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Today's Tips
Matches
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Play
  1. Home
  2. Eerste Divisie
  3. MVV vs Helmond Sport

MVV vs Helmond Sport

Result • Eerste Divisie·MVV·Helmond Sport

Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie
Sep 26, 2026
18:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
MVV

MVV

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
12.15
X3.30
23.00
Stadium
De Geusselt
medium Confidence
Helmond Sport

Helmond Sport

Away
Odds
12.15
X3.30
23.00
Stadium
De Geusselt
Win Probabilities
43%
MVV
27%
Draw
30%
Helmond Sport
Home2.1543%
Draw3.3027%
Away3.0030%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

MVV are favoured at 50%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Eerste Divisie fixture between MVV and Helmond Sport using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns MVV a 43% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Helmond Sport a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 70%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 70%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Olivier·DumontAssist: Elias Sierra
    49'
    Goal: Olivier·DumontMVV · Assist: Elias Sierra
  2. Substitution: Onesime ZimuanganaOut: Lennerd Daneels
    50'
    Substitution: Onesime ZimuanganaMVV · Out: Lennerd Daneels
  3. Yellow Card: Olivier·Dumont
    56'
    Yellow Card: Olivier·DumontMVV
  4. 56'
    Yellow Card: Thomas PollHelmond Sport
    Yellow Card: Thomas Poll
  5. 57'
    Yellow Card: Sem DekkersHelmond Sport
    Yellow Card: Sem Dekkers
  6. 61'
    Substitution: Mauro LenaertsHelmond Sport · Out: Tarik Essakkati
    Substitution: Mauro LenaertsOut: Tarik Essakkati
  7. 67'
    Yellow Card: Brian KoglinHelmond Sport
    Yellow Card: Brian Koglin
  8. 71'
    Substitution: Brian van den BoogaardHelmond Sport · Out: Thomas Poll
    Substitution: Brian van den BoogaardOut: Thomas Poll
  9. 71'
    Substitution: Kiton EkoliHelmond Sport · Out: Pol Llonch
    Substitution: Kiton EkoliOut: Pol Llonch
  10. Goal: Elias SierraAssist: Sil van der Wegen
    78'
    Goal: Elias SierraMVV · Assist: Sil van der Wegen
  11. 85'
    Substitution: alen dizdarevicHelmond Sport · Out: Xander van der Velde
    Substitution: alen dizdarevicOut: Xander van der Velde
  12. Substitution: Naim MatougOut: Noa El Hamdaoui
    86'
    Substitution: Naim MatougMVV · Out: Noa El Hamdaoui
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headMVV – Helmond SportInjuriesMVVInjuriesHelmond SportLive scores

Statistical Context

MVV

LDLLL
  • LOct 31, 26H · VVV Venlo1-2
  • DOct 23, 26A · Den Bosch2-2
  • LOct 18, 26H · Heracles1-5
  • LOct 9, 26A · NAC Breda1-0
  • LOct 3, 26A · FC OSS4-1

Helmond Sport

WLLLD
  • WOct 30, 26H · FC Eindhoven3-2
  • LOct 23, 26A · Jong AZ5-4
  • LOct 16, 26H · NAC Breda0-2
  • LOct 9, 26A · FC OSS3-1
  • DOct 2, 26H · Heracles2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Emmen000—
7Helmond Sport000—
8MVV000—
9Almere City FC000—

MVV vs Helmond Sport — Match Analysis

MVV are favoured at 50%; our projected score is 2-1.

MVV host Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday, 26 September 2026. Our model makes MVV the favourite at 50%, with the draw at 24% and Helmond Sport at 26%.

Form and league position

The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.9–1.6, about 3.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 70%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price MVV at 1.93, the draw at 3.70 and Helmond Sport at 3.55; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

MVV to win (50%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: MVV: 43% · Draw: 27% · Helmond Sport: 30%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (8.7% chance)

Over 2.5: 69% · Under 2.5: 31% · BTTS: 70%

Form (latest first): MVV: LDLLL · Helmond Sport: WLLLD

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Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
VVV Venlo
Nov 619:00
Jong PSV U21
11.8953%
X4.5522%
24.0025%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 619:00
Roda
11.5664%
X5.2619%
25.8817%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Dordrecht
Nov 619:00
NAC Breda
13.7027%
X4.5522%
21.9651%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong AZ
Nov 619:00
Almere City FC
12.7836%
X4.1724%
22.5040%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Eindhoven
Nov 619:00
Jong Ajax
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC OSS
Nov 619:00
Waalwijk
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Helmond Sport
Nov 619:00
FC Volendam
12.7037%
X4.3523%
22.5040%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Den Bosch
Nov 715:30
Jong Utrecht
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Vitesse
Nov 811:15
De Graafschap
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Emmen
Nov 815:45
MVV
11.5664%
X5.2619%
25.8817%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
NAC Breda
Nov 1415:30
Emmen
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
De Graafschap
Nov 1419:00
FC OSS
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
VVV Venlo
Nov 1419:00
FC Eindhoven
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Dordrecht
Nov 1419:00
Heracles
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Roda
Nov 1419:00
FC Volendam
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

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