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  1. Home
  2. Eredivisie
  3. Utrecht vs NAC Breda

Utrecht vs NAC Breda

Result • Eredivisie·Utrecht·NAC Breda

Eredivisie
Eredivisie
May 2, 2026
14:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Utrecht

Utrecht

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.75
X4.00
24.20
Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard
high Confidence
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

Away
Odds
11.75
X4.00
24.20
Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard
Win Probabilities
52%
Utrecht
29%
Draw
19%
NAC Breda
Home1.7552%
Draw4.0029%
Away4.2019%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Utrecht's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from NAC Breda, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Eredivisie fixture between Utrecht and NAC Breda using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Utrecht a 52% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and NAC Breda a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. 35'
    Red Card: M. NassohNAC Breda
    Red Card: M. Nassoh
  2. 40'
    Yellow Card: M. BalardNAC Breda
    Yellow Card: M. Balard
  3. Substitution: J. KarlssonOut: M. Eerdhuijzen
    46'
    Substitution: J. KarlssonUtrecht · Out: M. Eerdhuijzen
  4. Substitution: S. HallerOut: A. Stepanov
    65'
    Substitution: S. HallerUtrecht · Out: A. Stepanov
  5. Substitution: A. BlakeOut: A. Alarcon
    66'
    Substitution: A. BlakeUtrecht · Out: A. Alarcon
  6. Substitution: S. HoremansOut: N. Vesterlund
    74'
    Substitution: S. HoremansUtrecht · Out: N. Vesterlund
  7. 75'
    Substitution: M. SoumanoNAC Breda · Out: A. Ayew
    Substitution: M. SoumanoOut: A. Ayew
  8. 75'
    Substitution: R. HillenNAC Breda · Out: C. Valerius
    Substitution: R. HillenOut: C. Valerius
  9. 81'
    Substitution: J. CandelariaNAC Breda · Out: L. Holtby
    Substitution: J. CandelariaOut: L. Holtby
  10. 83'
    Yellow Card: D. BielicaNAC Breda
    Yellow Card: D. Bielica
  11. Goal: D. de WitAssist: J. Karlsson
    86'
    Goal: D. de WitUtrecht · Assist: J. Karlsson
  12. Substitution: D. MinOut: D. de Wit
    89'
    Substitution: D. MinUtrecht · Out: D. de Wit
  13. 90+1'
    Substitution: B. GhalidiNAC Breda · Out: M. Balard
    Substitution: B. GhalidiOut: M. Balard
  14. 90+2'
    Substitution: R. PaulaNAC Breda · Out: E. Mahmutovic
    Substitution: R. PaulaOut: E. Mahmutovic
  15. Substitution: C. BozdoganOut: Y. Cathline
    90+4'
    Substitution: C. BozdoganUtrecht · Out: Y. Cathline
  16. 90+5'
    Substitution: P. ReulenNAC Breda · Out: K. Sowah
    Substitution: P. ReulenOut: K. Sowah
  17. Goal: A. BlakeAssist: D. Min
    90+9'
    Goal: A. BlakeUtrecht · Assist: D. Min
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1S. El Karouani vs NAC Breda defense: Utrecht's creative force vs a struggling backline.
2Utrecht attack vs S. van Hooijdonk: Utrecht's high press vs NAC's lone striker.
3Midfield battle: Utrecht's 3-man midfield vs NAC's 4-man midfield.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Utrecht

  • Strong attack (85% rating)
  • Good recent form (3 wins in last 5)
  • Defense vulnerable (conceded 2.0 avg in last 5)
  • Several key players doubtful

NAC Breda

  • Defensive rating close to Utrecht (48% vs 52%)
  • Key player S. van Hooijdonk (5 goals)
  • Poor form (1 draw in last 5)
  • Low scoring (0.4 goals per game)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
45%
49%
Utrecht493715

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Utrecht is predicted to win against NAC Breda based on superior form, strong home advantage, and significant league position gap.

Form Analysis: Utrecht has won 3 of their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.2 goals scored per game, while NAC Breda has lost 4 of their last 5 (LDDLL), scoring only 0.4 goals per game. NAC Breda is on a 2-match losing streak and failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.

Key Factors: (1) Utrecht's attack (85% rating) vs NAC Breda's defense (48% rating) heavily favors the home side. (2) Head-to-head: Utrecht has won 5 of the last 10 meetings. (3) NAC Breda is 17th in the league, 19 points behind Utrecht, and in the relegation zone.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Utrecht's momentum and attacking prowess should overcome a struggling NAC Breda side.

Statistical ContextUtrecht

Winner : Utrecht

Team Comparison

AI Powered
UtrechtNAC Breda
72%Strength27%
85%Attacking Potential15%
52%Defensive Potential48%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
67%Goals H2H33%
72%Wins the Game27%

More information

Eredivisie predicted line-ups: Gameweek 119/9Head-to-headUtrecht – NAC BredaInjuriesUtrechtInjuriesNAC BredaLive scores

Statistical Context

Utrecht

DWWLW
  • DOct 24, 26H · PEC Zwolle1-1
  • WOct 18, 26A · Twente1-2
  • WOct 11, 26H · Willem II3-1
  • LSep 20, 26A · Feyenoord5-0
  • WSep 13, 26A · Excelsior1-2

NAC Breda

DWWDW
  • DOct 23, 26H · Heracles1-1
  • WOct 16, 26A · Helmond Sport0-2
  • WOct 9, 26H · MVV1-0
  • DOct 3, 26A · Vitesse2-2
  • WSep 26, 26H · FC Eindhoven4-2

Head to Head

5
Utrecht
2
Draws
3
NAC Breda
  • Dec 14, 25NAC Breda – Utrecht1-1
  • Mar 1, 25Utrecht – NAC Breda1-0
  • Aug 24, 24NAC Breda – Utrecht1-2
  • Dec 14, 21NAC Breda – Utrecht3-2
  • Mar 16, 19NAC Breda – Utrecht0-4

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

UtrechtNAC Breda
Played933
Goals Scored1632
Goals Conceded2655
Avg Scored1.81.0
Avg Conceded2.91.7
Clean Sheets06

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

UtrechtNAC Breda
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored8/10—
Clean Sheets1/10—

Utrecht vs NAC Breda — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Utrecht's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from NAC Breda, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Utrecht is predicted to win against NAC Breda based on superior form, strong home advantage, and significant league position gap.

Form Analysis: Utrecht has won 3 of their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.2 goals scored per game, while NAC Breda has lost 4 of their last 5 (LDDLL), scoring only 0.4 goals per game. NAC Breda is on a 2-match losing streak and failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches.

Key Factors: (1) Utrecht's attack (85% rating) vs NAC Breda's defense (48% rating) heavily favors the home side. (2) Head-to-head: Utrecht has won 5 of the last 10 meetings. (3) NAC Breda is 17th in the league, 19 points behind Utrecht, and in the relegation zone.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home win. Utrecht's momentum and attacking prowess should overcome a struggling NAC Breda side.

Win Probabilities: Utrecht: 52% · Draw: 29% · NAC Breda: 19%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Utrecht wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · NAC Breda wins: 3

Form (latest first): Utrecht: DWWLW · NAC Breda: DWWDW

  • S. El Karouani vs NAC Breda defense: Utrecht's creative force vs a struggling backline.
  • Utrecht attack vs S. van Hooijdonk: Utrecht's high press vs NAC's lone striker.
  • Midfield battle: Utrecht's 3-man midfield vs NAC's 4-man midfield.

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Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Netherlands15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EredivisieNetherlands
Feyenoord
Oct 3115:30
Fortuna Sittard
11.1984%
X8.3312%
225.004%
EredivisieNetherlands
PSV Eindhoven
Oct 3117:45
Willem II
11.1587%
X8.3312%
2100.001%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Oct 3117:45
NEC Nijmegen
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
EredivisieNetherlands
Ajax
Oct 3120:00
AZ Alkmaar
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Cambuur
Oct 3120:00
GO Ahead Eagles
13.1332%
X3.5728%
22.5040%
EredivisieNetherlands
PEC Zwolle
Nov 111:15
ADO Den Haag
12.5040%
X3.7027%
23.0333%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Nov 113:30
Twente
16.6715%
X4.1724%
21.6461%
EredivisieNetherlands
Telstar
Nov 113:30
Utrecht
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
EredivisieNetherlands
Groningen
Nov 115:45
Sparta Rotterdam
11.8953%
X3.5728%
25.2619%
EredivisieNetherlands
Willem II
Nov 619:00
PEC Zwolle
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.5728%
22.8635%
EredivisieNetherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Nov 715:30
Telstar
Early projection
11.3574%
X6.6715%
29.0911%
EredivisieNetherlands
ADO Den Haag
Nov 717:45
Sparta Rotterdam
Early projection
12.9434%
X3.7027%
22.5639%
EredivisieNetherlands
Excelsior
Nov 720:00
GO Ahead Eagles
Early projection
11.9252%
X4.5522%
23.8526%
EredivisieNetherlands
Heerenveen
Nov 811:15
Feyenoord
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.5618%
21.5465%
EredivisieNetherlands
Twente
Nov 813:30
Ajax
Early projection
12.0449%
X4.3523%
23.5728%

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