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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Eliteserien
  3. Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom

Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom

Result • Eliteserien·Ham-Kam·Lillestrom

Eliteserien
Eliteserien
May 25, 2026
15:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Ham-Kam

Ham-Kam

Home
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-0
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
13.00
X3.50
22.25
Stadium
Briskeby Arena
medium Confidence
Lillestrom

Lillestrom

Away
Odds
13.00
X3.50
22.25
Stadium
Briskeby Arena
Win Probabilities
33%
Ham-Kam
29%
Draw
38%
Lillestrom
Home3.0033%
Draw3.5029%
Away2.2538%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Lillestrom's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

Our AI model analyzes this Eliteserien fixture between Ham-Kam and Lillestrom using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Ham-Kam a 33% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Lillestrom a 38% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%

Match Events

  1. Goal: A. Potur
    26'
    Goal: A. PoturHam-Kam
  2. Yellow Card: I. Hoffmann
    47'
    Yellow Card: I. HoffmannHam-Kam
  3. 61'
    Substitution: K. ArierhiLillestrom · Out: Felix Va
    Substitution: K. ArierhiOut: Felix Va
  4. 61'
    Substitution: L. AlperudLillestrom · Out: C. Jebara
    Substitution: L. AlperudOut: C. Jebara
  5. 66'
    Substitution: K. KrygardLillestrom · Out: G. Nyheim
    Substitution: K. KrygardOut: G. Nyheim
  6. 66'
    Substitution: F. ElkaerLillestrom · Out: Y. Paintsil
    Substitution: F. ElkaerOut: Y. Paintsil
  7. Substitution: W. Osnes-RingenOut: A. Trondsen
    69'
    Substitution: W. Osnes-RingenHam-Kam · Out: A. Trondsen
  8. Substitution: M. JohnsgardOut: H. Udahl
    69'
    Substitution: M. JohnsgardHam-Kam · Out: H. Udahl
  9. Yellow Card: P. Metcalfe
    70'
    Yellow Card: P. MetcalfeHam-Kam
  10. Substitution: S. NilsenOut: I. Hoffmann
    79'
    Substitution: S. NilsenHam-Kam · Out: I. Hoffmann
  11. Substitution: I. KukleciOut: F. Sjolstad
    79'
    Substitution: I. KukleciHam-Kam · Out: F. Sjolstad
  12. Goal: A. PoturAssist: M. Gjone
    83'
    Goal: A. PoturHam-Kam · Assist: M. Gjone
  13. 84'
    Substitution: M. WaehlerLillestrom · Out: Y. Ibrahimaj
    Substitution: M. WaehlerOut: Y. Ibrahimaj
  14. Substitution: J. GonstadOut: M. Niang
    86'
    Substitution: J. GonstadHam-Kam · Out: M. Niang
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Niang vs Lillestrom defense: Niang's 4 goals make him Ham-Kam's main threat, but Lillestrom's backline must contain his movement.
2M. Karlsbakk vs Ham-Kam defense: Karlsbakk's pace and finishing ability will test Ham-Kam's 5-3-2 defensive shape.
3Midfield control: Ham-Kam's midfield must disrupt Lillestrom's creative players to prevent service to their forwards.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Ham-Kam

  • Solid recent form with 3 wins in last 5
  • Decent defensive record with 2 clean sheets
  • Inconsistent goal-scoring
  • Negative goal difference overall

Lillestrom

  • Strong league position (4th) with positive goal difference
  • Prolific attack with 17 goals in last 5 games
  • Inconsistent form with alternating wins and losses
  • Defensive lapses, conceding 9 goals in last 5

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
38%
API-Football
35%
34%
Lillestrom343234

Moderate agreement on home win (34%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

The predicted outcome is an away win for Lillestrom, based on stronger league position, superior head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds favoring the visitors.

Form Analysis: Ham-Kam's recent form (LWDWW) shows improvement with 2 clean sheets in last 5, but they face a Lillestrom side that, despite inconsistent results (LWLWL), has scored 17 goals in their last 5 matches. Lillestrom's attack remains potent, though they failed to score in 2 of those games.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Lillestrom with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings, and they sit 4th in the league with a +8 goal difference compared to Ham-Kam's 7th place and -1 GD. Both teams have key players doubtful, but Lillestrom's depth may be less affected.

Conclusion: While Ham-Kam have home advantage and decent form, Lillestrom's overall quality and historical dominance suggest they are likely to secure a narrow victory.

Statistical ContextHam-Kam

Double chance : Ham-Kam or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Ham-KamLillestrom
48%Strength51%
53%Attacking Potential47%
64%Defensive Potential36%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
29%H2H Strength71%
50%Goals H2H50%
48%Wins the Game51%

More information

Eliteserien predicted line-ups: Gameweek 258/8Head-to-headHam-Kam – LillestromInjuriesHam-KamInjuriesLillestromLive scores

Statistical Context

Ham-Kam

LLWLL
  • LOct 24, 26H · Rosenborg0-3
  • LOct 17, 26H · Bodo/Glimt0-2
  • WOct 11, 26A · Start2-4
  • LSep 20, 26A · Tromso3-2
  • LSep 13, 26H · Molde1-5

Lillestrom

WLWDD
  • WOct 25, 26H · Brann3-2
  • LOct 22, 26H · Real Sociedad0-6
  • WOct 18, 26A · Sandefjord0-2
  • DOct 15, 26A · Sparta Praha1-1
  • DOct 11, 26H · Molde2-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Tromso24+940LDDWL
6Lillestrom24+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FF24-531WLWLD
8KFUM Oslo24-930DDWWW
9Brann24+229LLLWL
10Valerenga24-729WWLDL
11Fredrikstad24-1229LLDDD
12Ham-Kam24-1826LLWLL
13Sandefjord24-924LLDWL

Head to Head

2
Ham-Kam
3
Draws
5
Lillestrom
  • Mar 7, 26Ham-Kam – Lillestrom0-2
  • Jan 30, 26Lillestrom – Ham-Kam1-0
  • Sep 21, 24Ham-Kam – Lillestrom5-0
  • Apr 28, 24Lillestrom – Ham-Kam1-1
  • Jul 30, 23Lillestrom – Ham-Kam3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Ham-KamLillestrom
Played2323
Goals Scored3332
Goals Conceded4831
Avg Scored1.41.4
Avg Conceded2.11.4
Clean Sheets47

Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Lillestrom's superior quality overcoming the home advantage. Ancient wisdom reveals the visitors' class will prove decisive in this encounter.

The predicted outcome is an away win for Lillestrom, based on stronger league position, superior head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds favoring the visitors.

Form Analysis: Ham-Kam's recent form (LWDWW) shows improvement with 2 clean sheets in last 5, but they face a Lillestrom side that, despite inconsistent results (LWLWL), has scored 17 goals in their last 5 matches. Lillestrom's attack remains potent, though they failed to score in 2 of those games.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Lillestrom with 5 wins in the last 10 meetings, and they sit 4th in the league with a +8 goal difference compared to Ham-Kam's 7th place and -1 GD. Both teams have key players doubtful, but Lillestrom's depth may be less affected.

Conclusion: While Ham-Kam have home advantage and decent form, Lillestrom's overall quality and historical dominance suggest they are likely to secure a narrow victory.

Win Probabilities: Ham-Kam: 33% · Draw: 29% · Lillestrom: 38%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Ham-Kam wins: 2 · Draws: 3 · Lillestrom wins: 5

Form (latest first): Ham-Kam: LLWLL · Lillestrom: WLWDD

  • M. Niang vs Lillestrom defense: Niang's 4 goals make him Ham-Kam's main threat, but Lillestrom's backline must contain his movement.
  • M. Karlsbakk vs Ham-Kam defense: Karlsbakk's pace and finishing ability will test Ham-Kam's 5-3-2 defensive shape.
  • Midfield control: Ham-Kam's midfield must disrupt Lillestrom's creative players to prevent service to their forwards.

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Eliteserien

Eliteserien

Norway15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EliteserienNorway
Fredrikstad
Oct 3115:00
Rosenborg
14.1724%
X3.3330%
22.1746%
EliteserienNorway
Aalesund
Oct 3117:00
Sandefjord
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
EliteserienNorway
Brann
Nov 113:30
Molde
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
EliteserienNorway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Nov 116:00
Kristiansund BK
11.8554%
X4.0025%
24.7621%
EliteserienNorway
Start
Nov 116:00
Lillestrom
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
EliteserienNorway
KFUM Oslo
Nov 116:00
Ham-Kam
12.0848%
X3.3330%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Valerenga
Nov 118:15
Tromso
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
EliteserienNorway
Kristiansund BK
Nov 715:00
Valerenga
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Rosenborg
Nov 717:00
Start
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
EliteserienNorway
Tromso
Nov 813:30
Bodo/Glimt
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
EliteserienNorway
Lillestrom
Nov 816:00
Aalesund
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Sandefjord
Nov 816:00
Molde
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
EliteserienNorway
Viking
Nov 816:00
KFUM Oslo
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
EliteserienNorway
Ham-Kam
Nov 816:00
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Fredrikstad
Nov 818:15
Brann
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%

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