Perugia host Spezia in the Serie C Girone B on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Our model makes Spezia the favourite at 41%, with the draw at 29% and Perugia at 30%.
Form and league position
Perugia sit 8th of 20 with 7 points from 4 games (5 scored, 6 conceded). Spezia sit 1st of 20 with 10 points from 4 games (6 scored, 2 conceded), recent form L-D-D-W-W.
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.1–1.2, about 2.3 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 49%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Perugia at 3.10, the draw at 3.05 and Spezia at 2.32; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Spezia to win (41%), most likely score 0-1.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.
