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  1. Home
  2. Eerste Divisie
  3. Heracles vs Waalwijk

Heracles vs Waalwijk

Result • Eerste Divisie·Heracles·Waalwijk

Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie
Oct 9, 2026
18:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Heracles

Heracles

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.44
X4.60
25.50
Stadium
Polman Stadion
high Confidence
Waalwijk

Waalwijk

Away
Odds
11.44
X4.60
25.50
Stadium
Polman Stadion
Win Probabilities
64%
Heracles
19%
Draw
17%
Waalwijk
Home1.4464%
Draw4.6019%
Away5.5017%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Heracles are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 2-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Eerste Divisie fixture between Heracles and Waalwijk using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Heracles a 64% win probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and Waalwijk a 17% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 65%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 65%

Match Events

  1. 3'
    Yellow Card: F. Al MazyaniWaalwijk
    Yellow Card: F. Al Mazyani
  2. Yellow Card: Sem Scheperman
    5'
    Yellow Card: Sem SchepermanHeracles
  3. 42'
    Yellow Card: Liam Van GelderenWaalwijk
    Yellow Card: Liam Van Gelderen
  4. Penalty: Tristan Van Gilst (Penalty)
    51'
    Penalty: Tristan Van Gilst (Penalty)Heracles
  5. Substitution: David TomicOut: Tristan Van Gilst
    55'
    Substitution: David TomicHeracles · Out: Tristan Van Gilst
  6. 65'
    Yellow Card: Loek PostmaWaalwijk
    Yellow Card: Loek Postma
  7. Goal: Damon MiraniAssist: Chafik Abbas
    65'
    Goal: Damon MiraniHeracles · Assist: Chafik Abbas
  8. Goal: Manny Rodriguez BalderaAssist: Mimeirhel Benita
    68'
    Goal: Manny Rodriguez BalderaHeracles · Assist: Mimeirhel Benita
  9. 69'
    Substitution: Yoram van der VeenWaalwijk · Out: Ryan Fage
    Substitution: Yoram van der VeenOut: Ryan Fage
  10. 69'
    Substitution: Azzedine DkidakWaalwijk · Out: Virgil Misidjan
    Substitution: Azzedine DkidakOut: Virgil Misidjan
  11. Substitution: Thomas BrunsOut: Chafik Abbas
    77'
    Substitution: Thomas BrunsHeracles · Out: Chafik Abbas
  12. Substitution: Mike te WierikOut: Mimeirhel Benita
    77'
    Substitution: Mike te WierikHeracles · Out: Mimeirhel Benita
  13. Substitution: Mario BoracOut: Sem Scheperman
    78'
    Substitution: Mario BoracHeracles · Out: Sem Scheperman
  14. 78'
    Substitution: Finn StokkersWaalwijk · Out: Jesse van de Haar
    Substitution: Finn StokkersOut: Jesse van de Haar
  15. 78'
    Substitution: R. van HedelWaalwijk · Out: Tim van de Loo
    Substitution: R. van HedelOut: Tim van de Loo
  16. Substitution: Jeff Reine-AdélaïdeOut: Manny Rodriguez Baldera
    86'
    Substitution: Jeff Reine-AdélaïdeHeracles · Out: Manny Rodriguez Baldera
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

More information

Head-to-headHeracles – WaalwijkInjuriesHeraclesInjuriesWaalwijkLive scores

Statistical Context

Heracles

DWDWL
  • DOct 23, 26A · NAC Breda1-1
  • WOct 18, 26A · MVV1-5
  • DOct 2, 26A · Helmond Sport2-2
  • WSep 26, 26H · Vitesse2-0
  • LSep 18, 26A · Almere City FC1-0

Waalwijk

DDDLW
  • DOct 23, 26A · De Graafschap1-1
  • DOct 18, 26H · FC Volendam1-1
  • DOct 3, 26H · Emmen1-1
  • LSep 26, 26A · Roda2-0
  • WSep 18, 26H · MVV6-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11FC Volendam000—
12Waalwijk000—
13NAC Breda000—
14Roda000—
15Vitesse000—
16Heracles000—
17Jong PSV U21000—

Season Statistics — 2025

HeraclesWaalwijk
Played33—
Goals Scored34—
Goals Conceded83—
Avg Scored1.0—
Avg Conceded2.5—
Clean Sheets2—

Heracles vs Waalwijk — Match Analysis

Heracles are favoured at 64%; our projected score is 2-1.

Heracles host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie on Friday, 9 October 2026. Our model makes Heracles the favourite at 64%, with the draw at 19% and Waalwijk at 17%.

Form and league position

The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.9–1.4, about 3.3 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 65%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Heracles at 1.57, the draw at 4.30 and Waalwijk at 5.00; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Heracles to win (64%), most likely score 2-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Heracles: 64% · Draw: 19% · Waalwijk: 17%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (9.4% chance)

Over 2.5: 64% · Under 2.5: 36% · BTTS: 65%

Form (latest first): Heracles: DWDWL · Waalwijk: DDDLW

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Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Roda
Oct 3019:00
Jong AZ
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Volendam
Oct 3019:00
De Graafschap
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Waalwijk
Oct 3019:00
Almere City FC
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Helmond Sport
Oct 3019:00
FC Eindhoven
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
MVV
Oct 3115:30
VVV Venlo
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Emmen
Nov 113:30
Den Bosch
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 219:00
FC OSS
11.2580%
X8.3312%
212.508%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong PSV U21
Nov 219:00
NAC Breda
13.8526%
X4.3523%
21.9651%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Ajax
Nov 219:00
Vitesse
13.0333%
X4.1724%
22.3343%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Utrecht
Nov 219:00
Dordrecht
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
VVV Venlo
Nov 619:00
Jong PSV U21
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 619:00
Roda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Dordrecht
Nov 619:00
NAC Breda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong AZ
Nov 619:00
Almere City FC
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Eindhoven
Nov 619:00
Jong Ajax
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

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