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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Toluca vs Atlas

Toluca vs Atlas

Prediction • Liga MX·Toluca·Atlas

Liga MX
Liga MX
Sep 13, 2026
01:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Toluca

Toluca

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
Atlas

Atlas

Away
Win Probabilities
59%
Toluca
20%
Draw
21%
Atlas
Home1.6959%
Draw5.0020%
Away4.7621%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Toluca are favored at 59% to win at home against Atlas. The draw is rated 20% and the away win 21%, so the numbers point to a home result.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Toluca
/10
8.0Atlas
Toluca
FormLatest first
WDWLW
Win Rate60%
Atlas
FormLatest first
WWLWW
Win Rate80%
Momentum AdvantageAtlas+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Toluca
Home

Toluca

Form
WLWDW
Latest first
2
Pos
35
Pts
+4
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 5 matches)

Clean Sheets240%
Goal Diff+4
  • Strong defensive record (0.6 goals conceded per game)
  • Dominant head-to-head history against Atlas
  • Higher league position with positive goal difference

Key Players

J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
7.2
Goals
1
Assists
0
Helinho
Helinho
7.9
Goals
0
Assists
1

Head to Head

Last 10
Toluca
Toluca
4Wins
5
Draws
Atlas
1Wins
Atlas
40%50%10%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Mar152026
TolucaToluca
1-1
Draw
AtlasAtlas
Nov12025
AtlasAtlas
0-0
Draw
TolucaToluca
Apr132025
AtlasAtlas
2-3
Win
TolucaToluca
Sep282024
TolucaToluca
4-1
Win
AtlasAtlas
Apr72024
TolucaToluca
4-1
Win
AtlasAtlas
Aug262023
AtlasAtlas
0-0
Draw
TolucaToluca
Feb22023
AtlasAtlas
0-0
Draw
TolucaToluca
Jul102022
TolucaToluca
3-2
Win
AtlasAtlas
Apr242022
TolucaToluca
2-4
Loss
AtlasAtlas
Aug212021
AtlasAtlas
0-0
Draw
TolucaToluca

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Toluca 1 - 1 Atlas

Mar 15, 2026

69% / 19% / 12%

Toluca4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1AtlasPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical mirror. Individual brilliance decides.

AtlasAtlas4-2-3-1
TolucaToluca4-2-3-1
AtlasBenchAtlas7
TolucaBenchToluca7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
Club America
5410102+813
2
Atlas
AtlasAway
540185+312
3
Toluca
TolucaHome
531184+410
4
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas
531185+310
5
Puebla
Puebla
531197+210
6
Club Tijuana
Club Tijuana
531187+110
7
Monterrey
Monterrey
5302127+59
8
Leon
Leon
530275+29
9
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
522186+28
10
Club Queretaro
Club Queretaro
52126607
11
Necaxa
Necaxa
521278-17
12
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
5203810-26
13
Atlante FC
Atlante FC
512257-25
14
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
51137704
15
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
5113810-24
16
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
503259-43
17
Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna
5005411-70
18
FC Juarez
FC Juarez
5005315-120
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Toluca

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

59%Toluca
20%Draw
21%Atlas

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Sep 13 · 01:00
League StatsLiga MX

Statistical Context

Toluca

WDWLW
  • WAug 22, 26A · Club Queretaro1-2
  • DAug 15, 26A · Atlante FC0-0
  • WAug 3, 26H · Necaxa3-1
  • LJul 22, 26H · U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-2
  • WJul 19, 26A · Guadalajara Chivas0-2

Atlas

WWLWW
  • WAug 23, 26A · Cruz Azul0-2
  • WAug 16, 26H · Tigres UANL2-1
  • LAug 2, 26H · Monterrey0-2
  • WJul 26, 26A · Santos Laguna0-1
  • WJul 18, 26A · Leon2-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Club America5+813WWWDW
2Atlas5+312WWLWW
3Toluca5+410WDWLW
4Guadalajara Chivas5+310WWDWL

Head to Head

4
Toluca
5
Draws
1
Atlas
  • Mar 15, 26Toluca – Atlas1-1
  • Nov 1, 25Atlas – Toluca0-0
  • Apr 13, 25Atlas – Toluca2-3
  • Sep 28, 24Toluca – Atlas4-1
  • Apr 7, 24Toluca – Atlas4-1

Season Statistics — 2026

TolucaAtlas
Played55
Goals Scored88
Goals Conceded45
Avg Scored1.61.6
Avg Conceded0.81.0
Clean Sheets22

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

TolucaAtlas
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Toluca

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 1GH. González
  2. 2DD. Barbosa
  3. 3DA. Briseño
  4. 4DB. Méndez
  5. 17DB. García
  6. 10MJ. Angulo
  7. 24MF. Arce
  8. 8MN. Castro
  9. 35MÉ. Gutiérrez
  10. 7MV. Guzmán
  11. 16AF. Viñas

Coach: R. La Volpe

Atlas

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 12GCamilo Vargas
  2. 13DGaddi Aguirre
  3. 28DManuel Capasso
  4. 21DRodrigo Schlegel
  5. 16DMilton Valenzuela
  6. 6MEdgar Zaldívar
  7. 15MPaulo Ramírez
  8. 11MDuk
  9. 58MArturo González
  10. 10MLuís Esteves
  11. 9AFlorián Monzón

Coach: H. Crespo

Toluca vs Atlas — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Toluca are favored at 59% to win at home against Atlas. The draw is rated 20% and the away win 21%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Toluca enter as the nominal favourites, backed by a superior league position and a dominant head-to-head record. However, Atlas arrive in red-hot form with three consecutive wins, making this a closer contest than the standings alone suggest.…

Win Probabilities: Toluca: 59% · Draw: 20% · Atlas: 21%

H2H: Toluca wins: 4 · Draws: 5 · Atlas wins: 1

Form (latest first): Toluca: WDWLW · Atlas: WWLWW

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Aug 2901:00
Cruz Azul
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Aug 2901:00
Leon
13.2331%
X3.5728%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Aug 2903:10
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12.2744%
X3.2331%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Aug 2923:00
Club Queretaro
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
CF Pachuca
Aug 2923:00
Guadalajara Chivas
13.4529%
X3.2331%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Aug 3001:05
Puebla
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Aug 3003:10
Tigres UANL
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Aug 3100:00
FC Juarez
11.3972%
X5.0020%
212.508%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Aug 3102:10
Atletico San Luis
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 501:00
Toluca
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Sep 503:00
CF Pachuca
Early projection
19.0911%
X6.6715%
21.3574%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Queretaro
Sep 523:00
Monterrey
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Sep 523:00
Guadalajara Chivas
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Sep 601:00
Necaxa
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Sep 601:00
Club Tijuana
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access