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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas

Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas

Prediction • Liga MX·Leon·Guadalajara Chivas

Liga MX
Liga MX
Nov 9, 2026
02:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Leon

Leon

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio León
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas

Away
Stadium
Estadio León
Win Probabilities
37%
Leon
28%
Draw
35%
Guadalajara Chivas
Home2.7037%
Draw3.5728%
Away2.8635%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Leon are favored at 37% to win at home against Guadalajara Chivas. The draw is rated 28% and the away win 35%, so the numbers point to a home result.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Leon
/10
4.0Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
FormLatest first
DWDWL
Win Rate40%
Guadalajara Chivas
FormLatest first
DLDWW
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Leon
Home

Leon

Form
LWDWD
Latest first
11
Pos
18
Pts
+3
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 10 matches)

Clean Sheets330%
Goal Diff+3
  • Four-match unbeaten streak heading into this fixture
  • Strong home record of four wins from five at Estadio Leon
  • Slight historical edge in the head-to-head series

Key Players

J. Cortizo
J. Cortizo
7.9
Goals
1
Assists
0
D. Cambindo
D. Cambindo
6.2
Goals
1
Assists
0
J. Alvarado
J. Alvarado
6.6
Goals
0
Assists
1
Guadalajara Chivas
Away

Guadalajara Chivas

Form
WWDLD
Latest first
9
Pos
25
Pts
+7
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 10 matches)

Clean Sheets440%
Goal Diff+7
  • Three clean sheets in the last five matches
  • Best defensive record in this matchup, conceding just 0.8 goals per game
  • Higher attacking output, averaging 2.0 goals per game

Key Players

J. Carrillo
J. Carrillo
6.9
Goals
0
Assists
0
Á. Sepúlveda
Á. Sepúlveda
5.2
Goals
0
Assists
0

Head to Head

Last 10
Leon
Leon
4Wins
1
Draws
Guadalajara Chivas
5Wins
Guadalajara Chivas
40%10%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Mar192026
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
5-0
Loss
LeonLeon
Jul202025
LeonLeon
1-0
Win
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Jan292025
LeonLeon
2-1
Win
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Sep192024
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
2-0
Loss
LeonLeon
Mar92024
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
1-2
Win
LeonLeon
Sep92023
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
2-0
Loss
LeonLeon
Jul42023
LeonLeon
1-2
Loss
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Apr162023
LeonLeon
0-2
Loss
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Jul212022
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
0-0
Draw
LeonLeon
Feb202022
LeonLeon
2-1
Win
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Guadalajara Chivas 5 - 0 Leon

Mar 19, 2026

65% / 22% / 13%

Leon4-1-4-1vs4-3-3Guadalajara ChivasPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
106312211+1121
2
Toluca
116232515+1020
3
Club Queretaro
10622158+720
4
Guadalajara ChivasAway
115421811+719
5
LeonHome
115331512+318
6
Atlas
115331718-118
7
Cruz Azul
115242221+117
8
Club Tijuana
104331514+115
9
Puebla
114341213-115
10
Monterrey
104241715+214
11
CF Pachuca
113441814+413
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
113441719-213
13
Tigres UANL
113441315-213
14
Santos Laguna
114161216-413
15
Atletico San Luis
113351520-512
16
Atlante FC
112541217-511
17
Necaxa
112361523-89
18
FC Juarez
11119826-184
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Draw

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

37%Leon
28%Draw
35%Guadalajara Chivas

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffMon, Nov 9 · 02:00
StadiumEstadio León
League StatsLiga MX
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · LeonInjuries · Guadalajara ChivasLive scores →

Statistical Context

Leon

DWDWL
  • DOct 10, 26A · Puebla1-1
  • WSep 28, 26H · FC Juarez2-1
  • DSep 21, 26A · Club Queretaro1-1
  • WSep 15, 26H · Atletico San Luis2-0
  • LSep 11, 26A · U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-1

Guadalajara Chivas

DLDWW
  • DOct 11, 26A · Atlas1-1
  • LSep 26, 26H · Club Queretaro0-2
  • DSep 20, 26A · Club America2-2
  • WSep 14, 26H · U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0
  • WSep 5, 26A · Atletico San Luis0-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Club Queretaro10+720WWDWW
4Guadalajara Chivas11+719DLDWW
5Leon11+318DWDWL
6Atlas11-118DWDLD

Head to Head

4
Leon
1
Draws
5
Guadalajara Chivas
  • Mar 19, 26Guadalajara Chivas – Leon5-0
  • Jul 20, 25Leon – Guadalajara Chivas1-0
  • Jan 29, 25Leon – Guadalajara Chivas2-1
  • Sep 19, 24Guadalajara Chivas – Leon2-0
  • Mar 9, 24Guadalajara Chivas – Leon1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

LeonGuadalajara Chivas
Played1010
Goals Scored1417
Goals Conceded1110
Avg Scored1.41.7
Avg Conceded1.11.0
Clean Sheets34

Predicted line-ups: Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas

Predicted XI

Leon

4-1-4-1Formation· Coach: E. Berizzo

Guadalajara Chivas

4-3-3Formation· Coach: G. Milito

  1. 31J. Liceaga
  1. 23D. Aguirre
  2. 37R. Ledezma
  3. 3D. Campillo
  4. 2J. Castillo
  1. 46R. Alvarado
  2. 10E. Álvarez
  3. 19K. Castañeda
  1. 33J. Carrillo
  2. 57J. Hernández
  3. 17R. Marín
  1. 19J. Alvarado
  1. 8J. Domínguez
  2. 203J. Lara
  3. 29J. Rodríguez
  4. 16J. Cortizo
  1. 13D. Arcila
  1. 25P. Bellón
  2. 4B. Colula
  3. 3Juan José Guevara Possu
  4. 26S. Reyes
  1. 23Ó. García

Bench

  • 14J. Romaña
  • 5S. Vegas
  • 33A. Villegas
  • 20R. Echeverría
  • 7I. Moreno
  • 11I. Díaz
  • 18E. Guerra

Bench

  • 13Óscar Whalley
  • 28R. González
  • 11B. Gutiérrez
  • 16L. Rey
  • 18J. Pérez
  • 9Á. Sepúlveda
  • 1J. Rangel

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Leon are favored at 37% to win at home against Guadalajara Chivas. The draw is rated 28% and the away win 35%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Leon and Guadalajara Chivas meet at Estadio Leon in a tightly-matched Liga MX contest, with the data pointing to a narrow edge for the home side rather than any decisive favourite. Form Analysis: Both teams arrive with identical 50% win rates across their last five outings.…

Win Probabilities: Leon: 37% · Draw: 28% · Guadalajara Chivas: 35%

H2H: Leon wins: 4 · Draws: 1 · Guadalajara Chivas wins: 5

Form (latest first): Leon: DWDWL · Guadalajara Chivas: DLDWW

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Oct 1701:00
Atlas
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Oct 1703:00
Puebla
11.9651%
X3.8526%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Oct 1703:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Oct 1723:00
Club Queretaro
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Oct 1723:07
Tigres UANL
12.1347%
X3.5728%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Oct 1801:00
Atletico San Luis
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Leon
Oct 1801:00
Club America
13.3330%
X3.7027%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Oct 1803:00
FC Juarez
11.4569%
X4.7621%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Oct 1901:00
CF Pachuca
11.9651%
X4.1724%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Oct 2100:07
Necaxa
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Oct 2101:00
Atlante FC
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Oct 2101:00
Club Queretaro
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Oct 2103:00
Leon
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Oct 2201:00
Club Tijuana
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Oct 2201:00
Club America
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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