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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Puebla vs Toluca

Puebla vs Toluca

Prediction • Liga MX·Puebla·Toluca

Liga MX
Liga MX
Sep 5, 2026
01:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Puebla

Puebla

Home
VS
VS
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Toluca

Toluca

Away
Win Probabilities
35%
Puebla
27%
Draw
38%
Toluca
Home2.8635%
Draw3.7027%
Away2.6338%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Toluca are the clear favourites, backed by superior form and a dominant head-to-head record. However, Puebla's desperation to end their losing streak could make this a tighter contest than expected.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Puebla
/10
4.0Toluca
Puebla
FormLatest first
WDLWL
Win Rate40%
Toluca
FormLatest first
DWLWL
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageEven Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Puebla
Home

Puebla

Form
WLDW
Latest first
15
Pos
14
Pts
0
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 3 matches)

Clean Sheets133%
Goal Diff0
  • Solid defensive organization in some matches
  • Ability to score from set pieces
  • Fighting spirit despite poor form

Key Players

I. Maestro Puch
I. Maestro Puch
7.3
Goals
1
Assists
0
I. Moreno
I. Moreno
5.9
Goals
0
Assists
0

Head to Head

Last 10
Puebla
Puebla
1Wins
4
Draws
Toluca
5Wins
Toluca
10%40%50%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Jan312026
PueblaPuebla
0-0
Draw
TolucaToluca
Sep142025
TolucaToluca
3-1
Loss
PueblaPuebla
Mar152025
PueblaPuebla
0-3
Loss
TolucaToluca
Oct232024
TolucaToluca
5-0
Loss
PueblaPuebla
Jan272024
PueblaPuebla
1-1
Draw
TolucaToluca
Nov12023
TolucaToluca
0-1
Win
PueblaPuebla
Jun242023
TolucaToluca
1-1
Draw
PueblaPuebla
Apr82023
PueblaPuebla
1-2
Loss
TolucaToluca
Aug32022
TolucaToluca
1-1
Draw
PueblaPuebla
Apr32022
TolucaToluca
2-1
Loss
PueblaPuebla

Past Predictions

0%0/1 correct

Puebla 0 - 0 Toluca

Jan 31, 2026

18% / 24% / 58%

Puebla4-2-3-1vs4-3-3TolucaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Central creativity vs wide threat. Balance key.

TolucaToluca4-3-3
PueblaPuebla4-2-3-1
TolucaBenchToluca7
PueblaBenchPuebla7

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
Club America
431081+710
2
Club Tijuana
Club Tijuana
431062+410
3
Monterrey
Monterrey
4301125+79
4
Atlas
Atlas
430165+19
5
Toluca
TolucaAway
421163+37
6
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
421175+27
7
Puebla
PueblaHome
421165+17
8
Club Queretaro
Club Queretaro
421154+17
9
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas
42113307
10
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
42028806
11
Leon
Leon
42025506
12
Necaxa
Necaxa
420267-16
13
Atlante FC
Atlante FC
41215505
14
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
41036603
15
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
402248-42
16
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
4013610-41
17
Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna
400428-60
18
FC Juarez
FC Juarez
4004213-110
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Draw

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

35%Puebla
27%Draw
38%Toluca

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Sep 5 · 01:00
League StatsLiga MX

Statistical Context

Puebla

WDLWL
  • WAug 18, 26A · CF Pachuca2-3
  • DAug 1, 26H · Guadalajara Chivas1-1
  • LJul 22, 26A · Cruz Azul2-1
  • WJul 18, 26A · FC Juarez0-1
  • LApr 11, 26H · Leon0-1

Toluca

DWLWL
  • DAug 15, 26A · Atlante FC0-0
  • WAug 3, 26H · Necaxa3-1
  • LJul 22, 26H · U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-2
  • WJul 19, 26A · Guadalajara Chivas0-2
  • LMay 10, 26A · CF Pachuca2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
4Atlas4+19WLWW
5Toluca4+37DWLW
6U.N.A.M. - Pumas4+27DWWL
7Puebla4+17WDLW
8Club Queretaro4+17DWWL

Head to Head

1
Puebla
4
Draws
5
Toluca
  • Jan 31, 26Puebla – Toluca0-0
  • Sep 14, 25Toluca – Puebla3-1
  • Mar 15, 25Puebla – Toluca0-3
  • Oct 23, 24Toluca – Puebla5-0
  • Jan 27, 24Puebla – Toluca1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

PueblaToluca
Played34
Goals Scored36
Goals Conceded33
Avg Scored1.01.5
Avg Conceded1.00.8
Clean Sheets12

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

PueblaToluca
Over 2.5 Goals—5/10
Both Teams Scored—4/10
Clean Sheets—5/10

Predicted Line-ups & Formations

Predicted XI

Puebla

Formation 4-2-3-1
  1. 28GR. Gutiérrez
  2. 5DF. Almada
  3. 2DA. Leyva
  4. 12DI. Moreno
  5. 20DJ. Pachuca
  6. 22MC. Baltazar
  7. 3MA. Herrera
  8. 34MLucas Camilo
  9. 24MA. Organista
  10. 16MA. Ramírez
  11. 9AL. Hernández

Toluca

Formation 4-3-3
  1. 22GL. García
  2. 184DSebastian Aceves
  3. 2DD. Barbosa
  4. 3DA. Briseño
  5. 4DB. Méndez
  6. 10MJ. Angulo
  7. 24MF. Arce
  8. 35MÉ. Gutiérrez
  9. 29AJ. Díaz
  10. 16AF. Viñas
  11. 23AO. Virgen

Coach: R. La Volpe

Puebla vs Toluca — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Toluca are the clear favourites, backed by superior form and a dominant head-to-head record. However, Puebla's desperation to end their losing streak could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Based on the available data, Toluca enters this match as the clear favourite. The API-Football model gives them a 45% chance of winning, and the team comparison strongly favours them in overall strength (70.4% vs 29.6%).…

Win Probabilities: Puebla: 35% · Draw: 27% · Toluca: 38%

H2H: Puebla wins: 1 · Draws: 4 · Toluca wins: 5

Form (latest first): Puebla: WDLWL · Toluca: DWLWL

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Aug 2201:00
Atlante FC
11.5963%
X4.5522%
26.6715%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Leon
Aug 2201:00
Monterrey
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Aug 2203:00
Club America
14.3523%
X3.4529%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Queretaro
Aug 2203:10
Toluca
15.0020%
X3.5728%
21.9252%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Aug 2223:07
Club Tijuana
11.9252%
X3.7027%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Aug 2301:00
Santos Laguna
12.2245%
X3.3330%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Aug 2303:00
Atlas
11.9651%
X3.7027%
24.5522%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Aug 2323:00
CF Pachuca
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Aug 2401:00
Necaxa
12.0449%
X3.8526%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Aug 2901:00
Cruz Azul
Early projection
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Aug 2901:00
Leon
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Aug 2903:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Aug 2923:00
Club Queretaro
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
CF Pachuca
Aug 2923:00
Guadalajara Chivas
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Aug 3001:00
Puebla
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.2619%
25.5618%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access