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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam

NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam

Result • Eredivisie·NAC Breda·Sparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
Apr 5, 2026
14:45
medium Confidence
DRAW
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

Home
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
0-0
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.38
X3.40
23.00
Stadium
Rat Verlegh Stadion
medium Confidence
DRAW
Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

Away
Odds
12.38
X3.40
23.00
Stadium
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Win Probabilities
36%
NAC Breda
30%
Draw
34%
Sparta Rotterdam
Home2.3836%
Draw3.4030%
Away3.0034%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees NAC Breda's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sparta Rotterdam, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between NAC Breda and Sparta Rotterdam using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns NAC Breda a 36% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Sparta Rotterdam a 34% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1S. van Hooijdonk vs Sparta Rotterdam defense: van Hooijdonk's goal-scoring threat against Sparta's backline, which concedes an average of 2.0 goals.
2T. Lauritsen vs NAC Breda defense: Lauritsen, with 7 goals, facing NAC Breda's defense that allows 2.8 goals on average.
3L. Holtby vs Sparta Rotterdam midfield: Holtby's playmaking role in midfield against Sparta's defensive setup in a 4-2-3-1 formation.
Strengths · Weaknesses

NAC Breda

  • Home advantage with a rating of 0.55
  • Key player S. van Hooijdonk with 5 goals
  • Poor form with a 2-loss streak
  • High average goals conceded of 2.8

Sparta Rotterdam

  • Better recent form with a win streak
  • Fewer injuries with only 1 doubtful player
  • Inconsistent form with recent losses
  • Average goals conceded of 2.0
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · NAC BredaInjuries · Sparta Rotterdam</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

NAC Breda

LDWLL
  • LSep 11, 26H · Jong Utrecht2-3
  • DMay 17, 26A · AZ Alkmaar3-3
  • WMay 11, 26H · Heerenveen2-0
  • LMay 2, 26A · Utrecht2-0
  • LApr 25, 26H · Ajax0-2

Sparta Rotterdam

LDLDW
  • LSep 13, 26A · PSV Eindhoven4-1
  • DSep 4, 26H · PEC Zwolle2-2
  • LAug 29, 26A · Excelsior2-1
  • DAug 22, 26H · Utrecht3-3
  • WAug 14, 26A · Telstar1-3

Head to Head

2
NAC Breda
3
Draws
3
Sparta Rotterdam
  • Dec 7, 25Sparta Rotterdam – NAC Breda1-0
  • Mar 7, 25NAC Breda – Sparta Rotterdam1-1
  • Dec 7, 24Sparta Rotterdam – NAC Breda0-2
  • Aug 3, 24Sparta Rotterdam – NAC Breda2-1
  • Jul 23, 21Sparta Rotterdam – NAC Breda1-2

Season Statistics — 2025 · 2026

NAC BredaSparta Rotterdam
Played335
Goals Scored329
Goals Conceded559
Avg Scored1.01.8
Avg Conceded1.71.8
Clean Sheets60

NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees NAC Breda's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Sparta Rotterdam, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested, with a slight edge for Sparta Rotterdam due to better form and fewer injuries, but NAC Breda's home advantage and historical draws in head-to-head meetings suggest a draw is also likely.

Form Analysis: NAC Breda is struggling with a 2-loss streak, scoring an average of 1.0 goals and conceding 2.8 per game, and failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches. Sparta Rotterdam has a 1-win streak, scoring an average of 1.0 goals and conceding 2.0 per game, with similar recent form but slightly better defensive performance.

Key Factors: 1. Sparta Rotterdam has fewer injury concerns (1 doubtful player) compared to NAC Breda (5 doubtful players), potentially impacting team depth and performance. 2. Head-to-head history shows 3 draws in the last 5 meetings, indicating a tendency for close matches. 3. NAC Breda's home advantage rating of 0.55 provides a slight boost, but their poor form and injuries may offset this.

Conclusion: The data supports a balanced outcome, with Sparta Rotterdam having a minor advantage due to form and injuries, but NAC Breda's home ground and historical draws make a draw a strong possibility. Probabilities are adjusted from market values to reflect these factors.

Win Probabilities: NAC Breda: 36% · Draw: 30% · Sparta Rotterdam: 34%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (18.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: NAC Breda wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Sparta Rotterdam wins: 3

Form (latest first): NAC Breda: LDWLL · Sparta Rotterdam: LDLDW

  • S. van Hooijdonk vs Sparta Rotterdam defense: van Hooijdonk's goal-scoring threat against Sparta's backline, which concedes an average of 2.0 goals.
  • T. Lauritsen vs NAC Breda defense: Lauritsen, with 7 goals, facing NAC Breda's defense that allows 2.8 goals on average.
  • L. Holtby vs Sparta Rotterdam midfield: Holtby's playmaking role in midfield against Sparta's defensive setup in a 4-2-3-1 formation.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1518:00
Willem II
11.1984%
X7.6913%
233.333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Sep 1818:00
PEC Zwolle
11.9252%
X3.8526%
24.5522%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Sep 1914:30
Cambuur
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
EredivisieNetherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Sep 1916:45
Heerenveen
14.0025%
X3.4529%
22.1746%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Sep 1918:00
Excelsior
11.6959%
X4.5522%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Sep 1919:00
Fortuna Sittard
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Sep 2010:15
Utrecht
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
EredivisieNetherlands
AZ Alkmaar
Sep 2012:30
Telstar
11.3375%
X5.8817%
212.508%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Sep 2012:30
PSV Eindhoven
14.3523%
X3.5728%
22.0449%
EredivisieNetherlands
NEC Nijmegen
Sep 2014:45
GO Ahead Eagles
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 918:00
Heerenveen
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
EredivisieNetherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
Oct 1014:30
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
11.6760%
X5.0020%
25.0020%
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 1016:45
AZ Alkmaar
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.5522%
21.8554%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Oct 1018:00
Twente
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 1019:00
NEC Nijmegen
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%

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