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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda

PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda

Result • Eredivisie·PEC Zwolle·NAC Breda

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Mar 21, 2026
20:00
low Confidence
WINNER
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.40
X3.40
22.90
Stadium
MAC³PARK Stadion
low Confidence
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

Away
Odds
12.40
X3.40
22.90
Stadium
MAC³PARK Stadion
Win Probabilities
40%
PEC Zwolle
30%
Draw
30%
NAC Breda
Home2.4040%
Draw3.4030%
Away2.9030%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

The Oracle sees PEC Zwolle's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from NAC Breda, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between PEC Zwolle and NAC Breda using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns PEC Zwolle a 40% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and NAC Breda a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%

Match Events

  1. Goal: T. OostingAssist: O. Velanas
    22'
    Goal: T. OostingPEC Zwolle · Assist: O. Velanas
  2. Goal: O. Velanas
    24'
    Goal: O. VelanasPEC Zwolle
  3. Yellow Card: T. Gooijer
    39'
    Yellow Card: T. GooijerPEC Zwolle
  4. Substitution: N. FichtingerOut: O. Velanas
    58'
    Substitution: N. FichtingerPEC Zwolle · Out: O. Velanas
  5. Substitution: K. de RooijOut: R. Thomas
    58'
    Substitution: K. de RooijPEC Zwolle · Out: R. Thomas
  6. Yellow Card: N. Fichtinger
    60'
    Yellow Card: N. FichtingerPEC Zwolle
  7. 62'
    Yellow Card: D. OdoiNAC Breda
    Yellow Card: D. Odoi
  8. 67'
    Goal: M. NassohNAC Breda · Assist: R. Paula
    Goal: M. NassohAssist: R. Paula
  9. 68'
    Substitution: A. AyewNAC Breda · Out: A. Salama
    Substitution: A. AyewOut: A. Salama
  10. 68'
    Substitution: J. TalvitieNAC Breda · Out: C. Brym
    Substitution: J. TalvitieOut: C. Brym
  11. 68'
    Substitution: B. GhalidiNAC Breda · Out: R. Paula
    Substitution: B. GhalidiOut: R. Paula
  12. Substitution: O. AertssenOut: T. Oosting
    79'
    Substitution: O. AertssenPEC Zwolle · Out: T. Oosting
  13. 82'
    Substitution: P. ReulenNAC Breda · Out: R. Hillen
    Substitution: P. ReulenOut: R. Hillen
  14. 87'
    Substitution: E. MahmutovicNAC Breda · Out: M. Balard
    Substitution: E. MahmutovicOut: M. Balard
  15. Substitution: D. van der HaarOut: S. Floranus
    87'
    Substitution: D. van der HaarPEC Zwolle · Out: S. Floranus
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1K. Kostons vs NAC Breda defense: Kostons' goal-scoring ability against a defense conceding 2.4 goals per match.
2K. de Rooij vs L. Holtby: Midfield battle between de Rooij's assists and Holtby's playmaking skills.
3S. van Hooijdonk vs PEC Zwolle defense: van Hooijdonk's scoring threat against a defense with 1.4 goals conceded per match.
Strengths · Weaknesses

PEC Zwolle

  • Consistent form with a 4-draw streak
  • Higher league position with 7-point advantage
  • Low goal-scoring average of 1.0 per match
  • Multiple injuries with 4 players doubtful

NAC Breda

  • Recent wins in form with LDLWW
  • Two clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • High goals conceded average of 2.4 per match
  • Six players out due to injuries
Head-to-head →Injuries · PEC ZwolleInjuries · NAC Breda

Statistical Context

PEC Zwolle

LDLWL
  • LSep 13, 26H · Feyenoord0-7
  • DSep 4, 26A · Sparta Rotterdam2-2
  • LAug 29, 26H · NEC Nijmegen1-3
  • WAug 22, 26A · Heerenveen0-2
  • LAug 16, 26A · Twente3-1

NAC Breda

LDWLL
  • LSep 11, 26H · Jong Utrecht2-3
  • DMay 17, 26A · AZ Alkmaar3-3
  • WMay 11, 26H · Heerenveen2-0
  • LMay 2, 26A · Utrecht2-0
  • LApr 25, 26H · Ajax0-2

Head to Head

5
PEC Zwolle
3
Draws
2
NAC Breda
  • Oct 18, 25NAC Breda – PEC Zwolle2-2
  • May 4, 25NAC Breda – PEC Zwolle1-3
  • Oct 20, 24PEC Zwolle – NAC Breda1-2
  • Mar 17, 23PEC Zwolle – NAC Breda2-0
  • Nov 19, 22NAC Breda – PEC Zwolle0-2

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

PEC ZwolleNAC Breda
Played533
Goals Scored632
Goals Conceded1055
Avg Scored1.21.0
Avg Conceded2.01.7
Clean Sheets16

PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees PEC Zwolle's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from NAC Breda, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, PEC Zwolle is predicted to win, supported by market and model probabilities, home advantage, and a stronger league position.

Form Analysis: PEC Zwolle has a 4-draw streak with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while NAC Breda has a 1-loss streak with 1.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match. NAC Breda failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games.

Key Factors: 1. Market and model probabilities favor PEC Zwolle (market: 39% home win, model: 45% home win). 2. PEC Zwolle holds a higher league position (13th vs 17th) with a 7-point advantage. 3. Home advantage rating of 0.55 provides a slight edge for PEC Zwolle.

Conclusion: The data indicates PEC Zwolle is more likely to secure a win, given their superior standing, home advantage, and consistent form compared to NAC Breda's defensive vulnerabilities.

Win Probabilities: PEC Zwolle: 40% · Draw: 30% · NAC Breda: 30%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: PEC Zwolle wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · NAC Breda wins: 2

Form (latest first): PEC Zwolle: LDLWL · NAC Breda: LDWLL

  • K. Kostons vs NAC Breda defense: Kostons' goal-scoring ability against a defense conceding 2.4 goals per match.
  • K. de Rooij vs L. Holtby: Midfield battle between de Rooij's assists and Holtby's playmaking skills.
  • S. van Hooijdonk vs PEC Zwolle defense: van Hooijdonk's scoring threat against a defense with 1.4 goals conceded per match.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1518:00
Willem II
11.1984%
X7.6913%
233.333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Sep 1818:00
PEC Zwolle
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Sep 1914:30
Cambuur
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Sep 1916:45
Heerenveen
14.0025%
X3.4529%
22.1746%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1918:00
Excelsior
11.6959%
X4.5522%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Sep 1919:00
Fortuna Sittard
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Sep 2010:15
Utrecht
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Sep 2012:30
Telstar
11.3375%
X5.8817%
212.508%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 2012:30
PSV Eindhoven
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Sep 2014:45
GO Ahead Eagles
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%

Betting Tips

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