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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Heerenveen vs Heracles

Heerenveen vs Heracles

Result • Eredivisie·Heerenveen·Heracles

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Apr 5, 2026
12:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Heerenveen

Heerenveen

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.42
X5.50
26.00
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
high Confidence
Heracles

Heracles

Away
Odds
11.42
X5.50
26.00
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Win Probabilities
60%
Heerenveen
22%
Draw
18%
Heracles
Home1.4260%
Draw5.5022%
Away6.0018%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Heerenveen's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Heracles, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between Heerenveen and Heracles using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Heerenveen a 60% win probability, a 22% chance of a draw, and Heracles a 18% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1D. Vente vs Heracles defense: Vente's goal-scoring ability against a weak Heracles defense that concedes 2.4 goals per game on average.
2J. Hornkamp vs Heerenveen defense: Hornkamp's 8 goals against a Heerenveen defense that has allowed 1.4 goals per game on average.
3Midfield battle in 4-2-3-1 setups: Control of midfield will be crucial, with Heerenveen likely dominating due to better form and home advantage.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Heerenveen

  • Strong recent form with 4-game unbeaten streak
  • High average goals scored (2.0 per game)
  • Multiple players out due to injuries (4 doubtful)
  • Defensive vulnerability with 1.4 goals conceded per game on average

Heracles

  • Key player J. Hornkamp with 8 goals
  • N/A
  • Poor form with DLDLL and low scoring (0.4 goals per game)
  • High number of injuries (11 players out)
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · HeerenveenInjuries · Heracles</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Heerenveen

LDLDW
  • LSep 6, 26H · AZ Alkmaar2-3
  • DAug 30, 26A · Willem II2-2
  • LAug 22, 26H · PEC Zwolle0-2
  • DAug 16, 26A · Ajax2-2
  • WAug 9, 26H · Twente1-0

Heracles

WLLLL
  • WSep 11, 26H · Jong AZ3-2
  • LMay 17, 26H · Groningen1-2
  • LMay 10, 26A · Telstar3-0
  • LMay 3, 26A · PEC Zwolle1-0
  • LApr 26, 26H · FC Volendam0-2

Head to Head

5
Heerenveen
2
Draws
3
Heracles
  • Dec 20, 25Heracles – Heerenveen0-3
  • Mar 15, 25Heerenveen – Heracles1-1
  • Sep 27, 24Heracles – Heerenveen2-1
  • Apr 14, 24Heracles – Heerenveen0-2
  • Oct 28, 23Heerenveen – Heracles3-0

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

HeerenveenHeracles
Played533
Goals Scored734
Goals Conceded983
Avg Scored1.41.0
Avg Conceded1.82.5
Clean Sheets12

Heerenveen vs Heracles — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Heerenveen's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Heracles, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Heerenveen is predicted to win this match, with a high confidence level due to strong alignment between market odds, model predictions, and supporting factors.

Form Analysis: Heerenveen is on a 4-game unbeaten streak (DWWWL), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Heracles has a poor form of DLDLL, averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, and failed to score in 3 of their last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1) Heracles has 11 players out due to injuries, severely impacting their squad depth and performance. 2) Heerenveen holds a significant advantage in league standings (8th vs 18th, 22-point difference). 3) Home advantage with a rating of 0.55 and favorable weather conditions for a physical style.

Conclusion: The data overwhelmingly supports a Heerenveen victory, with form, injuries, and home advantage reinforcing the odds and model predictions.

Win Probabilities: Heerenveen: 60% · Draw: 22% · Heracles: 18%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Heerenveen wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Heracles wins: 3

Form (latest first): Heerenveen: LDLDW · Heracles: WLLLL

  • D. Vente vs Heracles defense: Vente's goal-scoring ability against a weak Heracles defense that concedes 2.4 goals per game on average.
  • J. Hornkamp vs Heerenveen defense: Hornkamp's 8 goals against a Heerenveen defense that has allowed 1.4 goals per game on average.
  • Midfield battle in 4-2-3-1 setups: Control of midfield will be crucial, with Heerenveen likely dominating due to better form and home advantage.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Sep 1310:15
Utrecht
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Sep 1312:30
Telstar
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Sep 1314:45
Feyenoord
17.1414%
X4.5522%
21.5664%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Sep 1318:00
Sparta Rotterdam
11.2580%
X7.1414%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1518:00
Willem II
11.1984%
X7.6913%
233.333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Sep 1818:00
PEC Zwolle
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Sep 1914:30
Cambuur
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Sep 1916:45
Heerenveen
14.0025%
X3.4529%
22.1746%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1918:00
Excelsior
11.6959%
X4.5522%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Sep 1919:00
Fortuna Sittard
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Sep 2010:15
Utrecht
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Sep 2012:30
Telstar
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.2619%
24.7621%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 2012:30
PSV Eindhoven
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.5522%
21.9651%
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Sep 2014:45
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%

Betting Tips

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