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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Eliteserien
  3. Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad

Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad

Result • Eliteserien·Rosenborg·Fredrikstad

Eliteserien
Eliteserien
Jul 27, 2026
17:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Rosenborg

Rosenborg

Home
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.53
X4.00
26.00
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
high Confidence
Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad

Away
Odds
11.53
X4.00
26.00
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
Win Probabilities
57%
Rosenborg
29%
Draw
14%
Fredrikstad
Home1.5357%
Draw4.0029%
Away6.0014%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Rosenborg are favored at 57% to win at home against Fredrikstad. The draw is rated 29% and the away win 14%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Our AI model analyzes this Eliteserien fixture between Rosenborg and Fredrikstad using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Rosenborg a 57% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Fredrikstad a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 48%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 48%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Amin Chiakha vs Fredrikstad defence: The home side's top scorer will test a depleted backline.
2Rosenborg midfield vs Fredrikstad midfield: Control of the centre will be crucial for dictating tempo.
3Rosenborg full-backs vs Fredrikstad wingers: Wide areas could decide where chances are created.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Rosenborg

  • Strong attack averaging 2.0 goals per game
  • Good home record (3W-2D-2L)
  • Defensive vulnerability (1.6 goals conceded per game)
  • Inconsistent form with two losses in last five

Fredrikstad

  • Resilient defense at times (1.4 goals conceded per game)
  • Able to score on counter-attacks
  • Poor form with three consecutive losses
  • Blunt attack averaging only 0.4 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
57%
API-Football
45%
51%
Rosenborg513712

Moderate agreement on home win (51%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Rosenborg are clear favourites to beat Fredrikstad at Lerkendal Stadion, backed by strong odds and a superior overall team comparison.

Form Analysis: Rosenborg have won two of their last five (WWDLL) and average 2.0 goals scored per game, while Fredrikstad are on a three-match losing streak (LLWDW) and have failed to score in three of their last five. The visitors' attack has been blunt, averaging just 0.4 goals per game.

Key Factors: Rosenborg hold a strong home record (3W-2D-2L) and have a clear edge in attack (67% vs 33%) and overall strength (59.2% vs 40.8%) per the statistical comparison. Fredrikstad are also dealing with a lengthy injury list (11 players out), which further weakens their already struggling side. Head-to-head history slightly favours Rosenborg (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last five).

Conclusion: With home advantage, superior attacking numbers, and a struggling opponent in poor form, Rosenborg are well-positioned to secure a victory.

Statistical ContextRosenborg

Winner : Rosenborg

Team Comparison

AI Powered
RosenborgFredrikstad
59%Strength40%
67%Attacking Potential33%
46%Defensive Potential54%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
60%Goals H2H40%
59%Wins the Game40%

Statistical Context

Rosenborg

WWLWW
  • WAug 14, 26H · Viking2-1
  • WAug 9, 26A · Lillestrom0-2
  • LAug 2, 26A · Brann3-2
  • WJul 18, 26A · Start0-3
  • WJul 12, 26H · Kristiansund BK3-0

Fredrikstad

WWWLL
  • WAug 16, 26H · Kristiansund BK1-0
  • WAug 8, 26A · Start0-1
  • WAug 1, 26H · Sandefjord1-0
  • LJul 17, 26A · Bodo/Glimt1-0
  • LJul 11, 26H · Lillestrom0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Brann17+925WWLWW
7Rosenborg17+324WWLWW
8Fredrikstad17-923WWWLL
9Sarpsborg 08 FF17-322LLDWD

Head to Head

2
Rosenborg
2
Draws
1
Fredrikstad
  • May 28, 25Fredrikstad – Rosenborg0-2
  • Apr 5, 25Rosenborg – Fredrikstad1-0
  • Jul 27, 24Fredrikstad – Rosenborg2-2
  • Jun 2, 24Rosenborg – Fredrikstad1-1
  • May 1, 24Fredrikstad – Rosenborg1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

RosenborgFredrikstad
Played1717
Goals Scored2518
Goals Conceded2227
Avg Scored1.51.1
Avg Conceded1.31.6
Clean Sheets63

Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad — Match Analysis

Rosenborg are favored at 57% to win at home against Fredrikstad. The draw is rated 29% and the away win 14%, so the numbers point to a home result.

Rosenborg are clear favourites to beat Fredrikstad at Lerkendal Stadion, backed by strong odds and a superior overall team comparison.

Form Analysis: Rosenborg have won two of their last five (WWDLL) and average 2.0 goals scored per game, while Fredrikstad are on a three-match losing streak (LLWDW) and have failed to score in three of their last five. The visitors' attack has been blunt, averaging just 0.4 goals per game.

Key Factors: Rosenborg hold a strong home record (3W-2D-2L) and have a clear edge in attack (67% vs 33%) and overall strength (59.2% vs 40.8%) per the statistical comparison. Fredrikstad are also dealing with a lengthy injury list (11 players out), which further weakens their already struggling side. Head-to-head history slightly favours Rosenborg (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last five).

Conclusion: With home advantage, superior attacking numbers, and a struggling opponent in poor form, Rosenborg are well-positioned to secure a victory.

Win Probabilities: Rosenborg: 57% · Draw: 29% · Fredrikstad: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 58% · Under 2.5: 42% · BTTS: 48%

H2H: Rosenborg wins: 2 · Draws: 2 · Fredrikstad wins: 1

Form (latest first): Rosenborg: WWLWW · Fredrikstad: WWWLL

  • Amin Chiakha vs Fredrikstad defence: The home side's top scorer will test a depleted backline.
  • Rosenborg midfield vs Fredrikstad midfield: Control of the centre will be crucial for dictating tempo.
  • Rosenborg full-backs vs Fredrikstad wingers: Wide areas could decide where chances are created.

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Eliteserien

Eliteserien

Norway15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EliteserienNorway
Bodo/Glimt
Aug 3012:30
Rosenborg
11.5266%
X4.5522%
28.3312%
EliteserienNorway
Valerenga
Aug 3015:00
Molde
12.5040%
X4.1724%
22.7836%
EliteserienNorway
Viking
Aug 3015:00
Aalesund
11.2580%
X7.1414%
216.676%
EliteserienNorway
Tromso
Aug 3015:00
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.6959%
X3.8526%
26.6715%
EliteserienNorway
Sandefjord
Aug 3015:00
Brann
14.1724%
X3.3330%
22.1746%
EliteserienNorway
Start
Aug 3015:00
KFUM Oslo
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
EliteserienNorway
Ham-Kam
Aug 3015:00
Kristiansund BK
12.0050%
X3.3330%
25.0020%
EliteserienNorway
Lillestrom
Aug 3017:15
Fredrikstad
12.1746%
X3.4529%
24.0025%
EliteserienNorway
Aalesund
Sep 417:00
Start
12.0050%
X3.4529%
24.7621%
EliteserienNorway
Fredrikstad
Sep 417:00
Bodo/Glimt
17.6913%
X4.3523%
21.5664%
EliteserienNorway
Sandefjord
Sep 419:00
Viking
Early projection
15.5618%
X5.8817%
21.5465%
EliteserienNorway
Rosenborg
Sep 514:00
Ham-Kam
Early projection
11.8255%
X4.7621%
24.1724%
EliteserienNorway
Brann
Sep 516:00
Lillestrom
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
EliteserienNorway
Molde
Sep 615:00
KFUM Oslo
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Kristiansund BK
Sep 617:15
Tromso
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.2619%
21.6760%