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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Eliteserien
  3. Viking vs Fredrikstad

Viking vs Fredrikstad

Result • Eliteserien·Viking·Fredrikstad

Eliteserien
Eliteserien
Oct 17, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Viking

Viking

Home
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 3-0
Final Score
3-2
Predicted: 3-0
Odds
11.35
X5.00
26.50
Stadium
SR-Bank Arena
high Confidence
Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad

Away
Odds
11.35
X5.00
26.50
Stadium
SR-Bank Arena
Win Probabilities
67%
Viking
21%
Draw
12%
Fredrikstad
Home1.3567%
Draw5.0021%
Away6.5012%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Viking are clear favourites, backed by a perfect home record and superior form. The main risk is complacency or the windy conditions disrupting their rhythm.

Our AI model analyzes this Eliteserien fixture between Viking and Fredrikstad using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Viking a 67% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and Fredrikstad a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 3-0. Both teams to score probability: 66%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 66%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Simen Kvia EgeskogAssist: Peter Christiansen
    7'
    Goal: Simen Kvia EgeskogViking · Assist: Peter Christiansen
  2. 27'
    Goal: Bryan FiabemaFredrikstad · Assist: Gabriel Wesseh
    Goal: Bryan FiabemaAssist: Gabriel Wesseh
  3. Yellow Card: Joe Bell
    36'
    Yellow Card: Joe BellViking
  4. 40'
    Goal: Gabriel WessehFredrikstad · Assist: Daniel Eid
    Goal: Gabriel WessehAssist: Daniel Eid
  5. Substitution: Zlatko TripićOut: Niklas Fuglestad
    45'
    Substitution: Zlatko TripićViking · Out: Niklas Fuglestad
  6. Substitution: Henrik BjørdalOut: Joe Bell
    45'
    Substitution: Henrik BjørdalViking · Out: Joe Bell
  7. Yellow Card: Vetle Auklend
    46'
    Yellow Card: Vetle AuklendViking
  8. Goal: Peter ChristiansenAssist: Simen Kvia Egeskog
    56'
    Goal: Peter ChristiansenViking · Assist: Simen Kvia Egeskog
  9. Goal: Peter ChristiansenAssist: Vetle Auklend
    57'
    Goal: Peter ChristiansenViking · Assist: Vetle Auklend
  10. Substitution: Jesper DalandOut: Henrik Falchener
    58'
    Substitution: Jesper DalandViking · Out: Henrik Falchener
  11. 58'
    Substitution: Henrik Langaas SkogvoldFredrikstad · Out: jakub jezierski
    Substitution: Henrik Langaas SkogvoldOut: jakub jezierski
  12. 66'
    Yellow Card: Sondre SørløkkFredrikstad
    Yellow Card: Sondre Sørløkk
  13. 66'
    Substitution: Fanuel GhebreyohannesFredrikstad · Out: Gabriel Wesseh
    Substitution: Fanuel GhebreyohannesOut: Gabriel Wesseh
  14. Substitution: Herman HaugenOut: Vetle Auklend
    70'
    Substitution: Herman HaugenViking · Out: Vetle Auklend
  15. 74'
    Yellow Card: Daniel EidFredrikstad
    Yellow Card: Daniel Eid
  16. 80'
    Substitution: Leonard OwusuFredrikstad · Out: Solomon Owusu
    Substitution: Leonard OwusuOut: Solomon Owusu
  17. 80'
    Substitution: Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-NunezFredrikstad · Out: Samuel Holm
    Substitution: Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-NunezOut: Samuel Holm
  18. 80'
    Substitution: Benjamin Thoresen FaraasFredrikstad · Out: Sondre Sørløkk
    Substitution: Benjamin Thoresen FaraasOut: Sondre Sørløkk
  19. Substitution: Jakob Segadal HansenOut: Peter Christiansen
    89'
    Substitution: Jakob Segadal HansenViking · Out: Peter Christiansen
  20. Yellow Card: Erik Botheim
    90+3'
    Yellow Card: Erik BotheimViking
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Strengths · Weaknesses

Viking

  • Perfect home record (10 wins from 10)
  • Prolific attack averaging 3.8 goals per game
  • Several players suspended, reducing squad depth
  • Strong wind may disrupt passing game

Fredrikstad

  • Unbeaten in last four matches (three draws)
  • Capable of grinding out draws
  • Struggling attack averaging only 1.0 goal per game
  • Key players suspended or injured

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
67%
API-Football
50%
59%
Viking58366

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (59%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Viking are clear favourites to win this Eliteserien clash at SR-Bank Arena, with the bookmakers and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory. Viking sit top of the table with 53 points and a +36 goal difference, while Fredrikstad are 8th with 29 points and a -7 goal difference.

Form Analysis: Viking are in outstanding form with four wins and a draw in their last five, scoring 3.8 goals per game and keeping three clean sheets. Fredrikstad have drawn three and lost one of their last five, scoring just 1.0 goal per game. The contrast in attacking output is stark.

Key Factors: Viking have a perfect home record of 10 wins from 10, a formidable advantage. Head-to-head, Viking have won five of the last eight meetings, underlining their dominance. Fredrikstad are without key players due to suspensions and injuries, further weakening their chances.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Viking win. The only slight concern is the strong wind, which could affect the flow, but Viking's quality should prevail.

Statistical ContextViking

Combo Winner : Viking and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
VikingFredrikstad
72%Strength27%
67%Attacking Potential33%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
71%Goals H2H29%
72%Wins the Game27%

More information

Eliteserien predicted line-ups: Gameweek 258/8Head-to-headViking – FredrikstadInjuriesVikingInjuriesFredrikstadLive scores

Statistical Context

Viking

WLDWW
  • WOct 25, 26H · Tromso3-1
  • LOct 21, 26A · Aston Villa3-1
  • DOct 13, 26H · Bayern München3-3
  • WOct 9, 26A · Brann0-2
  • WSep 20, 26H · Lillestrom3-0

Fredrikstad

LDDDL
  • LOct 25, 26A · Molde5-1
  • DOct 11, 26H · Tromso1-1
  • DSep 20, 26A · Valerenga1-1
  • DSep 13, 26H · Sarpsborg 08 FF1-1
  • LSep 4, 26H · Bodo/Glimt1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Viking24+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/Glimt24+3756LWWLW
10Valerenga24-729WWLDL
11Fredrikstad24-1229LLDDD
12Ham-Kam24-1826LLWLL

Head to Head

5
Viking
2
Draws
1
Fredrikstad
  • Apr 25, 26Fredrikstad – Viking1-2
  • Nov 23, 25Fredrikstad – Viking0-1
  • Jun 22, 25Viking – Fredrikstad3-0
  • Mar 1, 25Viking – Fredrikstad2-0
  • Sep 22, 24Fredrikstad – Viking3-2

Season Statistics — 2026

VikingFredrikstad
Played2424
Goals Scored6229
Goals Conceded2341
Avg Scored2.61.2
Avg Conceded1.01.7
Clean Sheets73

Viking vs Fredrikstad — Match Analysis

Viking are clear favourites, backed by a perfect home record and superior form. The main risk is complacency or the windy conditions disrupting their rhythm.

Viking are clear favourites to win this Eliteserien clash at SR-Bank Arena, with the bookmakers and the statistical model both pointing to a home victory. Viking sit top of the table with 53 points and a +36 goal difference, while Fredrikstad are 8th with 29 points and a -7 goal difference.

Form Analysis: Viking are in outstanding form with four wins and a draw in their last five, scoring 3.8 goals per game and keeping three clean sheets. Fredrikstad have drawn three and lost one of their last five, scoring just 1.0 goal per game. The contrast in attacking output is stark.

Key Factors: Viking have a perfect home record of 10 wins from 10, a formidable advantage. Head-to-head, Viking have won five of the last eight meetings, underlining their dominance. Fredrikstad are without key players due to suspensions and injuries, further weakening their chances.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable Viking win. The only slight concern is the strong wind, which could affect the flow, but Viking's quality should prevail.

Win Probabilities: Viking: 67% · Draw: 21% · Fredrikstad: 12%

Predicted Score: 3-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 67% · Under 2.5: 33% · BTTS: 66%

H2H: Viking wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Fredrikstad wins: 1

Form (latest first): Viking: WLDWW · Fredrikstad: LDDDL

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Eliteserien

Eliteserien

Norway15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EliteserienNorway
Fredrikstad
Oct 3115:00
Rosenborg
14.1724%
X3.3330%
22.1746%
EliteserienNorway
Aalesund
Oct 3117:00
Sandefjord
12.6338%
X3.4529%
23.0333%
EliteserienNorway
Brann
Nov 113:30
Molde
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
EliteserienNorway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Nov 116:00
Kristiansund BK
11.8554%
X4.0025%
24.7621%
EliteserienNorway
Start
Nov 116:00
Lillestrom
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
EliteserienNorway
KFUM Oslo
Nov 116:00
Ham-Kam
12.0848%
X3.3330%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Valerenga
Nov 118:15
Tromso
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
EliteserienNorway
Kristiansund BK
Nov 715:00
Valerenga
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Rosenborg
Nov 717:00
Start
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
EliteserienNorway
Tromso
Nov 813:30
Bodo/Glimt
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
EliteserienNorway
Lillestrom
Nov 816:00
Aalesund
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Sandefjord
Nov 816:00
Molde
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
EliteserienNorway
Viking
Nov 816:00
KFUM Oslo
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
EliteserienNorway
Ham-Kam
Nov 816:00
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Fredrikstad
Nov 818:15
Brann
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%

Betting Tips

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