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  1. Home
  2. Eerste Divisie
  3. De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht

De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht

Result • Eerste Divisie·De Graafschap·Jong Utrecht

Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie
Oct 9, 2026
18:00
high Confidence
WINNER
De Graafschap

De Graafschap

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.62
X4.20
24.40
Stadium
De Vijverberg
high Confidence
Jong Utrecht

Jong Utrecht

Away
Odds
11.62
X4.20
24.40
Stadium
De Vijverberg
Win Probabilities
59%
De Graafschap
20%
Draw
21%
Jong Utrecht
Home1.6259%
Draw4.2020%
Away4.4021%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

De Graafschap are favoured at 61%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Eerste Divisie fixture between De Graafschap and Jong Utrecht using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns De Graafschap a 59% win probability, a 20% chance of a draw, and Jong Utrecht a 21% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 65%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 65%

Match Events

  1. 24'
    Goal: Wessel KooyJong Utrecht
    Goal: Wessel Kooy
  2. 42'
    Yellow Card: Emmanuel Chigozie OwenJong Utrecht
    Yellow Card: Emmanuel Chigozie Owen
  3. Substitution: Toivo MeroOut: Kaya Symons
    45'
    Substitution: Toivo MeroDe Graafschap · Out: Kaya Symons
  4. 60'
    Substitution: Driss LaaouinaJong Utrecht · Out: Jaygo van Ommeren
    Substitution: Driss LaaouinaOut: Jaygo van Ommeren
  5. Substitution: gabriele finocchiaroOut: Bjorn van Zijl
    60'
    Substitution: gabriele finocchiaroDe Graafschap · Out: Bjorn van Zijl
  6. Substitution: Levi SchoppemaOut: Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff
    60'
    Substitution: Levi SchoppemaDe Graafschap · Out: Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff
  7. 60'
    Substitution: Richie OmorowaJong Utrecht · Out: Noa Malik Dundas
    Substitution: Richie OmorowaOut: Noa Malik Dundas
  8. Substitution: Julian kaniaOut: Kyano Kwint
    72'
    Substitution: Julian kaniaDe Graafschap · Out: Kyano Kwint
  9. Goal: Fedde De JongAssist: gabriele finocchiaro
    74'
    Goal: Fedde De JongDe Graafschap · Assist: gabriele finocchiaro
  10. 74'
    Substitution: tijn boggende denJong Utrecht · Out: Massien Ghaddari
    Substitution: tijn boggende denOut: Massien Ghaddari
  11. Goal: Julian kaniaAssist: Nolan Martens
    77'
    Goal: Julian kaniaDe Graafschap · Assist: Nolan Martens
  12. Substitution: Joran HardemanOut: Mark Diemers
    78'
    Substitution: Joran HardemanDe Graafschap · Out: Mark Diemers
  13. 80'
    Substitution: Donovan AfrifaJong Utrecht · Out: Bjorn Menzo
    Substitution: Donovan AfrifaOut: Bjorn Menzo
  14. 80'
    Substitution: Levi RietveldJong Utrecht · Out: Emmanuel Chigozie Owen
    Substitution: Levi RietveldOut: Emmanuel Chigozie Owen
  15. Yellow Card: Joran Hardeman
    84'
    Yellow Card: Joran HardemanDe Graafschap
  16. Yellow Card: Julian kania
    88'
    Yellow Card: Julian kaniaDe Graafschap
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · De GraafschapInjuries · Jong UtrechtLive scores →

Statistical Context

De Graafschap

DLDWL
  • DOct 23, 26H · Waalwijk1-1
  • LOct 19, 26A · Jong Ajax2-1
  • DOct 3, 26A · FC Eindhoven2-2
  • WSep 27, 26H · Den Bosch1-0
  • LSep 20, 26H · NAC Breda1-2

Jong Utrecht

LLLWW
  • LOct 23, 26A · FC Volendam6-2
  • LOct 19, 26H · Roda1-2
  • LSep 18, 26H · VVV Venlo1-3
  • WSep 14, 26H · Jong Ajax6-1
  • WSep 11, 26A · NAC Breda2-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1De Graafschap000—
2VVV Venlo000—
19Jong AZ000—
20Jong Utrecht000—

De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht — Match Analysis

De Graafschap are favoured at 61%; our projected score is 2-1.

De Graafschap host Jong Utrecht in the Eerste Divisie on Friday, 9 October 2026. Our model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 61%, with the draw at 19% and Jong Utrecht at 20%.

Form and league position

The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.9–1.4, about 3.3 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 65%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price De Graafschap at 1.62, the draw at 4.45 and Jong Utrecht at 4.35; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

De Graafschap to win (61%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: De Graafschap: 59% · Draw: 20% · Jong Utrecht: 21%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (9.3% chance)

Over 2.5: 64% · Under 2.5: 36% · BTTS: 65%

Form (latest first): De Graafschap: DLDWL · Jong Utrecht: LLLWW

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Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Emmen
Oct 3019:00
Den Bosch
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Roda
Oct 3019:00
Jong AZ
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Volendam
Oct 3019:00
De Graafschap
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Waalwijk
Oct 3019:00
Almere City FC
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Helmond Sport
Oct 3019:00
FC Eindhoven
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
MVV
Oct 3115:30
VVV Venlo
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 219:00
FC OSS
11.2580%
X8.3312%
212.508%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong PSV U21
Nov 219:00
NAC Breda
13.8526%
X4.3523%
21.9651%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Ajax
Nov 219:00
Vitesse
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Utrecht
Nov 219:00
Dordrecht
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
VVV Venlo
Nov 619:00
Jong PSV U21
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 619:00
Roda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Dordrecht
Nov 619:00
NAC Breda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong AZ
Nov 619:00
Almere City FC
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Eindhoven
Nov 619:00
Jong Ajax
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

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