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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Excelsior vs Groningen

Excelsior vs Groningen

Prediction • Eredivisie·Excelsior·Groningen

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Oct 11, 2026
14:45
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED WINNER
Excelsior

Excelsior

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Stadion Woudestein
Early projection · Odds pending
Groningen

Groningen

Away
Stadium
Stadion Woudestein
Win Probabilities
64%
Excelsior
18%
Draw
18%
Groningen
Home1.5664%
Draw5.5618%
Away5.5618%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Excelsior are the narrow favourites, supported by a stronger league position, superior defensive numbers and a far healthier squad than an injury-hit Groningen. The main risk is Groningen's strong head-to-head record, which could give the visitors belief despite their absences.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Excelsior vs Groningen.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
6.0Excelsior
/10
4.0Groningen
Excelsior
FormLatest first
DWWLW
Win Rate60%
Groningen
FormLatest first
DLLWW
Win Rate40%
Momentum AdvantageExcelsior+2.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Excelsior
Home

Excelsior

Form
WLWWD
Latest first
13
Pos
38
Pts
+7
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 4 matches)

Clean Sheets250%
Goal Diff+7
  • Strong defensive record with a +7 goal difference
  • Sitting 4th in the table with 10 points
  • Home advantage at Stadion Woudestein
D. Garden
Injury
Injured
N. Naujoks
Inactive
Injured
K. Bos
Shoulder Injury
Injured

Head to Head

Last 10
Excelsior
Excelsior
3Wins
0
Draws
Groningen
7Wins
Groningen
30%0%70%

Recent Matches

Last 10
May22026
GroningenGroningen
2-3
Win
ExcelsiorExcelsior
Dec52025
ExcelsiorExcelsior
0-2
Loss
GroningenGroningen
Jan162024
ExcelsiorExcelsior
0-2
Loss
GroningenGroningen
Feb252023
GroningenGroningen
3-0
Loss
ExcelsiorExcelsior
Jan82023
ExcelsiorExcelsior
1-0
Win
GroningenGroningen
Dec152021
ExcelsiorExcelsior
2-4
Loss
GroningenGroningen
Apr62019
GroningenGroningen
1-0
Loss
ExcelsiorExcelsior
Nov22018
ExcelsiorExcelsior
2-4
Loss
GroningenGroningen
Apr292018
GroningenGroningen
4-0
Loss
ExcelsiorExcelsior
Dec172017
ExcelsiorExcelsior
2-0
Win
GroningenGroningen

Past Predictions

0%0/2 correct

Groningen 2 - 3 Excelsior

May 2, 2026

53% / 29% / 18%

Excelsior 0 - 2 Groningen

Dec 5, 2025

40% / 30% / 30%

Excelsior3-4-3vs4-2-3-1GroningenPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

Injury Report

Current team availability status

Data Accuracy: Player availability is highly accurate (~90%), but specific injury diagnoses and recovery timelines may not reflect the latest medical updates (~70% accuracy).

Excelsior

3Out

3 key players

Groningen

8Out

7 key players

Excelsior

Team

Excelsior

Players Out

3(3 key)
D. Garden

D. Garden

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

N. Naujoks

N. Naujoks

Status:Inactive

Not in squad

K. Bos

K. Bos

MODERATE
Injury:Shoulder Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

Groningen

Team

Groningen

Players Out

8(7 key)
W. Prins

W. Prins

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Rente

M. Rente

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

M. Jeng

M. Jeng

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

J. Ondrejka

J. Ondrejka

MODERATE
Injury:Leg Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-6 weeks

S. Resink

S. Resink

MODERATE
Injury:Knee Injury

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

3-9 months

T. Mercera

T. Mercera

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

R. Metu

R. Metu

MODERATE
Injury:Injured

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

2-4 weeks

O. Zawada

O. Zawada

MINOR
Injury:Knock

Est. Recovery (Typical range)

1-2 weeks

Eredivisie

League Statistics

Eredivisie • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
5500165+1115
2
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
5410186+1213
3
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
5320137+611
4
Excelsior
ExcelsiorHome
5311125+710
5
Twente
Twente
5311105+510
6
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
5311119+210
7
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
52211412+28
8
Ajax
Ajax
421195+47
9
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
5212119+27
10
Groningen
GroningenAway
52121112-17
11
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
51229905
12
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
512279-25
13
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
5113610-44
14
Telstar
Telstar
5113511-64
15
Utrecht
Utrecht
5023918-92
16
Willem II
Willem II
4013413-91
17
ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag
5014614-81
18
Cambuur
Cambuur
5014618-121
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Excelsior

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

64%Excelsior
18%Draw
18%Groningen

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 11 · 14:45
StadiumStadion Woudestein
League StatsEredivisie
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · ExcelsiorInjuries · Groningen</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Excelsior

DWWLW
  • DSep 8, 26A · NEC Nijmegen2-2
  • WSep 5, 26A · Willem II0-3
  • WAug 29, 26H · Sparta Rotterdam2-1
  • LAug 15, 26H · PSV Eindhoven1-2
  • WAug 7, 26A · Cambuur0-4

Groningen

DLLWW
  • DSep 6, 26H · Twente2-2
  • LAug 28, 26H · Fortuna Sittard2-3
  • LAug 23, 26A · PSV Eindhoven5-1
  • WAug 16, 26A · ADO Den Haag1-4
  • WAug 9, 26H · Utrecht2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Feyenoord5+611WDWDW
4Excelsior5+710DWWLW
5Twente5+510WDWWL
6Fortuna Sittard5+210WWLWD
7GO Ahead Eagles5+28DLWDW
8Ajax4+47LWDW
9NEC Nijmegen5+27DLWWL
10Groningen5-17DLLWW
11Sparta Rotterdam505DLDWL

Head to Head

3
Excelsior
0
Draws
7
Groningen
  • May 2, 26Groningen – Excelsior2-3
  • Dec 5, 25Excelsior – Groningen0-2
  • Jan 16, 24Excelsior – Groningen0-2
  • Feb 25, 23Groningen – Excelsior3-0
  • Jan 8, 23Excelsior – Groningen1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

ExcelsiorGroningen
Played44
Goals Scored109
Goals Conceded310
Avg Scored2.52.3
Avg Conceded0.82.5
Clean Sheets20

Predicted line-ups: Excelsior vs Groningen

Predicted XI

Excelsior

3-4-3Formation· Coach: A. Hoekstra

Groningen

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: D. Lukkien

  1. 30P. Boevink
  1. 3T. Blokzijl
  2. 12N. Brandis
  3. 4M. Csinger
  4. 42J. Mosselaar
  1. 24P. Clement
  2. 44Besnik Mashuku
  1. 53J. Hall
  2. 7T. Hernes
  3. 18T. Land
  1. 20Nils Eggens
  1. 21I. Silva Timas
  2. 9Mario Domínguez
  3. 28N. Groen
  1. 24Giulliano Cairo
  2. 15S. Janssen
  3. 23Y. Finey
  4. 20L. Hartjes
  1. 3R. Meissen
  2. 4C. Widell
  3. 14J. Plug
  1. 16Celton Biai

Bench

  • 1S. van Gassel
  • 2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
  • 22O. Turay
  • 18V. Sulzbacher
  • 8I. Yegoian
  • 6D. van Vianen
  • 11A. Jahanbakhsh

Out

  • D. Garden · Injury
  • N. Naujoks · Inactive
  • K. Bos · Shoulder Injury

Bench

  • 13L. Štubljar
  • 1E. Vaessen
  • 2Wouter Prins
  • 15E. van der Laan
  • 14J. Schreuders
  • 16A. Nordin
  • 8T. de Jonge

Out

  • W. Prins · Injury
  • M. Rente · Injury
  • M. Jeng · Leg Injury
  • J. Ondrejka · Leg Injury
  • S. Resink · Knee Injury
  • T. Mercera · Injury
  • R. Metu · Injury
  • O. Zawada · Knock

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Excelsior vs Groningen — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Excelsior are the narrow favourites, supported by a stronger league position, superior defensive numbers and a far healthier squad than an injury-hit Groningen. The main risk is Groningen's strong head-to-head record, which could give the visitors belief despite their absences.

Excelsior enter this Eredivisie fixture as the narrow favourites, backed by a stronger league position, superior defensive metrics and a significant injury advantage over their visitors. The data points toward a home win, though the margin is not overwhelming.…

Win Probabilities: Excelsior: 64% · Draw: 18% · Groningen: 18%

H2H: Excelsior wins: 3 · Draws: 0 · Groningen wins: 7

Form (latest first): Excelsior: DWWLW · Groningen: DLLWW

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 1214:30
ADO Den Haag
11.3077%
X5.8817%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Sep 1216:45
Groningen
12.3343%
X3.2331%
23.8526%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Sep 1218:00
Ajax
17.1414%
X4.3523%
21.5963%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Sep 1219:00
NEC Nijmegen
17.1414%
X4.5522%
21.5664%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Sep 1310:15
Utrecht
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Sep 1312:30
Telstar
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Sep 1314:45
Feyenoord
17.1414%
X4.5522%
21.5664%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Sep 1318:00
Sparta Rotterdam
11.2580%
X7.1414%
216.676%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1518:00
Willem II
11.1984%
X7.6913%
233.333%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Sep 1818:00
PEC Zwolle
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Sep 1914:30
Cambuur
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.3523%
23.4529%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Sep 1916:45
Heerenveen
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1918:00
Excelsior
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Sep 1919:00
Fortuna Sittard
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Sep 2010:15
Utrecht
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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