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  1. Home
  2. Eerste Divisie
  3. Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk

Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk

Result • Eerste Divisie·Jong Ajax·Waalwijk

Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie
Sep 11, 2026
18:00
medium Confidence
Jong Ajax

Jong Ajax

Home
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 0-1
Final Score
0-2
Predicted: 0-1
Odds
13.30
X3.85
21.95
Stadium
Sportcomplex De Toekomst
medium Confidence
WINNER
Waalwijk

Waalwijk

Away
Odds
13.30
X3.85
21.95
Stadium
Sportcomplex De Toekomst
Win Probabilities
31%
Jong Ajax
24%
Draw
45%
Waalwijk
Home3.3031%
Draw3.8524%
Away1.9545%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Waalwijk are favoured at 47%; our projected score is 0-1.

Our AI model analyzes this Eerste Divisie fixture between Jong Ajax and Waalwijk using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Jong Ajax a 31% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and Waalwijk a 45% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1. Both teams to score probability: 53%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 53%

Match Events

  1. Yellow Card: Sinclair de Falco
    41'
    Yellow Card: Sinclair de FalcoJong Ajax
  2. 62'
    Substitution: Yoram van der VeenWaalwijk · Out: Ryan Fage
    Substitution: Yoram van der VeenOut: Ryan Fage
  3. 62'
    Substitution: Virgil MisidjanWaalwijk · Out: Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela
    Substitution: Virgil MisidjanOut: Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela
  4. 66'
    Substitution: Jesse van de HaarWaalwijk · Out: Finn Stokkers
    Substitution: Jesse van de HaarOut: Finn Stokkers
  5. Substitution: Leroy FränkelOut: Ryan van de Pavert
    70'
    Substitution: Leroy FränkelJong Ajax · Out: Ryan van de Pavert
  6. Substitution: Levi AcheampongOut: Mohamed Jabou Abdalla
    70'
    Substitution: Levi AcheampongJong Ajax · Out: Mohamed Jabou Abdalla
  7. Substitution: Rayane BounidaOut: emre unuvar
    70'
    Substitution: Rayane BounidaJong Ajax · Out: emre unuvar
  8. Substitution: Jinairo JohnsonOut: Mark Verkuijl
    80'
    Substitution: Jinairo JohnsonJong Ajax · Out: Mark Verkuijl
  9. 84'
    Goal: Virgil MisidjanWaalwijk
    Goal: Virgil Misidjan
  10. Substitution: Jeshurun SimeonOut: Pharell Nash
    85'
    Substitution: Jeshurun SimeonJong Ajax · Out: Pharell Nash
  11. 90'
    Yellow Card: Jesse van de HaarWaalwijk
    Yellow Card: Jesse van de Haar
  12. 90+1'
    Goal: Yoram van der VeenWaalwijk · Assist: Juan Familia-Castillo
    Goal: Yoram van der VeenAssist: Juan Familia-Castillo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · Jong AjaxInjuries · WaalwijkLive scores →

Statistical Context

Jong Ajax

DWLDL
  • DOct 23, 26A · FC OSS3-3
  • WOct 19, 26H · De Graafschap2-1
  • LOct 9, 26H · VVV Venlo0-3
  • DSep 18, 26H · Roda0-0
  • LSep 14, 26A · Jong Utrecht6-1

Waalwijk

DDLDL
  • DOct 23, 26A · De Graafschap1-1
  • DOct 18, 26H · FC Volendam1-1
  • LOct 9, 26A · Heracles3-0
  • DOct 3, 26H · Emmen1-1
  • LSep 26, 26A · Roda2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
11FC Volendam000—
12Waalwijk000—
13NAC Breda000—
14Roda000—
15Vitesse000—
16Heracles000—
17Jong PSV U21000—
18Jong Ajax000—
19Jong AZ000—

Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk — Match Analysis

Waalwijk are favoured at 47%; our projected score is 0-1.

Jong Ajax host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie on Friday, 11 September 2026. Our model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 47%, with the draw at 23% and Jong Ajax at 30%.

Form and league position

The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.2–1.4, about 2.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Jong Ajax at 3.50, the draw at 4.00 and Waalwijk at 1.95; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Waalwijk to win (47%), most likely score 0-1.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Jong Ajax: 31% · Draw: 24% · Waalwijk: 45%

Predicted Score: 0-1 (9.1% chance)

Over 2.5: 47% · Under 2.5: 53% · BTTS: 53%

Form (latest first): Jong Ajax: DWLDL · Waalwijk: DDLDL

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Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Emmen
Oct 3019:00
Den Bosch
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Roda
Oct 3019:00
Jong AZ
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Volendam
Oct 3019:00
De Graafschap
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Waalwijk
Oct 3019:00
Almere City FC
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Helmond Sport
Oct 3019:00
FC Eindhoven
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
MVV
Oct 3115:30
VVV Venlo
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 219:00
FC OSS
11.2580%
X8.3312%
212.508%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong PSV U21
Nov 219:00
NAC Breda
13.8526%
X4.3523%
21.9651%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Ajax
Nov 219:00
Vitesse
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Utrecht
Nov 219:00
Dordrecht
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
VVV Venlo
Nov 619:00
Jong PSV U21
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 619:00
Roda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Dordrecht
Nov 619:00
NAC Breda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong AZ
Nov 619:00
Almere City FC
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Eindhoven
Nov 619:00
Jong Ajax
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

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