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  1. Home
  2. Eerste Divisie
  3. Waalwijk vs MVV

Waalwijk vs MVV

Result • Eerste Divisie·Waalwijk·MVV

Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie
Sep 18, 2026
18:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Waalwijk

Waalwijk

Home
Final Score
6-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
6-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
11.62
X4.00
24.60
Stadium
Mandemakers Stadion
high Confidence
MVV

MVV

Away
Odds
11.62
X4.00
24.60
Stadium
Mandemakers Stadion
Win Probabilities
59%
Waalwijk
21%
Draw
20%
MVV
Home1.6259%
Draw4.0021%
Away4.6020%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Waalwijk are favoured at 62%; our projected score is 1-0.

Our AI model analyzes this Eerste Divisie fixture between Waalwijk and MVV using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Waalwijk a 59% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and MVV a 20% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 52%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 52%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Jordy de WijsAssist: Jochem Nap
    13'
    Goal: Jordy de WijsWaalwijk · Assist: Jochem Nap
  2. Goal: F. Al MazyaniAssist: Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela
    29'
    Goal: F. Al MazyaniWaalwijk · Assist: Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela
  3. Goal: Juan Familia-Castillo
    40'
    Goal: Juan Familia-CastilloWaalwijk
  4. Yellow Card: Ryan Fage
    42'
    Yellow Card: Ryan FageWaalwijk
  5. 45'
    Substitution: Onesime ZimuanganaMVV · Out: Naim Matoug
    Substitution: Onesime ZimuanganaOut: Naim Matoug
  6. 45'
    Substitution: Mika LuijendijkMVV · Out: Robert Klaasen
    Substitution: Mika LuijendijkOut: Robert Klaasen
  7. Goal: Liam Van GelderenAssist: Jochem Nap
    49'
    Goal: Liam Van GelderenWaalwijk · Assist: Jochem Nap
  8. Substitution: Virgil MisidjanOut: Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela
    63'
    Substitution: Virgil MisidjanWaalwijk · Out: Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela
  9. Substitution: Jesse van de HaarOut: Finn Stokkers
    63'
    Substitution: Jesse van de HaarWaalwijk · Out: Finn Stokkers
  10. Goal: Jesse van de HaarAssist: Juan Familia-Castillo
    73'
    Goal: Jesse van de HaarWaalwijk · Assist: Juan Familia-Castillo
  11. Substitution: Sven van der PlasOut: Jordy de Wijs
    74'
    Substitution: Sven van der PlasWaalwijk · Out: Jordy de Wijs
  12. Substitution: Yoram van der VeenOut: Ryan Fage
    75'
    Substitution: Yoram van der VeenWaalwijk · Out: Ryan Fage
  13. 77'
    Substitution: Toni VinogradacMVV · Out: Noa El Hamdaoui
    Substitution: Toni VinogradacOut: Noa El Hamdaoui
  14. Substitution: Tim van de LooOut: Jochem Nap
    81'
    Substitution: Tim van de LooWaalwijk · Out: Jochem Nap
  15. 89'
    Goal: Olivier·DumontMVV · Assist: Onesime Zimuangana
    Goal: Olivier·DumontAssist: Onesime Zimuangana
  16. 90+1'
    Yellow Card: Hugo WentgesMVV
    Yellow Card: Hugo Wentges
  17. Penalty: Jesse van de Haar (Penalty)
    90+2'
    Penalty: Jesse van de Haar (Penalty)Waalwijk
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AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Head-to-head →Injuries · WaalwijkInjuries · MVVLive scores →

Statistical Context

Waalwijk

DDLDL
  • DOct 23, 26A · De Graafschap1-1
  • DOct 18, 26H · FC Volendam1-1
  • LOct 9, 26A · Heracles3-0
  • DOct 3, 26H · Emmen1-1
  • LSep 26, 26A · Roda2-0

MVV

DLLLW
  • DOct 23, 26A · Den Bosch2-2
  • LOct 18, 26H · Heracles1-5
  • LOct 9, 26A · NAC Breda1-0
  • LOct 3, 26A · FC OSS4-1
  • WSep 26, 26H · Helmond Sport2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
7Helmond Sport000—
8MVV000—
9Almere City FC000—
10FC OSS000—
11FC Volendam000—
12Waalwijk000—
13NAC Breda000—

Waalwijk vs MVV — Match Analysis

Waalwijk are favoured at 62%; our projected score is 1-0.

Waalwijk host MVV in the Eerste Divisie on Friday, 18 September 2026. Our model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 62%, with the draw at 19% and MVV at 19%.

Form and league position

The league table is not yet meaningful this early in the season, so the model leans on last season's finishing positions and the goal rates of both sides.

Head-to-head record

There is no recent head-to-head history between these two in our records, so past meetings carry no weight in this projection.

Goals outlook

Attack-versus-defence rates give an expected score of 1.5–1.1, about 2.6 goals in total. That puts Over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.

Team news

No injuries or suspensions are reported for either squad.

What the market says

Bookmakers price Waalwijk at 1.60, the draw at 4.25 and MVV at 4.75; those prices are blended into the probabilities above.

Prediction

Waalwijk to win (62%), most likely score 1-0.

This preview is a model projection built from league standings, recent form, goal rates, reported absences and, where available, bookmaker prices. It is refreshed automatically as new data arrives.

Win Probabilities: Waalwijk: 59% · Draw: 21% · MVV: 20%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (10.1% chance)

Over 2.5: 47% · Under 2.5: 53% · BTTS: 52%

Form (latest first): Waalwijk: DDLDL · MVV: DLLLW

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Eerste Divisie

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Emmen
Oct 3019:00
Den Bosch
11.9651%
X4.3523%
23.8526%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Roda
Oct 3019:00
Jong AZ
12.0050%
X4.3523%
23.7027%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Volendam
Oct 3019:00
De Graafschap
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Waalwijk
Oct 3019:00
Almere City FC
12.3343%
X4.0025%
23.1332%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Helmond Sport
Oct 3019:00
FC Eindhoven
12.2744%
X3.8526%
23.3330%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
MVV
Oct 3115:30
VVV Venlo
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 219:00
FC OSS
11.2580%
X8.3312%
212.508%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong PSV U21
Nov 219:00
NAC Breda
13.8526%
X4.3523%
21.9651%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Ajax
Nov 219:00
Vitesse
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong Utrecht
Nov 219:00
Dordrecht
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
VVV Venlo
Nov 619:00
Jong PSV U21
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Heracles
Nov 619:00
Roda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Dordrecht
Nov 619:00
NAC Breda
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
Jong AZ
Nov 619:00
Almere City FC
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
Eerste DivisieNetherlands
FC Eindhoven
Nov 619:00
Jong Ajax
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

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