
    Goal: Aidan KeenaSt Patrick's Athl.
    Goal: Aidan Keena
  4. Substitution: John Ross WilsonOut: Luke Mulligan
    45'
    Substitution: John Ross WilsonDundalk · Out: Luke Mulligan
  5. Substitution: shane traceyOut: Harry Groome
    45'
    Substitution: shane traceyDundalk · Out: Harry Groome
  6. Substitution: leonardo gaxhaOut: Cian dillon
    55'
    Substitution: leonardo gaxhaDundalk · Out: Cian dillon
  7. 58'
    Substitution: Darragh NugentSt Patrick's Athl. · Out: Barry Baggley
    Substitution: Darragh NugentOut: Barry Baggley
  8. 58'
    Substitution: James BrownSt Patrick's Athl. · Out: Zachary Elbouzedi
    Substitution: James BrownOut: Zachary Elbouzedi
  9. Yellow Card: leonardo gaxha
    69'
    Yellow Card: leonardo gaxhaDundalk
  10. Substitution: Harvey WarrenOut: Aodh Dervin
    69'
    Substitution: Harvey WarrenDundalk · Out: Aodh Dervin
  11. 69'
    Substitution: Ryan EdmondsonSt Patrick's Athl. · Out: Aidan Keena
    Substitution: Ryan EdmondsonOut: Aidan Keena
  12. 75'
    Goal: Ryan SheridanSt Patrick's Athl. · Assist: Anthony Olusanya
    Goal: Ryan SheridanAssist: Anthony Olusanya
  13. Substitution: Declan McDaidOut: Trevor Clarke
    76'
    Substitution: Declan McDaidDundalk · Out: Trevor Clarke
  14. 79'
    Substitution: Christopher ForresterSt Patrick's Athl. · Out: Ryan Sheridan
    Substitution: Christopher ForresterOut: Ryan Sheridan
  15. 79'
    Substitution: Romal PalmerSt Patrick's Athl. · Out: Anthony Olusanya
    Substitution: Romal PalmerOut: Anthony Olusanya
  16. 82'
    Goal: Ryan EdmondsonSt Patrick's Athl.
    Goal: Ryan Edmondson
  17. Yellow Card: Harvey Warren
    83'
    Yellow Card: Harvey WarrenDundalk
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headDundalk – St Patrick's Athl.InjuriesDundalkInjuriesSt Patrick's Athl.Live scores

Statistical Context

Dundalk

LDLLD
  • LOct 23, 26A · Derry City2-1
  • DOct 17, 26A · Sligo Rovers1-1
  • LOct 2, 26H · Bohemians1-2
  • LSep 18, 26H · Shelbourne2-3
  • DSep 11, 26A · Waterford1-1

St Patrick's Athl.

DLLWW
  • DOct 23, 26A · Galway United0-0
  • LOct 19, 26A · Derry City1-0
  • LOct 16, 26H · Shelbourne1-2
  • WSep 19, 26A · Sligo Rovers0-1
  • WSep 11, 26H · Shamrock Rovers2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Bohemians35+1862LWLWW
3St Patrick's Athl.35+2560DLLWW
4Shelbourne35+349WWWDW
5Derry City35+347WWLWD
6Galway United35-542DLWDL
7Dundalk35-642LDLLL
8Waterford35-840WWLLD

Head to Head

1
Dundalk
1
Draws
1
St Patrick's Athl.
  • Jul 24, 26St Patrick's Athl. – Dundalk1-1
  • Apr 6, 26Dundalk – St Patrick's Athl.2-0
  • Feb 27, 26St Patrick's Athl. – Dundalk4-0

Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. — Match Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. are favoured at 45%; our projected score is 1-2.

Dundalk host St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division on Monday, 14 September 2026. Our model makes St Patrick's Athl. the favourite at 45%, with the draw at 26% and Dundalk at 29%.

Form and league position

Dundalk sit 4th of 10 with 41 points from 30 games (47 scored, 46 conceded), recent form D-L-L-W-D. St Patrick's Athl. sit 2nd of 10 with 53 points from 30 games (47 scored, 25 conceded), recent form D-W-W-L-W.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 3 times in our records: Dundalk won 1, St Patrick's Athl. won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.7 goals per meeting.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–1.4, about 2.7 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 56%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Dundalk at 3.20, the draw at 3.50 and St Patrick's Athl. at 2.07; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

St Patrick's Athl. to win (45%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Dundalk: 30% · Draw: 26% · St Patrick's Athl.: 44%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (8.7% chance)

Over 2.5: 51% · Under 2.5: 49% · BTTS: 56%

H2H: Dundalk wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · St Patrick's Athl. wins: 1

Form (latest first): Dundalk: LDLLD · St Patrick's Athl.: DLLWW

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Premier Division

Premier Division

Ireland5 · Upcoming Fixtures
Premier DivisionIreland
Dundalk
Oct 3019:45
Shamrock Rovers
13.5728%
X3.7027%
22.2245%
Premier DivisionIreland
Sligo Rovers
Oct 3019:45
Derry City
15.2619%
X4.7621%
21.6760%
Premier DivisionIreland
St Patrick's Athl.
Oct 3019:45
Bohemians
12.1746%
X3.8526%
23.5728%
Premier DivisionIreland
Drogheda United
Oct 3019:45
Galway United
12.3842%
X3.5728%
23.3330%
Premier DivisionIreland
Shelbourne
Oct 3019:45
Waterford
11.9651%
X4.1724%
24.0025%

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