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  1. Home
  2. Liga MX
  3. Tigres UANL vs Toluca

Tigres UANL vs Toluca

Prediction • Liga MX·Tigres UANL·Toluca

Liga MX
Liga MX
Oct 10, 2026
03:00
Early projection · Odds pending
Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Universitario
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Toluca

Toluca

Away
Stadium
Estadio Universitario
Win Probabilities
15%
Tigres UANL
17%
Draw
68%
Toluca
Home6.6715%
Draw5.8817%
Away1.4768%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Toluca are clear favourites, driven by a five-match winning streak and four clean sheets in their last five games. The main risk is Tigres' unbeaten home record, which could make this a tighter contest than form suggests.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Tigres UANL vs Toluca.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Tigres UANL
/10
8.0Toluca
Tigres UANL
FormLatest first
DDDWL
Win Rate20%
Toluca
FormLatest first
WWWWD
Win Rate80%
Momentum AdvantageToluca+6.0

Featured Players

Compare the key players from each team

Key Battle

M
Juan Brunetta
7.7

Juan Brunetta

Tigres UANL

VS
Federico Pereira
7.9

Federico Pereira

Toluca

26ATT26
100TEC100
39TAC42
13DEF31
30CRE0

Team Streaks

Statistical trends from recent matches

Team Streaks

Last 10 Matches
Scoring
5/10
Over 2.5 Goals
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2.1
Avg Scored
1.7
Defense
2/10
Clean Sheets
5/10
1.2
Avg Conceded
0.8
Match Flow
9/10
Scored First
6/10
3.2
Avg Cards
1.6
4.5
Avg Corners
5.5

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Tigres UANL
Home

Tigres UANL

Form
LWDDD
Latest first
3
Pos
34
Pts
-2
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 7 matches)

Clean Sheets229%
Goal Diff-2
  • Unbeaten at home this season (1W-2D-0L)
  • Two clean sheets in last five matches
  • Home advantage at Estadio Universitario

Key Players

O. Herrera
O. Herrera
7.5
Goals
1
Assists
0
J. Vigón
J. Vigón
6.5
Goals
0
Assists
0
V. Loroña
V. Loroña
6.3
Goals
0
Assists
0

Head to Head

Last 10
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
3Wins
3
Draws
Toluca
4Wins
Toluca
30%30%40%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May312026
TolucaToluca
1-1
Draw
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
Jan182026
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
0-0
Draw
TolucaToluca
Dec152025
TolucaToluca
2-1
Loss
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
Dec122025
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
1-0
Win
TolucaToluca
Jul272025
TolucaToluca
3-4
Win
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
May182025
TolucaToluca
3-0
Loss
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
May152025
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
1-1
Draw
TolucaToluca
Feb22025
TolucaToluca
1-0
Loss
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
Nov72024
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
2-1
Win
TolucaToluca
Mar22024
TolucaToluca
2-1
Loss
Tigres UANLTigres UANL

Past Predictions

50%1/2 correct

Tigres UANL 0 - 0 Toluca

Jan 18, 2026

34% / 33% / 33%

Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Toluca

Dec 12, 2025

35% / 35% / 30%

Tigres UANL4-4-2vs4-3-3TolucaPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Compact midfield can stifle central play. Vulnerable to wide attacks.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga MX

League Statistics

Liga MX • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Guadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas
8521156+917
2
Toluca
TolucaAway
7511176+1116
3
Club America
Club America
7511156+916
4
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
85031614+215
5
Club Queretaro
Club Queretaro
7412107+313
6
Leon
Leon
8413119+213
7
Club Tijuana
Club Tijuana
7412108+213
8
Puebla
Puebla
7412109+113
9
Atlas
Atlas
84131214-213
10
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
8323138+511
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
83231112-111
12
Monterrey
Monterrey
73131310+310
13
Necaxa
Necaxa
8224913-48
14
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANLHome
8143911-27
15
Atlante FC
Atlante FC
8143712-57
16
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
8134815-76
17
Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna
8116613-74
18
FC Juarez
FC Juarez
8008423-190
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Toluca

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

15%Tigres UANL
17%Draw
68%Toluca

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSat, Oct 10 · 03:00
StadiumEstadio Universitario
League StatsLiga MX
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Tigres UANLInjuries · Toluca

Statistical Context

Tigres UANL

DDDWL
  • DSep 13, 26A · Monterrey0-0
  • DSep 6, 26H · Necaxa1-1
  • DAug 30, 26A · Santos Laguna0-0
  • WAug 22, 26H · Atlante FC2-0
  • LAug 16, 26A · Atlas2-1

Toluca

WWWWD
  • WSep 16, 26A · Puebla0-1
  • WSep 12, 26H · Atlas5-2
  • WAug 31, 26H · FC Juarez4-0
  • WAug 22, 26A · Club Queretaro1-2
  • DAug 15, 26A · Atlante FC0-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Guadalajara Chivas8+917WWDWW
2Toluca7+1116WWWDW
3Club America7+916LWWWW
13Necaxa8-48LDLDL
14Tigres UANL8-27DDDWL
15Atlante FC8-57LDDLD

Head to Head

3
Tigres UANL
3
Draws
4
Toluca
  • May 31, 26Toluca – Tigres UANL1-1
  • Jan 18, 26Tigres UANL – Toluca0-0
  • Dec 15, 25Toluca – Tigres UANL2-1
  • Dec 12, 25Tigres UANL – Toluca1-0
  • Jul 27, 25Toluca – Tigres UANL3-4

Season Statistics — 2026

Tigres UANLToluca
Played76
Goals Scored912
Goals Conceded114
Avg Scored1.32.0
Avg Conceded1.60.7
Clean Sheets23

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Tigres UANLToluca
Over 2.5 Goals5/105/10
Both Teams Scored7/104/10
Clean Sheets2/105/10

Predicted line-ups: Tigres UANL vs Toluca

Predicted XI

Tigres UANL

4-4-2Formation· Coach: G. Pizarro

Toluca

4-3-3Formation· Coach: R. La Volpe

  1. 12R. Beltrán
  1. 2D. Barbosa
  2. 3A. Briseño
  3. 20J. Gallardo
  4. 17B. García
  1. 10J. Angulo
  2. 24F. Arce
  3. 8N. Castro
  1. 11Helinho
  2. 26Paulinho
  3. 9A. Vega
  1. 17R. Aguirre
  2. 11J. Brunetta
  1. 5C. Araújo
  2. 198I. Galvan
  3. 23Rômulo
  4. 30D. Sánchez
  1. 15A. Franco
  2. 14J. Garza
  3. 33R. Guerrero
  4. 28Joaquim
  1. 1N. Guzmán

Bench

  • 25F. Rodríguez
  • 26F. Ordóñez
  • 200Diego Ramirez
  • 34Simeone
  • 6J. Vigón
  • 16D. Lainez
  • 19M. Laínez

Bench

  • 1H. González
  • 18D. Shrem
  • 13Luan
  • 6F. Pereira
  • 25E. López
  • 7V. Guzmán
  • 192L. Navarrete

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Toluca are clear favourites, driven by a five-match winning streak and four clean sheets in their last five games. The main risk is Tigres' unbeaten home record, which could make this a tighter contest than form suggests.

Toluca arrive at the Estadio Universitario as clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning run and a defensive record that has conceded just four goals across their last five outings. The visitors…

Win Probabilities: Tigres UANL: 15% · Draw: 17% · Toluca: 68%

H2H: Tigres UANL wins: 3 · Draws: 3 · Toluca wins: 4

Form (latest first): Tigres UANL: DDDWL · Toluca: WWWWD

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Liga MX

Liga MX

Mexico15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga MXMexico
Puebla
Sep 1901:00
Atlante FC
12.3343%
X3.1332%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
FC Juarez
Sep 1903:00
Tigres UANL
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlas
Sep 1923:00
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atletico San Luis
Sep 1923:00
Necaxa
12.8635%
X3.1332%
23.0333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Monterrey
Sep 2001:00
Cruz Azul
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club America
Sep 2003:00
Guadalajara Chivas
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Toluca
Sep 2100:00
Santos Laguna
11.3276%
X5.5618%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
CF Pachuca
Sep 2100:00
Club Tijuana
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Queretaro
Sep 2102:00
Leon
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Atlante FC
Sep 2601:00
Monterrey
Early projection
14.3523%
X4.7621%
21.7956%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Club Tijuana
Sep 2603:00
Atlas
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Cruz Azul
Sep 2623:00
Toluca
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Guadalajara Chivas
Sep 2623:07
Club Queretaro
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Tigres UANL
Sep 2701:00
Puebla
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga MXMexico
Santos Laguna
Sep 2701:00
CF Pachuca
Early projection
13.8526%
X4.5522%
21.9252%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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