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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Toluca vs Monterrey

Toluca vs Monterrey

Prediction • Liga MX·Toluca·Monterrey

Liga MX
Liga MX
Nov 8, 2026
01:00
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Toluca

Toluca

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Early projection · Odds pending
Monterrey

Monterrey

Away
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Win Probabilities
60%
Toluca
20%
Draw
20%
Monterrey
Home1.6760%
Draw5.0020%
Away5.0020%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Toluca are clear favourites to win, supported by their superior league position, strong home record, and dominant head-to-head history. The main risk is Monterrey's recent win and their ability to score through L. Ocampos, which could cause an upset.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Toluca vs Monterrey.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
4.0Toluca
/10
2.0Monterrey
Toluca
FormLatest first
LDLWW
Win Rate40%
Monterrey
FormLatest first
DLWDL
Win Rate20%
Momentum AdvantageToluca+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Toluca
Home

Toluca

Form
WWLDL
Latest first
2
Pos
35
Pts
+11
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 10 matches)

Clean Sheets440%
Goal Diff+11
  • Prolific attack: 23 goals in last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 per game
  • Strong home record: 3 wins in 5 home games
  • Dominant head-to-head: 6 wins in last 9 meetings

Key Players

J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
7.2
Goals
1
Assists
0
Helinho
Helinho
7.9
Goals
0
Assists
1
Monterrey
Away

Monterrey

Form
LDWLD
Latest first
5
Pos
31
Pts
+2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 9 matches)

Clean Sheets333%
Goal Diff+2
  • Recent win: ended last match with a victory, boosting morale
  • Two clean sheets in last five matches
  • Key player L. Ocampos in excellent form with 2 goals and 1 assist

Key Players

L. Ocampos
L. Ocampos
10.0
Goals
2
Assists
1
J. Corona
J. Corona
7.9
Goals
1
Assists
0
D. Rossi
D. Rossi
6.9
Goals
0
Assists
1

Head to Head

Last 10
Toluca
Toluca
6Wins
1
Draws
Monterrey
3Wins
Monterrey
60%10%30%

Recent Matches

Last 10
Oct32026
MonterreyMonterrey
2-1
Loss
TolucaToluca
Sep72026
TolucaToluca
2-0
Win
MonterreyMonterrey
Jan112026
MonterreyMonterrey
0-1
Win
TolucaToluca
Dec72025
TolucaToluca
3-2
Win
MonterreyMonterrey
Dec42025
MonterreyMonterrey
1-0
Loss
TolucaToluca
Sep252025
TolucaToluca
6-2
Win
MonterreyMonterrey
May112025
TolucaToluca
2-1
Win
MonterreyMonterrey
May82025
MonterreyMonterrey
3-2
Loss
TolucaToluca
Jan192025
TolucaToluca
1-1
Draw
MonterreyMonterrey
Sep12024
MonterreyMonterrey
1-2
Win
TolucaToluca

Past Predictions

33%1/3 correct

Monterrey 0 - 1 Toluca

Jan 11, 2026

55% / 25% / 20%

Toluca 3 - 2 Monterrey

Dec 7, 2025

45% / 45% / 10%

Monterrey 1 - 0 Toluca

Dec 4, 2025

33% / 33% / 34%

Toluca4-3-3vs4-3-3MonterreyPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Mirror formation. Tactical discipline and individual quality will decide.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Club America
106312211+1121
2
TolucaHome
116232515+1020
3
Club Queretaro
10622158+720
4
Guadalajara Chivas
115421811+719
5
Leon
115331512+318
6
Atlas
115331718-118
7
Cruz Azul
115242221+117
8
Club Tijuana
104331514+115
9
Puebla
114341213-115
10
MonterreyAway
104241715+214
11
CF Pachuca
113441814+413
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
113441719-213
13
Tigres UANL
113441315-213
14
Santos Laguna
114161216-413
15
Atletico San Luis
113351520-512
16
Atlante FC
112541217-511
17
Necaxa
112361523-89
18
FC Juarez
11119826-184
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Toluca

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

60%Toluca
20%Draw
20%Monterrey

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Nov 8 · 01:00
StadiumEstadio Nemesio Diez
League StatsLiga MX
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · TolucaInjuries · MonterreyLive scores →

Statistical Context

Toluca

LDLWW
  • LOct 10, 26A · Tigres UANL3-2
  • DSep 26, 26A · Cruz Azul3-3
  • LSep 21, 26H · Santos Laguna2-3
  • WSep 16, 26A · Puebla0-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · Atlas5-2

Monterrey

DLWDL
  • DOct 11, 26A · Club America1-1
  • LSep 26, 26A · Atlante FC4-2
  • WSep 20, 26H · Cruz Azul1-0
  • DSep 13, 26H · Tigres UANL0-0
  • LAug 31, 26H · Atletico San Luis1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Club America10+1121DWDLW
2Toluca11+1020LDLWW
3Club Queretaro10+720WWDWW
9Puebla11-115DLDLW
10Monterrey10+214DLWDL
11CF Pachuca11+413DLDWW

Head to Head

6
Toluca
1
Draws
3
Monterrey
  • Oct 3, 26Monterrey – Toluca2-1
  • Sep 7, 26Toluca – Monterrey2-0
  • Jan 11, 26Monterrey – Toluca0-1
  • Dec 7, 25Toluca – Monterrey3-2
  • Dec 4, 25Monterrey – Toluca1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

TolucaMonterrey
Played109
Goals Scored2316
Goals Conceded1214
Avg Scored2.31.8
Avg Conceded1.21.6
Clean Sheets43

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

TolucaMonterrey
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored4/10—
Clean Sheets5/10—

Predicted line-ups: Toluca vs Monterrey

Predicted XI

Toluca

4-3-3Formation· Coach: R. La Volpe

Monterrey

4-3-3Formation· Coach: Domènec Torrent

  1. 1E. Andrada
  1. 19A. Aceves
  2. 14É. Aguirre
  3. 3G. Arteaga
  4. 34C. Bustos
  1. 5F. Ambríz
  2. 11Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
  3. 200O. Galvez
  1. 17J. Corona
  2. 99H. Cuypers
  3. 203A. De Nigris
  1. 191C. Carrillo
  2. 29J. Díaz
  3. 198Jose Estrada
  1. 10J. Angulo
  2. 24F. Arce
  3. 8N. Castro
  1. 184S. Aceves
  2. 2D. Barbosa
  3. 3A. Briseño
  4. 4B. Méndez
  1. 12R. Beltrán

Bench

  • 22L. García
  • 1H. González
  • 18D. Shrem
  • 20J. Gallardo
  • 17B. García
  • 13Luan
  • 206Erick Orta

Bench

  • 22L. Cárdenas
  • 232S. Lomelin
  • 31C. Ramos
  • 2R. Chávez
  • 193C. Frayde
  • 4V. Guzmán
  • 33S. Medina

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Toluca vs Monterrey — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Toluca are clear favourites to win, supported by their superior league position, strong home record, and dominant head-to-head history. The main risk is Monterrey's recent win and their ability to score through L. Ocampos, which could cause an upset.

Toluca are the clear favourites to win this Liga MX clash against Monterrey, backed by their superior league position, strong home record, and dominant head-to-head history. The data points to a home victory, though Monterrey's recent win streak adds a note of caution.…

Win Probabilities: Toluca: 60% · Draw: 20% · Monterrey: 20%

H2H: Toluca wins: 6 · Draws: 1 · Monterrey wins: 3

Form (latest first): Toluca: LDLWW · Monterrey: DLWDL

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Necaxa
Oct 1701:00
Atlas
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Oct 1703:00
Puebla
11.9651%
X3.8526%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Oct 1703:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Oct 1723:00
Club Queretaro
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Oct 1723:07
Tigres UANL
12.1347%
X3.5728%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Oct 1801:00
Atletico San Luis
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Leon
Oct 1801:00
Club America
13.3330%
X3.7027%
22.3343%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Oct 1803:00
FC Juarez
11.4569%
X4.7621%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Oct 1901:00
CF Pachuca
11.9651%
X4.1724%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Oct 2100:07
Necaxa
Early projection
11.3276%
X7.1414%
210.0010%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Oct 2101:00
Atlante FC
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Oct 2101:00
Club Queretaro
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Oct 2103:00
Leon
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Oct 2201:00
Club Tijuana
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Oct 2201:00
Club America
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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