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  1. Home
  2. Coppa Italia
  3. Catanzaro vs Sudtirol

Catanzaro vs Sudtirol

Result • Coppa Italia·Catanzaro·Sudtirol

Coppa Italia
Coppa Italia
Aug 15, 2026
16:00
low Confidence
DRAW
Catanzaro

Catanzaro

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.00
X3.30
23.70
Stadium
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
low Confidence
DRAW
Sudtirol

Sudtirol

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.30
23.70
Stadium
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Win Probabilities
41%
Catanzaro
30%
Draw
29%
Sudtirol
Home2.0041%
Draw3.3030%
Away3.7029%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Catanzaro are favored at 40% to win at home against Sudtirol. The draw is rated 30% and the away win 30%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Coppa Italia fixture between Catanzaro and Sudtirol using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Catanzaro a 41% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Sudtirol a 29% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. 17'
    Goal: N. PyyhtiaSudtirol
    Goal: N. Pyyhtia
  2. Goal: S. PafundiAssist: M. D'Alessandro
    27'
    Goal: S. PafundiCatanzaro · Assist: M. D'Alessandro
  3. 40'
    Yellow Card: F. DaviSudtirol
    Yellow Card: F. Davi
  4. 46'
    Substitution: S. MolinaSudtirol · Out: F. Davi
    Substitution: S. MolinaOut: F. Davi
  5. Goal: P. Iemmello
    53'
    Goal: P. IemmelloCatanzaro
  6. Substitution: M. DorvalOut: M. D'Alessandro
    63'
    Substitution: M. DorvalCatanzaro · Out: M. D'Alessandro
  7. 68'
    Substitution: S. DaviSudtirol · Out: R. Burnete
    Substitution: S. DaviOut: R. Burnete
  8. 68'
    Substitution: K. MixturSudtirol · Out: B. Bjarkason
    Substitution: K. MixturOut: B. Bjarkason
  9. Yellow Card: Matias Antonini
    69'
    Yellow Card: Matias AntoniniCatanzaro
  10. Substitution: R. FrosininiOut: B. Verrengia
    73'
    Substitution: R. FrosininiCatanzaro · Out: B. Verrengia
  11. Substitution: N. BusoOut: S. Pafundi
    73'
    Substitution: N. BusoCatanzaro · Out: S. Pafundi
  12. 80'
    Substitution: D. CasiraghiSudtirol · Out: A. Vasic
    Substitution: D. CasiraghiOut: A. Vasic
  13. Substitution: E. BashiOut: M. Ruggero
    81'
    Substitution: E. BashiCatanzaro · Out: M. Ruggero
  14. Substitution: G. ArditiOut: P. Iemmello
    81'
    Substitution: G. ArditiCatanzaro · Out: P. Iemmello
  15. 85'
    Goal: K. MixturSudtirol · Assist: S. Tronchin
    Goal: K. MixturAssist: S. Tronchin
  16. 88'
    Yellow Card: V. LopesSudtirol
    Yellow Card: V. Lopes
  17. Yellow Card: G. Alesi
    90+1'
    Yellow Card: G. AlesiCatanzaro
  18. Missed penalty: R. StivanelloSudtirol · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: R. StivanelloPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
  19. Penalty: J. Petriccione (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: J. Petriccione (Penalty)Catanzaro · Penalty shootout
  20. Penalty: V. Lopes (Penalty)Sudtirol · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: V. Lopes (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  21. Penalty: N. Buso (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: N. Buso (Penalty)Catanzaro · Penalty shootout
  22. Penalty: D. Casiraghi (Penalty)Sudtirol · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: D. Casiraghi (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  23. Missed penalty: R. FrosininiPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: R. FrosininiCatanzaro · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
  24. Penalty: S. Molina (Penalty)Sudtirol · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: S. Molina (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  25. Penalty: G. Arditi (Penalty)Penalty shootout
    Penalty: G. Arditi (Penalty)Catanzaro · Penalty shootout
  26. Penalty: S. Davi (Penalty)Sudtirol · Penalty shootout
    Penalty: S. Davi (Penalty)Penalty shootout
  27. Missed penalty: M. DorvalPenalty shootout · Missed penalty
    Missed penalty: M. DorvalCatanzaro · Penalty shootout · Missed penalty
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1P. Iemmello vs G. Stabile: Catanzaro's main striker will test Sudtirol's defensive resolve; his movement and finishing could be the key to breaking down a stubborn backline.
2F. Di Francesco vs S. Davì: The winger's creativity and dribbling will be crucial in unlocking Sudtirol's defense, while Davì's defensive discipline will be vital in containing him.
3M. Pompetti vs D. Casiraghi: The midfield battle will determine control of the game; Pompetti's passing range could create chances, while Casiraghi's work rate will be essential for Sudtirol's pressing.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Catanzaro

  • Strong recent form with 3 consecutive wins
  • Consistent goal-scoring, averaging 1.6 goals per game
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 matches
  • Limited home advantage data (no home games recorded)

Sudtirol

  • Excellent defensive record with 4 clean sheets in last 5
  • Unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Severe lack of attacking output, scoring only 0.4 goals per game
  • Failed to score in 3 of last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
41%
API-Football
33%
37%
Catanzaro373231

Moderate agreement on home win (37%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Catanzaro enter this Coppa Italia clash as the side with the stronger recent momentum, having won three consecutive matches. Their attacking output has been solid, averaging 1.6 goals per game, and they have kept two clean sheets in their last five outings. Sudtirol, meanwhile, have been defensively resolute with four clean sheets in five, but their attacking struggles are evident — they have failed to score in three of those matches and average just 0.4 goals per game.

Form Analysis: Catanzaro's three-game winning streak gives them a clear psychological edge, while Sudtirol's five-match unbeaten run is built on a stingy defense rather than offensive threat. The home side's ability to find the net more consistently tips the balance in their favor.

Key Factors: Catanzaro's superior attacking form (1.6 goals per game vs 0.4) is the most decisive factor. Sudtirol's defensive solidity (4 clean sheets) could frustrate, but their lack of goals limits their winning chances. Head-to-head history slightly favors Catanzaro with two wins and three draws in the last five meetings.

Conclusion: Catanzaro's momentum and attacking edge make them the likeliest winners, though Sudtirol's defense could force a tight, low-scoring affair. A narrow home victory is the most probable outcome.

Statistical Context

No predictions available

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CatanzaroSudtirol
53%Strength46%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
57%Goals H2H43%
53%Wins the Game46%
Head-to-head →Injuries · CatanzaroInjuries · SudtirolLive scores →

Statistical Context

Catanzaro

LWLLL
  • LSep 19, 26A · Sampdoria2-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · Carrarese1-0
  • LSep 5, 26A · Sudtirol2-0
  • LAug 30, 26A · Pisa2-1
  • LAug 21, 26A · Vicenza Virtus3-2

Sudtirol

WLDWD
  • WSep 20, 26A · Arezzo1-4
  • LSep 15, 26A · Genoa1-0
  • DSep 12, 26H · Modena1-1
  • WSep 5, 26H · Catanzaro2-0
  • DAug 30, 26A · Benevento1-1

Head to Head

2
Catanzaro
4
Draws
1
Sudtirol
  • Aug 15, 26Catanzaro – Sudtirol2-2
  • Jan 31, 26Sudtirol – Catanzaro2-1
  • Aug 24, 25Catanzaro – Sudtirol1-1
  • Jan 12, 25Sudtirol – Catanzaro1-1
  • Oct 27, 24Catanzaro – Sudtirol3-0

Season Statistics — 2026

CatanzaroSudtirol
Played44
Goals Scored45
Goals Conceded72
Avg Scored1.01.3
Avg Conceded1.80.5
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

CatanzaroSudtirol
Over 2.5 Goals6/103/10
Both Teams Scored6/106/10
Clean Sheets2/101/10

Catanzaro vs Sudtirol — Match Analysis

Catanzaro are favored at 40% to win at home against Sudtirol. The draw is rated 30% and the away win 30%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Catanzaro enter this Coppa Italia clash as the side with the stronger recent momentum, having won three consecutive matches. Their attacking output has been solid, averaging 1.6 goals per game, and they have kept two clean sheets in their last five outings. Sudtirol, meanwhile, have been defensively resolute with four clean sheets in five, but their attacking struggles are evident — they have failed to score in three of those matches and average just 0.4 goals per game.

Form Analysis: Catanzaro's three-game winning streak gives them a clear psychological edge, while Sudtirol's five-match unbeaten run is built on a stingy defense rather than offensive threat. The home side's ability to find the net more consistently tips the balance in their favor.

Key Factors: Catanzaro's superior attacking form (1.6 goals per game vs 0.4) is the most decisive factor. Sudtirol's defensive solidity (4 clean sheets) could frustrate, but their lack of goals limits their winning chances. Head-to-head history slightly favors Catanzaro with two wins and three draws in the last five meetings.

Conclusion: Catanzaro's momentum and attacking edge make them the likeliest winners, though Sudtirol's defense could force a tight, low-scoring affair. A narrow home victory is the most probable outcome.

Win Probabilities: Catanzaro: 41% · Draw: 30% · Sudtirol: 29%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Catanzaro wins: 2 · Draws: 4 · Sudtirol wins: 1

Form (latest first): Catanzaro: LWLLL · Sudtirol: WLDWD

  • P. Iemmello vs G. Stabile: Catanzaro's main striker will test Sudtirol's defensive resolve; his movement and finishing could be the key to breaking down a stubborn backline.
  • F. Di Francesco vs S. Davì: The winger's creativity and dribbling will be crucial in unlocking Sudtirol's defense, while Davì's defensive discipline will be vital in containing him.
  • M. Pompetti vs D. Casiraghi: The midfield battle will determine control of the game; Pompetti's passing range could create chances, while Casiraghi's work rate will be essential for Sudtirol's pressing.

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