Perugia host Vado in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model makes Perugia the favourite at 64%, with the draw at 22% and Vado at 14%.
Form and league position
Perugia sit 6th of 20 with 13 points from 8 games (9 scored, 12 conceded), recent form L-L-L-W-W. Vado sit 14th of 20 with 8 points from 8 games (6 scored, 8 conceded), recent form L-L-L-D-W.
Head-to-head record
There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.
Goals outlook
Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.3–0.9, about 2.2 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 44%.
Team news
No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.
What the market says
Bookmakers price Perugia at 1.45, the draw at 3.74 and Vado at 6.49; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.
Prediction
Perugia to win (64%), most likely score 1-0.
This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.




