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  1. Home
  2. Serie C Girone B
  3. Perugia vs Vado

Perugia vs Vado

Result • Serie C Girone B·Perugia·Vado

Serie C Girone B
Serie C Girone B
Oct 11, 2026
15:30
high Confidence
Perugia

Perugia

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.65
X3.32
24.65
Stadium
Stadio Renato Curi
high Confidence
WINNER
Vado

Vado

Away
Odds
11.65
X3.32
24.65
Stadium
Stadio Renato Curi
Win Probabilities
60%
Perugia
23%
Draw
17%
Vado
Home1.6560%
Draw3.3223%
Away4.6517%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Perugia are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Serie C Girone B fixture between Perugia and Vado using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Perugia a 60% win probability, a 23% chance of a draw, and Vado a 17% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 44%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 44%

Match Events

  1. Red Card: D. Papazov
    6'
    Red Card: D. PapazovPerugia
  2. Substitution: G. RenaultOut: A. Sabbatani
    10'
    Substitution: G. RenaultPerugia · Out: A. Sabbatani
  3. Yellow Card: D. Riccardi
    26'
    Yellow Card: D. RiccardiPerugia
  4. 46'
    Substitution: M. CandianoVado · Out: M. De Rinaldis
    Substitution: M. CandianoOut: M. De Rinaldis
  5. 46'
    Substitution: F. RosaVado · Out: F. Saiani
    Substitution: F. RosaOut: F. Saiani
  6. Yellow Card: R. Ladinetti
    51'
    Yellow Card: R. LadinettiPerugia
  7. 52'
    Goal: M. CandianoVado · Assist: M. Saltarelli
    Goal: M. CandianoAssist: M. Saltarelli
  8. 58'
    Goal: I. CernigoiVado · Assist: F. Rosa
    Goal: I. CernigoiAssist: F. Rosa
  9. Substitution: G. CarrieroOut: R. Ladinetti
    60'
    Substitution: G. CarrieroPerugia · Out: R. Ladinetti
  10. Substitution: A. SamOut: A. Tozzuolo
    65'
    Substitution: A. SamPerugia · Out: A. Tozzuolo
  11. Substitution: L. CanottoOut: P. van Amersfoort
    65'
    Substitution: L. CanottoPerugia · Out: P. van Amersfoort
  12. Substitution: S. SehaOut: A. Cisco
    65'
    Substitution: S. SehaPerugia · Out: A. Cisco
  13. 70'
    Substitution: M. LazzariniVado · Out: D. Hergheligiu
    Substitution: M. LazzariniOut: D. Hergheligiu
  14. 79'
    Substitution: C. CarliniVado · Out: M. Saltarelli
    Substitution: C. CarliniOut: M. Saltarelli
  15. 85'
    Substitution: L. LischettiVado · Out: I. Cernigoi
    Substitution: L. LischettiOut: I. Cernigoi
  16. Missed penalty: L. CanottoMissed penalty
    89'
    Missed penalty: L. CanottoPerugia · Missed penalty
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headPerugia – VadoInjuriesPerugiaInjuriesVadoLive scores

Statistical Context

Perugia

DLWWW
  • DOct 31, 26A · Guidonia Montecelio 19371-1
  • LOct 23, 26H · Pescara1-2
  • WOct 18, 26A · Campobasso FC1-5
  • WOct 3, 26A · Gubbio1-3
  • WSep 27, 26H · Reggiana1-0

Vado

DWDWD
  • DOct 31, 26H · Grosseto2-2
  • WOct 23, 26A · Ostia Mare1-2
  • DOct 17, 26H · Sambenedettese2-2
  • WOct 3, 26H · Forli1-0
  • DSep 26, 26A · Torres0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Guidonia Montecelio 193712+217DLWDW
8Perugia12-217DLWLW
9Vado12+116DWDWW
10Livorno11016LDDLW

Perugia vs Vado — Match Analysis

Perugia are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 1-0.

Perugia host Vado in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model makes Perugia the favourite at 64%, with the draw at 22% and Vado at 14%.

Form and league position

Perugia sit 6th of 20 with 13 points from 8 games (9 scored, 12 conceded), recent form L-L-L-W-W. Vado sit 14th of 20 with 8 points from 8 games (6 scored, 8 conceded), recent form L-L-L-D-W.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–0.9, about 2.2 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 44%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Perugia at 1.45, the draw at 3.74 and Vado at 6.49; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Perugia to win (64%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Perugia: 60% · Draw: 23% · Vado: 17%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (13.1% chance)

Over 2.5: 37% · Under 2.5: 63% · BTTS: 44%

Form (latest first): Perugia: DLWWW · Vado: DWDWD

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Serie C Girone B

Serie C Girone B

Italy15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Serie C Girone BItaly
Ostia Mare
Nov 713:30
Spezia
18.3312%
X7.1414%
21.3574%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Atalanta II
Nov 713:30
Reggiana
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Forli
Nov 716:30
Gubbio
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Vado
Nov 716:30
Ravenna
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Grosseto
Nov 811:30
Pescara
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Torres
Nov 811:30
Latina
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Campobasso FC
Nov 813:30
Livorno
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Sambenedettese
Nov 816:30
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Pianese
Nov 816:30
Perugia
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Pineto
Nov 919:30
Vis Pesaro
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Latina
Nov 1319:30
Campobasso FC
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Reggiana
Nov 1413:30
Livorno
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Vis Pesaro
Nov 1413:30
Pianese
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Gubbio
Nov 1416:30
Grosseto
15.8817%
X5.8817%
21.5266%
Serie C Girone BItaly
Atalanta II
Nov 1416:30
Pineto
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%

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