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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Monterrey vs Santos Laguna

Monterrey vs Santos Laguna

Result • Liga MX·Monterrey·Santos Laguna

Liga MX
Liga MX
Jul 19, 2026
01:05
high Confidence
WINNER
Monterrey

Monterrey

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.55
X4.35
25.10
Stadium
Estadio BBVA
high Confidence
Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

Away
Odds
11.55
X4.35
25.10
Stadium
Estadio BBVA
Win Probabilities
55%
Monterrey
27%
Draw
18%
Santos Laguna
Home1.5555%
Draw4.3527%
Away5.1018%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Monterrey are predicted to win with 60% probability, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (6 wins in last 10). The main risk is Santos Laguna's recent defensive solidity, which could keep the match tight.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga MX fixture between Monterrey and Santos Laguna using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Monterrey a 55% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Santos Laguna a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Monterrey's attack vs Santos Laguna's defense: Monterrey's forwards will test a Santos backline that has been solid recently, but the H2H dominance suggests they can find gaps.
2Midfield control: Both teams use 4-3-3, so the midfield battle will be crucial. Monterrey's home advantage may give them the edge in possession.
3Set pieces: With both teams having similar attacking threats, set pieces could be a deciding factor.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Monterrey

  • Strong head-to-head record against Santos Laguna
  • Home advantage at Estadio BBVA
  • Inconsistent recent form (LDLWL)
  • Defensive vulnerability conceding 1.8 goals per game

Santos Laguna

  • Better recent form (WLWLD)
  • Solid defense conceding only 0.8 goals per game
  • Poor head-to-head record against Monterrey
  • Occasional attacking struggles (failed to score in 2 of last 5)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
55%
API-Football
50%
53%
Monterrey52399

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (53%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Monterrey are clear favourites to win this Liga MX clash against Santos Laguna. The bookmaker-implied probabilities strongly favour the home side, and the API-Football model also predicts a Monterrey victory, reinforcing this outlook.

Form Analysis: Monterrey's recent form has been inconsistent (LDLWL), averaging 1.6 goals scored but conceding 1.8 per game. Santos Laguna have been slightly more stable (WLWLD), with a better defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game) and two clean sheets in their last five. However, Santos have failed to score in two of those five matches, indicating occasional attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Monterrey, with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings. The API comparison gives Monterrey an 80% strength advantage in H2H and 72% overall. Additionally, Monterrey enjoy home advantage at Estadio BBVA, though their home record this season is not available. No significant injuries or suspensions are reported for either side.

Conclusion: The combination of strong H2H dominance, home advantage, and market confidence points to a Monterrey victory. Santos Laguna's defensive solidity could keep the scoreline close, but Monterrey's attacking quality should prevail.

Statistical ContextMonterrey

Double chance : Monterrey or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
MonterreySantos Laguna
72%Strength28%
50%Attacking Potential50%
50%Defensive Potential50%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
64%Goals H2H36%
72%Wins the Game28%

Statistical Context

Monterrey

LWWLD
  • LAug 22, 26A · Leon2-0
  • WAug 16, 26H · FC Juarez6-1
  • WAug 2, 26A · Atlas0-2
  • LJul 26, 26A · Necaxa2-1
  • DApr 12, 26A · Atlas0-0

Santos Laguna

LLLLL
  • LAug 23, 26A · Puebla3-2
  • LAug 17, 26H · Guadalajara Chivas0-1
  • LAug 2, 26A · Club America3-0
  • LJul 26, 26H · Atlas0-1
  • LApr 12, 26A · CF Pachuca4-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Club Tijuana5+110LWDWW
7Monterrey5+59LWWLW
8Leon5+29WWWLL
16Atletico San Luis5-43DLDDL
17Santos Laguna5-70LLLLL
18FC Juarez5-120LLLLL

Head to Head

6
Monterrey
1
Draws
3
Santos Laguna
  • Apr 26, 26Santos Laguna – Monterrey3-0
  • Sep 28, 25Monterrey – Santos Laguna1-0
  • Mar 3, 25Monterrey – Santos Laguna4-2
  • Sep 15, 24Santos Laguna – Monterrey0-2
  • Jan 22, 24Santos Laguna – Monterrey0-2

Season Statistics — 2026

MonterreySantos Laguna
Played54
Goals Scored122
Goals Conceded78
Avg Scored2.40.5
Avg Conceded1.42.0
Clean Sheets10

Monterrey vs Santos Laguna — Match Analysis

Monterrey are predicted to win with 60% probability, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (6 wins in last 10). The main risk is Santos Laguna's recent defensive solidity, which could keep the match tight.

Based on the data, Monterrey are clear favourites to win this Liga MX clash against Santos Laguna. The bookmaker-implied probabilities strongly favour the home side, and the API-Football model also predicts a Monterrey victory, reinforcing this outlook.

Form Analysis: Monterrey's recent form has been inconsistent (LDLWL), averaging 1.6 goals scored but conceding 1.8 per game. Santos Laguna have been slightly more stable (WLWLD), with a better defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game) and two clean sheets in their last five. However, Santos have failed to score in two of those five matches, indicating occasional attacking struggles.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Monterrey, with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings. The API comparison gives Monterrey an 80% strength advantage in H2H and 72% overall. Additionally, Monterrey enjoy home advantage at Estadio BBVA, though their home record this season is not available. No significant injuries or suspensions are reported for either side.

Conclusion: The combination of strong H2H dominance, home advantage, and market confidence points to a Monterrey victory. Santos Laguna's defensive solidity could keep the scoreline close, but Monterrey's attacking quality should prevail.

Win Probabilities: Monterrey: 55% · Draw: 27% · Santos Laguna: 18%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 52%

H2H: Monterrey wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · Santos Laguna wins: 3

Form (latest first): Monterrey: LWWLD · Santos Laguna: LLLLL

  • Monterrey's attack vs Santos Laguna's defense: Monterrey's forwards will test a Santos backline that has been solid recently, but the H2H dominance suggests they can find gaps.
  • Midfield control: Both teams use 4-3-3, so the midfield battle will be crucial. Monterrey's home advantage may give them the edge in possession.
  • Set pieces: With both teams having similar attacking threats, set pieces could be a deciding factor.

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Aug 2901:00
Cruz Azul
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Aug 2901:00
Leon
13.2331%
X3.5728%
22.4441%
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Aug 2903:10
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12.2744%
X3.2331%
24.0025%
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Aug 2923:00
Club Queretaro
12.5040%
X3.3330%
23.3330%
Liga MXMexico
CF Pachuca
Aug 2923:00
Guadalajara Chivas
13.4529%
X3.2331%
22.5040%
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Aug 3001:05
Puebla
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Aug 3003:10
Tigres UANL
15.2619%
X3.4529%
21.9252%
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Aug 3100:00
FC Juarez
11.3972%
X5.0020%
212.508%
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Aug 3102:10
Atletico San Luis
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 501:00
Toluca
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Sep 503:00
CF Pachuca
Early projection
19.0911%
X6.6715%
21.3574%
Liga MXMexico
Club Queretaro
Sep 523:00
Monterrey
Early projection
13.3330%
X4.1724%
22.1746%
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Sep 523:00
Guadalajara Chivas
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Sep 601:00
Necaxa
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Sep 601:00
Club Tijuana
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%