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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Toluca vs Atletico San Luis

Toluca vs Atletico San Luis

Prediction • Liga MX·Toluca·Atletico San Luis

Liga MX
Liga MX
Oct 18, 2026
01:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Toluca

Toluca

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Early projection · Odds pending
Atletico San Luis

Atletico San Luis

Away
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Win Probabilities
82%
Toluca
12%
Draw
6%
Atletico San Luis
Home1.2282%
Draw8.3312%
Away16.676%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Toluca are clear favourites, arriving on a five-match winning streak with four clean sheets and a commanding head-to-head record against a San Luis side sitting 16th and winless in their last two. The main risk is complacency or a rare off-day in front of goal, but the data offers little support for an upset.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Toluca vs Atletico San Luis.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Toluca
/10
6.0Atletico San Luis
Toluca
FormLatest first
DLWWW
Win Rate60%
Atletico San Luis
FormLatest first
WWLLW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Toluca
Home

Toluca

Form
WWWLD
Latest first
2
Pos
35
Pts
+11
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 10 matches)

Clean Sheets440%
Goal Diff+11
  • Five-match winning streak with 18 goals scored
  • Four clean sheets in the last five games
  • Top of the league with a +12 goal difference

Key Players

J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
7.2
Goals
1
Assists
0
Helinho
Helinho
7.9
Goals
0
Assists
1
Atletico San Luis
Away

Atletico San Luis

Form
WLLWW
Latest first
6
Pos
30
Pts
-4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 10 matches)

Clean Sheets110%
Goal Diff-4
  • Capable of scoring through S. Salles-Lamonge
  • Three-at-the-back system offers central defensive cover
  • Nothing to lose as heavy underdogs

Key Players

S. Salles-Lamonge
S. Salles-Lamonge
7.3
Goals
1
Assists
0
L. Flores
L. Flores
6.9
Goals
0
Assists
1

Head to Head

Last 10
Toluca
Toluca
7Wins
1
Draws
Atletico San Luis
2Wins
Atletico San Luis
70%10%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Apr132026
TolucaToluca
1-1
Draw
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Aug302025
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
1-3
Win
TolucaToluca
Apr172025
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
0-1
Win
TolucaToluca
Aug252024
TolucaToluca
2-1
Win
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Apr202024
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
1-5
Win
TolucaToluca
Oct292023
TolucaToluca
3-1
Win
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Feb262023
TolucaToluca
2-0
Win
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Aug212022
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
1-0
Loss
TolucaToluca
Feb122022
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
0-1
Win
TolucaToluca
Sep262021
TolucaToluca
1-2
Loss
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Toluca 1 - 1 Atletico San Luis

Apr 13, 2026

62% / 26% / 12%

Toluca4-2-3-1vs3-4-3Atletico San LuisPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
TolucaHome
106222312+1120
2
Club America
96212110+1120
3
Guadalajara Chivas
105321710+718
4
Club Queretaro
9522138+517
5
Leon
105231411+317
6
Atlas
105231617-117
7
Cruz Azul
105141918+116
8
Club Tijuana
94231413+114
9
Puebla
104241112-114
10
Monterrey
94141614+213
11
CF Pachuca
103341511+412
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
103341416-212
13
Atletico San LuisAway
103341418-412
14
Atlante FC
102531215-311
15
Tigres UANL
102441013-310
16
Santos Laguna
103161015-510
17
Necaxa
102261220-88
18
FC Juarez
10109725-183
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Toluca

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

82%Toluca
12%Draw
6%Atletico San Luis

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 18 · 01:00
StadiumEstadio Nemesio Diez
League StatsLiga MX
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · TolucaInjuries · Atletico San LuisLive scores →

Statistical Context

Toluca

DLWWW
  • DSep 26, 26A · Cruz Azul3-3
  • LSep 21, 26H · Santos Laguna2-3
  • WSep 16, 26A · Puebla0-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · Atlas5-2
  • WAug 31, 26H · FC Juarez4-0

Atletico San Luis

WWLLW
  • WSep 27, 26A · U.N.A.M. - Pumas2-3
  • WSep 19, 26H · Necaxa3-1
  • LSep 15, 26A · Leon2-0
  • LSep 5, 26H · Guadalajara Chivas0-3
  • WAug 31, 26A · Monterrey1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Toluca10+1120DLWWW
2Club America9+1120WDLWW
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas10-212LDLWL
13Atletico San Luis10-412WWLLW
14Atlante FC10-311WDLDD

Head to Head

7
Toluca
1
Draws
2
Atletico San Luis
  • Apr 13, 26Toluca – Atletico San Luis1-1
  • Aug 30, 25Atletico San Luis – Toluca1-3
  • Apr 17, 25Atletico San Luis – Toluca0-1
  • Aug 25, 24Toluca – Atletico San Luis2-1
  • Apr 20, 24Atletico San Luis – Toluca1-5

Season Statistics — 2026

TolucaAtletico San Luis
Played1010
Goals Scored2314
Goals Conceded1218
Avg Scored2.31.4
Avg Conceded1.21.8
Clean Sheets41

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

TolucaAtletico San Luis
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted line-ups: Toluca vs Atletico San Luis

Predicted XI

Toluca

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: R. La Volpe

Atletico San Luis

3-4-3Formation· Coach: G. Matosas

  1. 25G. Lajud
  1. 31E. Águila
  2. 18A. Cruz
  3. 30B. Galindo
  1. 2R. Torres
  2. 13J. Caicedo
  3. 7B. Galdames
  4. 14M. García
  1. 26S. Pérez Bouquet
  2. 11D. Rodríguez
  3. 20L. Flores
  1. 26Paulinho
  1. 24F. Arce
  2. 8N. Castro
  3. 7V. Guzmán
  1. 184S. Aceves
  2. 10J. Angulo
  1. 2D. Barbosa
  2. 3A. Briseño
  3. 4B. Méndez
  4. 20J. Gallardo
  1. 12R. Beltrán

Bench

  • 22L. García
  • 13Luan
  • 6F. Pereira
  • 25E. López
  • 5F. Romero
  • 29J. Díaz
  • 11Helinho

Bench

  • 23C. López
  • 6Juanpe
  • 21Ó. Macías
  • 5R. Meraz
  • 10S. Salles-Lamonge
  • 17A. Duarte
  • 8L. Nájera

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Toluca vs Atletico San Luis — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Toluca are clear favourites, arriving on a five-match winning streak with four clean sheets and a commanding head-to-head record against a San Luis side sitting 16th and winless in their last two. The main risk is complacency or a rare off-day in front of goal, but the data offers little support for an upset.

Toluca enter this Liga MX fixture as overwhelming favourites, and the data points to a comfortable home victory at the Estadio Nemesio Diez. The team-strength model and the API-Football statistical model both align on a Toluca win, with the API comparison showing a dominant overall edge in every department.…

Win Probabilities: Toluca: 82% · Draw: 12% · Atletico San Luis: 6%

H2H: Toluca wins: 7 · Draws: 1 · Atletico San Luis wins: 2

Form (latest first): Toluca: DLWWW · Atletico San Luis: WWLLW

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Club Queretaro
Oct 1001:00
Atlante FC
12.1347%
X3.2331%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Oct 1001:00
Leon
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Oct 1003:00
Toluca
13.7027%
X3.1332%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Oct 1023:00
Club Tijuana
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Oct 1101:00
Guadalajara Chivas
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Oct 1103:00
Monterrey
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
CF Pachuca
Oct 1123:00
Necaxa
11.8953%
X3.4529%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Oct 1123:00
Santos Laguna
11.9651%
X3.4529%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Oct 1201:00
Cruz Azul
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Oct 1701:00
Atlas
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.0025%
22.2245%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Oct 1703:00
Puebla
Early projection
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Oct 1703:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Oct 1723:00
Club Queretaro
Early projection
15.2619%
X5.2619%
21.6162%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Oct 1723:07
Tigres UANL
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Leon
Oct 1801:00
Club America
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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