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  1. Home
  2. Eerste Divisie
  3. FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap

Result • Eerste Divisie·FC Eindhoven·De Graafschap

Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie
Oct 3, 2026
18:00
low Confidence
DRAW
FC Eindhoven

FC Eindhoven

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.75
X3.50
22.25
Stadium
Jan Louwers Stadion
low Confidence
DRAW
De Graafschap

De Graafschap

Away
Odds
12.75
X3.50
22.25
Stadium
Jan Louwers Stadion
Win Probabilities
36%
FC Eindhoven
25%
Draw
39%
De Graafschap
Home2.7536%
Draw3.5025%
Away2.2539%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

De Graafschap are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this Eerste Divisie fixture between FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns FC Eindhoven a 36% win probability, a 25% chance of a draw, and De Graafschap a 39% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 68%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 68%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Rayan·BuifrahiAssist: Raf van de Riet
    22'
    Goal: Rayan·BuifrahiFC Eindhoven · Assist: Raf van de Riet
  2. 24'
    Yellow Card: Jannes Luca·WieckhoffDe Graafschap
    Yellow Card: Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff
  3. 46'
    Substitution: gabriele finocchiaroDe Graafschap · Out: Bjorn van Zijl
    Substitution: gabriele finocchiaroOut: Bjorn van Zijl
  4. 53'
    Goal: gabriele finocchiaroDe Graafschap · Assist: Mark Diemers
    Goal: gabriele finocchiaroAssist: Mark Diemers
  5. Substitution: Clint EssersOut: Luc Netten
    60'
    Substitution: Clint EssersFC Eindhoven · Out: Luc Netten
  6. Substitution: Amir BrysonOut: Hugo Deenen
    60'
    Substitution: Amir BrysonFC Eindhoven · Out: Hugo Deenen
  7. 60'
    Substitution: Thomas KokDe Graafschap · Out: Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff
    Substitution: Thomas KokOut: Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff
  8. 68'
    Substitution: Kyano KwintDe Graafschap · Out: Julian kania
    Substitution: Kyano KwintOut: Julian kania
  9. 68'
    Substitution: Jorn TriepDe Graafschap · Out: Mark Diemers
    Substitution: Jorn TriepOut: Mark Diemers
  10. 70'
    Goal: Kyano KwintDe Graafschap · Assist: Fedde De Jong
    Goal: Kyano KwintAssist: Fedde De Jong
  11. Substitution: Niek MunstersOut: Xander Blomme
    70'
    Substitution: Niek MunstersFC Eindhoven · Out: Xander Blomme
  12. Goal: Siegert BaartmansAssist: Guus Beaumont
    72'
    Goal: Siegert BaartmansFC Eindhoven · Assist: Guus Beaumont
  13. Yellow Card: Raf van de Riet
    77'
    Yellow Card: Raf van de RietFC Eindhoven
  14. Yellow Card: Rayan·Buifrahi
    77'
    Yellow Card: Rayan·BuifrahiFC Eindhoven
  15. 77'
    Yellow Card: Nolan MartensDe Graafschap
    Yellow Card: Nolan Martens
  16. 85'
    Substitution: Joran HardemanDe Graafschap · Out: Donny Warmerdam
    Substitution: Joran HardemanOut: Donny Warmerdam
  17. Substitution: antonio bazdaricOut: Kevin van Veen
    89'
    Substitution: antonio bazdaricFC Eindhoven · Out: Kevin van Veen
  18. 90'
    Yellow Card: gijs bolkDe Graafschap
    Yellow Card: gijs bolk
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headFC Eindhoven – De GraafschapInjuriesFC EindhovenInjuriesDe GraafschapLive scores

Statistical Context

FC Eindhoven

LLLLW
  • LOct 23, 26H · Jong PSV U211-2
  • LOct 16, 26H · Vitesse0-1
  • LOct 9, 26A · Almere City FC3-0
  • LSep 26, 26A · NAC Breda4-2
  • WSep 18, 26H · Emmen3-1

De Graafschap

DLWWL
  • DOct 23, 26H · Waalwijk1-1
  • LOct 19, 26A · Jong Ajax2-1
  • WOct 9, 26H · Jong Utrecht2-1
  • WSep 27, 26H · Den Bosch1-0
  • LSep 20, 26H · NAC Breda1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1De Graafschap000—
2VVV Venlo000—
3Den Bosch000—
4Dordrecht000—
5FC Eindhoven000—
6Emmen000—

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap — Match Analysis

De Graafschap are favoured at 40%; our projected score is 1-2.

FC Eindhoven host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday, 3 October 2026. Our model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 40%, with the draw at 24% and FC Eindhoven at 36%.

Form and league position

The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.7–1.7, about 3.4 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 68%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price FC Eindhoven at 2.85, the draw at 3.75 and De Graafschap at 2.22; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

De Graafschap to win (40%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: FC Eindhoven: 36% · Draw: 25% · De Graafschap: 39%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (8.3% chance)

Over 2.5: 66% · Under 2.5: 34% · BTTS: 68%

Form (latest first): FC Eindhoven: LLLLW · De Graafschap: DLWWL

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Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Roda
Oct 3019:00
Jong AZ
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Volendam
Oct 3019:00
De Graafschap
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Waalwijk
Oct 3019:00
Almere City FC
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Helmond Sport
Oct 3019:00
FC Eindhoven
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
MVV
Oct 3115:30
VVV Venlo
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Emmen
Nov 113:30
Den Bosch
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 219:00
FC OSS
11.2580%
X8.3312%
212.508%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong PSV U21
Nov 219:00
NAC Breda
13.8526%
X4.3523%
21.9651%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Ajax
Nov 219:00
Vitesse
13.0333%
X4.1724%
22.3343%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Utrecht
Nov 219:00
Dordrecht
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
VVV Venlo
Nov 619:00
Jong PSV U21
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 619:00
Roda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Dordrecht
Nov 619:00
NAC Breda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong AZ
Nov 619:00
Almere City FC
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Eindhoven
Nov 619:00
Jong Ajax
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

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