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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. ADO Den Haag vs Groningen

ADO Den Haag vs Groningen

Result • Eredivisie·ADO Den Haag·Groningen

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Aug 16, 2026
10:15
high Confidence
ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag

Home
Final Score
1-4
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-4
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.64
X3.70
22.36
Stadium
Bingoal Stadium
high Confidence
WINNER
Groningen

Groningen

Away
Odds
12.64
X3.70
22.36
Stadium
Bingoal Stadium
Win Probabilities
32%
ADO Den Haag
28%
Draw
40%
Groningen
Home2.6432%
Draw3.7028%
Away2.3640%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Groningen are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a stronger overall statistical profile. The main risk is ADO's home advantage and their ability to score, but Groningen's consistency should see them through.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between ADO Den Haag and Groningen using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns ADO Den Haag a 32% win probability, a 28% chance of a draw, and Groningen a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 61%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 61%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Kilian Nikièma vs Thom van Bergen: The home goalkeeper will need to be at his best to deny Groningen's in-form forward, who has been a key threat in their recent unbeaten run.
2Daryl van Mieghem vs Wouter Prins: The pace of van Mieghem on the wing could test Prins' defensive capabilities, making this a crucial duel in determining attacking success.
3Jesse Bal vs Thijmen Blokzijl: Bal's movement and finishing will be tested against Blokzijl's defensive solidity, with the outcome potentially deciding the match.
Strengths · Weaknesses

ADO Den Haag

  • Solid defensive record with 2 clean sheets in last 5 games
  • Average goals scored of 2.4 per game indicates attacking potential
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 matches, showing inconsistency
  • Current 1-game losing streak and 0% win rate in last 5

Groningen

  • Unbeaten in last 3 matches, with a 100% win rate in last 5
  • Strong attacking comparison (100%) and solid defensive rating (67%)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 matches, showing occasional bluntness
  • Average goals conceded of 1.4 per game suggests defensive vulnerabilities

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
50%
45%
Groningen163945

Models disagree significantly. Suggests away win (45%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Groningen enter this Eredivisie clash as the clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger overall statistical profile, and a dominant head-to-head record. The market and the API model align on an away victory, giving high confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Groningen arrive on the back of a 2-1 win, extending their unbeaten streak to three matches, while ADO Den Haag suffered a 0-2 defeat in their last outing. Groningen's attacking metrics (100% in the comparison) and defensive solidity (67%) far outweigh ADO's struggling attack (0%) and defence (33%). ADO have also failed to score in two of their last five games, highlighting their offensive woes.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Groningen, who have won five of the last seven meetings, with ADO winning only two. Groningen sit 6th in the standings with a positive goal difference, while ADO languish in 15th with a negative one. Although both teams have injury concerns, Groningen's squad depth appears better equipped to cope, and their momentum is clearly superior.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Groningen victory. ADO's lack of form and attacking impotence, combined with Groningen's consistency and historical edge, make an away win the most probable outcome. Expect Groningen to control the game and secure a narrow but deserved victory.

Statistical ContextGroningen

Winner : Groningen

Team Comparison

AI Powered
ADO Den HaagGroningen
25%Strength74%
50%Attacking Potential100%
33%Defensive Potential67%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
14%Goals H2H86%
25%Wins the Game74%
Head-to-head →Injuries · ADO Den HaagInjuries · GroningenLive scores →

Statistical Context

ADO Den Haag

DLLDL
  • DSep 19, 26H · Cambuur1-1
  • LSep 12, 26A · Twente2-0
  • LSep 6, 26H · Fortuna Sittard2-3
  • DAug 30, 26A · Feyenoord2-2
  • LAug 23, 26A · GO Ahead Eagles3-1

Groningen

WDDLL
  • WSep 18, 26H · PEC Zwolle3-0
  • DSep 12, 26A · GO Ahead Eagles1-1
  • DSep 6, 26H · Twente2-2
  • LAug 28, 26H · Fortuna Sittard2-3
  • LAug 23, 26A · PSV Eindhoven5-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Twente6+713WWDWW
6Groningen7+211WDDLL
7Excelsior6+610LDWWL
17Willem II6-132LDLDL
18ADO Den Haag6-101LLDLL

Head to Head

2
ADO Den Haag
2
Draws
5
Groningen
  • Mar 29, 24ADO Den Haag – Groningen0-2
  • Sep 15, 23Groningen – ADO Den Haag0-1
  • Jan 26, 21Groningen – ADO Den Haag3-0
  • Sep 20, 20ADO Den Haag – Groningen0-1
  • Dec 14, 19ADO Den Haag – Groningen1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

ADO Den HaagGroningen
Played66
Goals Scored612
Goals Conceded1613
Avg Scored1.02.0
Avg Conceded2.72.2
Clean Sheets00

Predicted line-ups: ADO Den Haag vs Groningen

Confirmed XI

ADO Den Haag

4-4-2Formation· Coach: Robin Peter

Groningen

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Dick Lukkien

  1. 1Etienne Vaessen
  1. 2Wouter Prins
  2. 15Elvis Van der Laan
  3. 3Thijmen Blokzijl
  4. 14Jorg Schreuders
  1. 18Tygo Land
  2. 8Tika de Jonge
  1. 24Pelle Clement
  2. 26Thom van Bergen
  3. 17David van der Werff
  1. 9Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
  1. 46Yannick Eduardo
  2. 9Jesse Bal
  1. 10Illaijh de Ruijter
  2. 25Juho Kilo
  3. 8Jan Žambůrek
  4. 7Daryl van Mieghem
  1. 18Sekou Sylla
  2. 4Matteo Waem
  3. 3Pascal Mulder
  4. 15Milan Hokke
  1. 1Kilian Nikièma

Bench

  • 2Othniël Raterink
  • 16Finn de Bruin
  • 23Niclas Thiede
  • 12Sem Eekhout
  • 22Lasse Wilhelm
  • 35Sanyika Bergtop
  • 14Mylian Jimenez
  • 29Alexander Veselov
  • 11Evan Rottier
  • 19Luka Reischl
  • 27Nigel Thomas
  • 32Dani van Loenen

Out

  • L. Reischl · Groin Injury
  • J. Bal · Knee Injury
  • A. Pozo · Lacking Match Fitness
  • M. Sin · Inactive
  • M. Jimenez · Injury
  • J. Hawkins · Hamstring Injury
  • D. Barany · Knee Injury
  • C. Peupion · Knee Injury

Bench

  • 13Lovro Štubljar
  • 31Rijk Janse
  • 4Márk Csinger
  • 12Nikolas Brandis
  • 42Jesper Mosselaar
  • 7Travis Hernes
  • 16Alvin Nordin
  • 44Jismerai Dillema
  • 53Jahelille Hall
  • 11Jacob Ondrejka
  • 20Nils Eggens

Out

  • N. Brandis · Inactive
  • T. Hernes · Injury
  • W. Prins · Inactive
  • E. van der Laan · Inactive
  • M. Rente · Injury
  • M. Jeng · Leg Injury
  • S. Resink · Knee Injury
  • T. Mercera · Injury

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

ADO Den Haag vs Groningen — Match Analysis

Groningen are clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a stronger overall statistical profile. The main risk is ADO's home advantage and their ability to score, but Groningen's consistency should see them through.

Groningen enter this Eredivisie clash as the clear favourites, backed by superior form, a stronger overall statistical profile, and a dominant head-to-head record. The market and the API model align on an away victory, giving high confidence in this outcome.

Form Analysis: Groningen arrive on the back of a 2-1 win, extending their unbeaten streak to three matches, while ADO Den Haag suffered a 0-2 defeat in their last outing. Groningen's attacking metrics (100% in the comparison) and defensive solidity (67%) far outweigh ADO's struggling attack (0%) and defence (33%). ADO have also failed to score in two of their last five games, highlighting their offensive woes.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Groningen, who have won five of the last seven meetings, with ADO winning only two. Groningen sit 6th in the standings with a positive goal difference, while ADO languish in 15th with a negative one. Although both teams have injury concerns, Groningen's squad depth appears better equipped to cope, and their momentum is clearly superior.

Conclusion: All indicators point to a Groningen victory. ADO's lack of form and attacking impotence, combined with Groningen's consistency and historical edge, make an away win the most probable outcome. Expect Groningen to control the game and secure a narrow but deserved victory.

Win Probabilities: ADO Den Haag: 32% · Draw: 28% · Groningen: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 57% · Under 2.5: 43% · BTTS: 61%

H2H: ADO Den Haag wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Groningen wins: 5

Form (latest first): ADO Den Haag: DLLDL · Groningen: WDDLL

  • Kilian Nikièma vs Thom van Bergen: The home goalkeeper will need to be at his best to deny Groningen's in-form forward, who has been a key threat in their recent unbeaten run.
  • Daryl van Mieghem vs Wouter Prins: The pace of van Mieghem on the wing could test Prins' defensive capabilities, making this a crucial duel in determining attacking success.
  • Jesse Bal vs Thijmen Blokzijl: Bal's movement and finishing will be tested against Blokzijl's defensive solidity, with the outcome potentially deciding the match.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Sep 2010:15
Utrecht
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Sep 2012:30
Telstar
11.3375%
X5.8817%
212.508%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 2012:30
PSV Eindhoven
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Sep 2014:45
GO Ahead Eagles
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Oct 1110:15
Willem II
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Oct 1112:30
Cambuur
Early projection
11.4768%
X6.2516%
26.2516%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Oct 1112:30
ADO Den Haag
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.5618%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Oct 1114:45
Groningen
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Oct 1618:00
Excelsior
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Oct 1714:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
125.004%
X8.3312%
21.1984%

Betting Tips

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