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  1. Home
  2. Eerste Divisie
  3. De Graafschap vs NAC Breda

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda

Result • Eerste Divisie·De Graafschap·NAC Breda

Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie
Sep 20, 2026
14:45
medium Confidence
De Graafschap

De Graafschap

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.25
X3.80
21.91
Stadium
De Vijverberg
medium Confidence
WINNER
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

Away
Odds
13.25
X3.80
21.91
Stadium
De Vijverberg
Win Probabilities
31%
De Graafschap
24%
Draw
45%
NAC Breda
Home3.2531%
Draw3.8024%
Away1.9145%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

NAC Breda are favoured at 44%; our projected score is 1-2.

Our AI model analyzes this Eerste Divisie fixture between De Graafschap and NAC Breda using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns De Graafschap a 31% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and NAC Breda a 45% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 69%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 69%

Match Events

  1. 18'
    Goal: Charles-Andreas BrymNAC Breda
    Goal: Charles-Andreas Brym
  2. 40'
    Goal: Charles-Andreas BrymNAC Breda · Assist: Mohamed Nassoh
    Goal: Charles-Andreas BrymAssist: Mohamed Nassoh
  3. 44'
    Yellow Card: Mohamed NassohNAC Breda
    Yellow Card: Mohamed Nassoh
  4. Goal: Julian kaniaAssist: Nolan Martens
    45'
    Goal: Julian kaniaDe Graafschap · Assist: Nolan Martens
  5. Yellow Card: Thomas Kok
    56'
    Yellow Card: Thomas KokDe Graafschap
  6. Substitution: gabriele finocchiaroOut: Bjorn van Zijl
    58'
    Substitution: gabriele finocchiaroDe Graafschap · Out: Bjorn van Zijl
  7. Substitution: Kyano KwintOut: Julian kania
    58'
    Substitution: Kyano KwintDe Graafschap · Out: Julian kania
  8. Red Card: Thomas Kok
    63'
    Red Card: Thomas KokDe Graafschap
  9. 64'
    Substitution: Fredrik JensenNAC Breda · Out: Charles-Andreas Brym
    Substitution: Fredrik JensenOut: Charles-Andreas Brym
  10. Substitution: Nathan Charles KanindaOut: Toivo Mero
    69'
    Substitution: Nathan Charles KanindaDe Graafschap · Out: Toivo Mero
  11. Substitution: Jannes Luca·WieckhoffOut: Kaya Symons
    69'
    Substitution: Jannes Luca·WieckhoffDe Graafschap · Out: Kaya Symons
  12. 73'
    Substitution: Brahim GhalidiNAC Breda · Out: Jannes Van Hecke
    Substitution: Brahim GhalidiOut: Jannes Van Hecke
  13. 82'
    Yellow Card: Jan Van den BerghNAC Breda
    Yellow Card: Jan Van den Bergh
  14. 84'
    Substitution: Imran NazihNAC Breda · Out: Kamal Sowah
    Substitution: Imran NazihOut: Kamal Sowah
  15. 84'
    Substitution: Gabriel Osei MisehouyNAC Breda · Out: Boyd Lucassen
    Substitution: Gabriel Osei MisehouyOut: Boyd Lucassen
  16. Substitution: Nic HartgersOut: Rowan Besselink
    84'
    Substitution: Nic HartgersDe Graafschap · Out: Rowan Besselink
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Eerste Divisie predicted line-ups: Gameweek 136/10Head-to-headDe Graafschap – NAC BredaInjuriesDe GraafschapInjuriesNAC BredaLive scores

Statistical Context

De Graafschap

WDLWD
  • WOct 30, 26A · FC Volendam1-2
  • DOct 23, 26H · Waalwijk1-1
  • LOct 19, 26A · Jong Ajax2-1
  • WOct 9, 26H · Jong Utrecht2-1
  • DOct 3, 26A · FC Eindhoven2-2

NAC Breda

DWWDW
  • DOct 23, 26H · Heracles1-1
  • WOct 16, 26A · Helmond Sport0-2
  • WOct 9, 26H · MVV1-0
  • DOct 3, 26A · Vitesse2-2
  • WSep 26, 26H · FC Eindhoven4-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1De Graafschap000—
2VVV Venlo000—
12Waalwijk000—
13NAC Breda000—
14Roda000—

Season Statistics — 2025

De GraafschapNAC Breda
Played—33
Goals Scored—32
Goals Conceded—55
Avg Scored—1.0
Avg Conceded—1.7
Clean Sheets—6

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda — Match Analysis

NAC Breda are favoured at 44%; our projected score is 1-2.

De Graafschap host NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Our model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 44%, with the draw at 23% and De Graafschap at 33%.

Form and league position

The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.7–1.8, about 3.5 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 69%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price De Graafschap at 3.10, the draw at 4.15 and NAC Breda at 1.98; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

NAC Breda to win (44%), most likely score 1-2.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: De Graafschap: 31% · Draw: 24% · NAC Breda: 45%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (8.4% chance)

Over 2.5: 68% · Under 2.5: 32% · BTTS: 69%

Form (latest first): De Graafschap: WDLWD · NAC Breda: DWWDW

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Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 219:00
FC OSS
11.2580%
X8.3312%
212.508%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong PSV U21
Nov 219:00
NAC Breda
13.8526%
X4.3523%
21.9651%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Ajax
Nov 219:00
Vitesse
13.0333%
X4.1724%
22.3343%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Utrecht
Nov 219:00
Dordrecht
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
VVV Venlo
Nov 619:00
Jong PSV U21
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 619:00
Roda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Dordrecht
Nov 619:00
NAC Breda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong AZ
Nov 619:00
Almere City FC
12.7836%
X4.1724%
22.5040%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Eindhoven
Nov 619:00
Jong Ajax
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC OSS
Nov 619:00
Waalwijk
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Helmond Sport
Nov 619:00
FC Volendam
12.7037%
X4.3523%
22.5040%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Den Bosch
Nov 715:30
Jong Utrecht
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Vitesse
Nov 811:15
De Graafschap
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Emmen
Nov 815:45
MVV
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
NAC Breda
Nov 1415:30
Emmen
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

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