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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Fortuna Sittard vs NAC Breda

Fortuna Sittard vs NAC Breda

Result • Eredivisie·Fortuna Sittard·NAC Breda

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Apr 12, 2026
10:15
medium Confidence
DRAW
Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.90
X3.40
22.35
Stadium
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
medium Confidence
DRAW
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

Away
Odds
12.90
X3.40
22.35
Stadium
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Win Probabilities
36%
Fortuna Sittard
32%
Draw
32%
NAC Breda
Home2.9036%
Draw3.4032%
Away2.3532%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees shadows of past victories favoring the away side, yet home fires burn with recent form. Ancient wisdom reveals a clash where defenses may falter under pressure.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between Fortuna Sittard and NAC Breda using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Fortuna Sittard a 36% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and NAC Breda a 32% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Ihattaren vs D. Odoi: Fortuna Sittard's creative midfielder against NAC Breda's defensive anchor, crucial for controlling midfield.
2S. van Hooijdonk vs Fortuna Sittard defense: NAC Breda's top scorer with 5 goals faces a defense that has conceded 2.2 goals per match on average.
3L. Holtby vs Fortuna Sittard midfield: NAC Breda's playmaker with 3 assists battles against a midfield weakened by injuries.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Fortuna Sittard

  • Strong form with 75% rating
  • Better attack at 64% compared to away
  • 2 consecutive losses in current streak
  • 0 clean sheets in last 5 matches

NAC Breda

  • Head-to-head advantage with 4 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Bookmaker odds favor away win at 40%
  • Poor form with 25% rating and DLLDL streak
  • Low attack at 36% and failed to score in 3 of last 5 games

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
36%
API-Football
45%
41%
Fortuna Sittard413921

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (41%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, NAC Breda is predicted to win with a slight edge, supported by bookmaker odds and head-to-head history, while Fortuna Sittard shows stronger form and statistical advantages, creating a balanced match.

Form Analysis: Fortuna Sittard has a form of 75% and recent results of LLWLW, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, currently on a 2-loss streak. NAC Breda has a form of 25% and recent results of DLLDL, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per match, and failed to score in 3 of last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds favor NAC Breda with 40% win probability, while API-Football model strongly favors Fortuna Sittard with 45% win probability, indicating conflicting signals. 2) Head-to-head history shows NAC Breda with 4 wins to Fortuna Sittard's 3 in last 5 meetings, giving NAC Breda a psychological edge. 3) Fortuna Sittard has 6 doubtful players, including key attackers like M. Ihattaren, potentially weakening their offense.

Conclusion: The data suggests a close match with NAC Breda slightly favored by odds and H2H, but Fortuna Sittard's better form and statistical metrics could lead to a draw or home win, making the outcome uncertain.

Statistical ContextFortuna Sittard

Double chance : Fortuna Sittard or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Fortuna SittardNAC Breda
62%Strength37%
64%Attacking Potential36%
56%Defensive Potential44%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
60%H2H Strength40%
54%Goals H2H46%
62%Wins the Game37%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Fortuna SittardInjuries · NAC Breda

Statistical Context

Fortuna Sittard

LWWLW
  • LSep 12, 26H · Ajax1-5
  • WSep 6, 26A · ADO Den Haag2-3
  • WAug 28, 26A · Groningen2-3
  • LAug 22, 26H · AZ Alkmaar0-2
  • WAug 15, 26H · Cambuur3-1

NAC Breda

LDWLL
  • LSep 11, 26H · Jong Utrecht2-3
  • DMay 17, 26A · AZ Alkmaar3-3
  • WMay 11, 26H · Heerenveen2-0
  • LMay 2, 26A · Utrecht2-0
  • LApr 25, 26H · Ajax0-2

Head to Head

4
Fortuna Sittard
0
Draws
3
NAC Breda
  • Aug 17, 25NAC Breda – Fortuna Sittard2-1
  • May 10, 25Fortuna Sittard – NAC Breda1-0
  • Sep 14, 24NAC Breda – Fortuna Sittard1-0
  • Apr 21, 19Fortuna Sittard – NAC Breda2-1
  • Sep 16, 18NAC Breda – Fortuna Sittard2-3

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

Fortuna SittardNAC Breda
Played533
Goals Scored1132
Goals Conceded955
Avg Scored2.21.0
Avg Conceded1.81.7
Clean Sheets06

Fortuna Sittard vs NAC Breda — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees shadows of past victories favoring the away side, yet home fires burn with recent form. Ancient wisdom reveals a clash where defenses may falter under pressure.

Based on the data, NAC Breda is predicted to win with a slight edge, supported by bookmaker odds and head-to-head history, while Fortuna Sittard shows stronger form and statistical advantages, creating a balanced match.

Form Analysis: Fortuna Sittard has a form of 75% and recent results of LLWLW, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, currently on a 2-loss streak. NAC Breda has a form of 25% and recent results of DLLDL, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per match, and failed to score in 3 of last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1) Bookmaker odds favor NAC Breda with 40% win probability, while API-Football model strongly favors Fortuna Sittard with 45% win probability, indicating conflicting signals. 2) Head-to-head history shows NAC Breda with 4 wins to Fortuna Sittard's 3 in last 5 meetings, giving NAC Breda a psychological edge. 3) Fortuna Sittard has 6 doubtful players, including key attackers like M. Ihattaren, potentially weakening their offense.

Conclusion: The data suggests a close match with NAC Breda slightly favored by odds and H2H, but Fortuna Sittard's better form and statistical metrics could lead to a draw or home win, making the outcome uncertain.

Win Probabilities: Fortuna Sittard: 36% · Draw: 32% · NAC Breda: 32%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Fortuna Sittard wins: 4 · Draws: 0 · NAC Breda wins: 3

Form (latest first): Fortuna Sittard: LWWLW · NAC Breda: LDWLL

  • M. Ihattaren vs D. Odoi: Fortuna Sittard's creative midfielder against NAC Breda's defensive anchor, crucial for controlling midfield.
  • S. van Hooijdonk vs Fortuna Sittard defense: NAC Breda's top scorer with 5 goals faces a defense that has conceded 2.2 goals per match on average.
  • L. Holtby vs Fortuna Sittard midfield: NAC Breda's playmaker with 3 assists battles against a midfield weakened by injuries.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Sep 1818:00
PEC Zwolle
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Sep 1914:30
Cambuur
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Sep 1916:45
Heerenveen
14.0025%
X3.4529%
22.1746%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1918:00
Excelsior
11.6959%
X4.5522%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Sep 1919:00
Fortuna Sittard
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Sep 2010:15
Utrecht
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Sep 2012:30
Telstar
11.3375%
X5.8817%
212.508%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 2012:30
PSV Eindhoven
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Sep 2014:45
GO Ahead Eagles
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
EredivisieNetherlands
Utrecht
Oct 1110:15
Willem II
Early projection
13.1332%
X4.0025%
22.3343%

Betting Tips

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