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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Toluca vs Club Tijuana

Toluca vs Club Tijuana

Prediction • Liga MX·Toluca·Club Tijuana

Liga MX
Liga MX
Oct 22, 2026
01:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Toluca

Toluca

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Early projection · Odds pending
Club Tijuana

Club Tijuana

Away
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Win Probabilities
60%
Toluca
19%
Draw
21%
Club Tijuana
Home1.6760%
Draw5.2619%
Away4.7621%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Toluca are clear favourites to win this Liga MX quarter-final first leg, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and home advantage. The main risk is that Club Tijuana's defensive setup could frustrate Toluca and lead to a tighter contest than expected.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Toluca vs Club Tijuana.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Toluca
/10
2.0Club Tijuana
Toluca
FormLatest first
LDLWW
Win Rate40%
Club Tijuana
FormLatest first
DLDLW
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageToluca+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Toluca
Home

Toluca

Form
WWLDL
Latest first
2
Pos
35
Pts
+11
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 10 matches)

Clean Sheets440%
Goal Diff+11
  • Top of the league with 19 points and +11 goal difference
  • Strong recent form: 4 wins in last 5, scoring 20 goals
  • Excellent defense: 3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • Dominant head-to-head record against Club Tijuana

Key Players

J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
7.2
Goals
1
Assists
0
Helinho
Helinho
7.9
Goals
0
Assists
1
Club Tijuana
Away

Club Tijuana

Form
WLDLD
Latest first
7
Pos
29
Pts
+1
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 9 matches)

Clean Sheets333%
Goal Diff+1
  • Mourad is in good scoring form with 2 goals and an 8.3 rating
  • Capable of scoring goals, averaging 1.6 per game in last 5

Key Players

Mourad
Mourad
8.3
Goals
2
Assists
0
R. Árciga
R. Árciga
8.0
Goals
1
Assists
0
Y. Padilla
Y. Padilla
6.9
Goals
0
Assists
1

Head to Head

Last 10
Toluca
Toluca
6Wins
2
Draws
Club Tijuana
2Wins
Club Tijuana
60%20%20%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Feb142026
TolucaToluca
1-0
Win
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
Oct232025
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
0-0
Draw
TolucaToluca
Jan112025
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
2-4
Win
TolucaToluca
Sep142024
TolucaToluca
4-0
Win
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
Feb252024
TolucaToluca
2-0
Win
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
Sep162023
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
2-1
Loss
TolucaToluca
Mar182023
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
3-3
Draw
TolucaToluca
Aug72022
TolucaToluca
3-1
Win
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
Mar22022
TolucaToluca
1-2
Loss
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
Aug72021
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
0-2
Win
TolucaToluca

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Toluca 1 - 0 Club Tijuana

Feb 14, 2026

72% / 19% / 9%

Toluca4-2-3-1vs5-4-1Club TijuanaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
106312211+1121
2
TolucaHome
116232515+1020
3
Club Queretaro
10622158+720
4
Guadalajara Chivas
115421811+719
5
Leon
115331512+318
6
Atlas
115331718-118
7
Cruz Azul
115242221+117
8
Club TijuanaAway
104331514+115
9
Puebla
114341213-115
10
Monterrey
104241715+214
11
CF Pachuca
113441814+413
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
113441719-213
13
Tigres UANL
113441315-213
14
Santos Laguna
114161216-413
15
Atletico San Luis
113351520-512
16
Atlante FC
112541217-511
17
Necaxa
112361523-89
18
FC Juarez
11119826-184
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Toluca

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

60%Toluca
19%Draw
21%Club Tijuana

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffThu, Oct 22 · 01:00
StadiumEstadio Nemesio Diez
League StatsLiga MX
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · TolucaInjuries · Club TijuanaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Toluca

LDLWW
  • LOct 10, 26A · Tigres UANL3-2
  • DSep 26, 26A · Cruz Azul3-3
  • LSep 21, 26H · Santos Laguna2-3
  • WSep 16, 26A · Puebla0-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · Atlas5-2

Club Tijuana

DLDLW
  • DOct 10, 26A · FC Juarez1-1
  • LSep 26, 26H · Atlas2-3
  • DSep 21, 26A · CF Pachuca2-2
  • LSep 12, 26H · Club Queretaro0-1
  • WAug 29, 26H · U.N.A.M. - Pumas2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Club America10+1121DWDLW
2Toluca11+1020LDLWW
3Club Queretaro10+720WWDWW
4Guadalajara Chivas11+719DLDWW
5Leon11+318DWDWL
6Atlas11-118DWDLD
7Cruz Azul11+117DDLWW
8Club Tijuana10+115DLDLW
9Puebla11-115DLDLW

Head to Head

6
Toluca
2
Draws
2
Club Tijuana
  • Feb 14, 26Toluca – Club Tijuana1-0
  • Oct 23, 25Club Tijuana – Toluca0-0
  • Jan 11, 25Club Tijuana – Toluca2-4
  • Sep 14, 24Toluca – Club Tijuana4-0
  • Feb 25, 24Toluca – Club Tijuana2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

TolucaClub Tijuana
Played109
Goals Scored2314
Goals Conceded1213
Avg Scored2.31.6
Avg Conceded1.21.4
Clean Sheets43

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

TolucaClub Tijuana
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted line-ups: Toluca vs Club Tijuana

Predicted XI

Toluca

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: R. La Volpe

Club Tijuana

5-4-1Formation· Coach: J. Osorio

  1. 29S. Hernández
  1. 4Unai Bilbao
  2. 6A. Gómez
  3. 33P. Ortíz
  4. 12J. Porozo
  5. 16J. Vega
  1. 34F. Boya
  2. 10G. Mora
  3. 31Y. Padilla
  4. 26A. Perez
  1. 202J. González
  1. 26Paulinho
  1. 10J. Angulo
  2. 8N. Castro
  3. 29J. Díaz
  1. 20J. Gallardo
  2. 19S. Simón
  1. 2D. Barbosa
  2. 4B. Méndez
  3. 17B. García
  4. 13Luan
  1. 12R. Beltrán

Bench

  • 22L. García
  • 6F. Pereira
  • 25E. López
  • 15P. Pérez
  • 9A. Vega
  • 16F. Viñas
  • 23O. Virgen

Bench

  • 2A. Rodríguez
  • 17R. Árciga
  • 188A. Magallon
  • 7Adonis Preciado
  • 15I. Rivero
  • 8I. Tona
  • 20Á. Zapata

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Toluca vs Club Tijuana — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Toluca are clear favourites to win this Liga MX quarter-final first leg, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and home advantage. The main risk is that Club Tijuana's defensive setup could frustrate Toluca and lead to a tighter contest than expected.

Toluca are clear favourites to win this Liga MX Apertura quarter-final first leg at the Estadio Nemesio Diez. The team-strength baseline and the API-Football statistical model both point to a home vic…

Win Probabilities: Toluca: 60% · Draw: 19% · Club Tijuana: 21%

H2H: Toluca wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Club Tijuana wins: 2

Form (latest first): Toluca: LDLWW · Club Tijuana: DLDLW

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Oct 1701:00
Atlas
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Oct 1703:00
Puebla
11.9651%
X3.8526%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Oct 1703:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Oct 1723:00
Club Queretaro
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Oct 1723:07
Tigres UANL
12.1347%
X3.5728%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Oct 1801:00
Atletico San Luis
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Leon
Oct 1801:00
Club America
13.3330%
X3.7027%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Oct 1803:00
FC Juarez
11.4569%
X4.7621%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Oct 1901:00
CF Pachuca
11.9651%
X4.1724%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Oct 2100:07
Necaxa
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Oct 2101:00
Atlante FC
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Oct 2101:00
Club Queretaro
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Oct 2103:00
Leon
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Oct 2201:00
Club America
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Oct 2201:00
Monterrey
Early projection
12.3842%
X3.8526%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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