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Matches
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  1. Home
  2. Eliteserien
  3. Rosenborg vs Aalesund

Rosenborg vs Aalesund

Result • Eliteserien·Rosenborg·Aalesund

Eliteserien
Eliteserien
May 16, 2026
14:00
high Confidence
Rosenborg

Rosenborg

Home
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-3
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.75
X3.90
24.33
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
high Confidence
WINNER
Aalesund

Aalesund

Away
Odds
11.75
X3.90
24.33
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
Win Probabilities
52%
Rosenborg
29%
Draw
19%
Aalesund
Home1.7552%
Draw3.9029%
Away4.3319%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Rosenborg's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Aalesund, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Our AI model analyzes this Eliteserien fixture between Rosenborg and Aalesund using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Rosenborg a 52% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Aalesund a 19% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1K. Lonebu vs Rosenborg defense: Aalesund's top scorer faces a defense that has conceded 11 goals in 5 games, but Rosenborg's defensive rating is strong.
2Rosenborg midfield vs Aalesund midfield: Rosenborg's midfield, despite injury doubts, should dominate possession against Aalesund's 3-man midfield.
3Rosenborg attack vs Aalesund defense: Rosenborg's attack, which has scored 5 in 5, will test Aalesund's fragile defense that has conceded 14.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Rosenborg

  • Defensive solidity (67% defensive rating)
  • Strong home record
  • Inconsistent scoring (failed to score in 2 of last 5)
  • High goals conceded (11 in last 5)

Aalesund

  • Top scorer K. Lonebu (4 goals)
  • Able to score (7 goals in last 5)
  • Poor form (1 win in last 5)
  • Leaky defense (14 goals conceded in last 5)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
45%
49%
Rosenborg493715

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Rosenborg is the clear favorite to win this Eliteserien clash against Aalesund. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give Rosenborg a 54% chance, which aligns with the API-Football model's predicted winner and overall comparison (69.5% in favor of Rosenborg).

Form Analysis: Rosenborg's recent form (WLDDW) is superior to Aalesund's (LDLDL). Although Rosenborg has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches, they have kept 2 clean sheets and have a better defensive rating (67%) compared to Aalesund's 33%. Aalesund has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 games and has lost 4 of those.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Rosenborg with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings. Aalesund is bottom of the table with only 3 points, while Rosenborg sits 13th with 8 points. Both teams have injury doubts, but no confirmed absences. The home advantage at Lerkendal Stadion further supports Rosenborg.

Conclusion: Rosenborg's superior form, historical dominance, and home advantage make them the likely winners. Aalesund's poor form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will struggle to get a result.

Statistical ContextRosenborg

Double chance : Rosenborg or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
RosenborgAalesund
69%Strength30%
50%Attacking Potential50%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
69%Goals H2H31%
69%Wins the Game30%
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · RosenborgInjuries · Aalesund</> Embed this prediction

Statistical Context

Rosenborg

WWLWW
  • WSep 12, 26H · Tromso5-3
  • WSep 5, 26H · Ham-Kam4-0
  • LAug 30, 26A · Bodo/Glimt4-2
  • WAug 14, 26H · Viking2-1
  • WAug 9, 26A · Lillestrom0-2

Aalesund

WLDDL
  • WSep 4, 26H · Start2-0
  • LAug 30, 26A · Viking2-1
  • DAug 16, 26H · Valerenga5-5
  • DAug 9, 26A · Ham-Kam1-1
  • LAug 2, 26H · Tromso2-6

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
5Lillestrom19029WLDLL
6Rosenborg19+527WLWWL
7Brann19+826LDWWL
14KFUM Oslo19-1319LLDWW
15Aalesund19-1318WLDDL
16Start19-2113LWLLW

Head to Head

1
Rosenborg
3
Draws
6
Aalesund
  • Feb 9, 24Rosenborg – Aalesund2-1
  • Aug 27, 23Rosenborg – Aalesund4-0
  • Jul 2, 23Aalesund – Rosenborg1-0
  • Mar 3, 23Rosenborg – Aalesund1-1
  • Aug 21, 22Rosenborg – Aalesund2-1

Season Statistics — 2026

RosenborgAalesund
Played1919
Goals Scored3130
Goals Conceded2643
Avg Scored1.61.6
Avg Conceded1.42.3
Clean Sheets71

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

RosenborgAalesund
Over 2.5 Goals—6/10
Both Teams Scored—3/10
Clean Sheets—6/10

Rosenborg vs Aalesund — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Rosenborg's strength prevailing on home ground. Ancient wisdom reveals a spirited effort from Aalesund, but the hosts' quality should shine through.

Based on the data, Rosenborg is the clear favorite to win this Eliteserien clash against Aalesund. The bookmaker-implied probabilities give Rosenborg a 54% chance, which aligns with the API-Football model's predicted winner and overall comparison (69.5% in favor of Rosenborg).

Form Analysis: Rosenborg's recent form (WLDDW) is superior to Aalesund's (LDLDL). Although Rosenborg has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches, they have kept 2 clean sheets and have a better defensive rating (67%) compared to Aalesund's 33%. Aalesund has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 games and has lost 4 of those.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Rosenborg with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings. Aalesund is bottom of the table with only 3 points, while Rosenborg sits 13th with 8 points. Both teams have injury doubts, but no confirmed absences. The home advantage at Lerkendal Stadion further supports Rosenborg.

Conclusion: Rosenborg's superior form, historical dominance, and home advantage make them the likely winners. Aalesund's poor form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will struggle to get a result.

Win Probabilities: Rosenborg: 52% · Draw: 29% · Aalesund: 19%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Rosenborg wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Aalesund wins: 6

Form (latest first): Rosenborg: WWLWW · Aalesund: WLDDL

  • K. Lonebu vs Rosenborg defense: Aalesund's top scorer faces a defense that has conceded 11 goals in 5 games, but Rosenborg's defensive rating is strong.
  • Rosenborg midfield vs Aalesund midfield: Rosenborg's midfield, despite injury doubts, should dominate possession against Aalesund's 3-man midfield.
  • Rosenborg attack vs Aalesund defense: Rosenborg's attack, which has scored 5 in 5, will test Aalesund's fragile defense that has conceded 14.

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Eliteserien

Eliteserien

Norway15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EliteserienNorway
Viking
Sep 1312:30
Kristiansund BK
11.2381%
X7.6913%
216.676%
EliteserienNorway
Start
Sep 1315:00
Brann
14.1724%
X3.7027%
22.0449%
EliteserienNorway
KFUM Oslo
Sep 1315:00
Aalesund
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Ham-Kam
Sep 1315:00
Molde
15.2619%
X3.5728%
21.8953%
EliteserienNorway
Fredrikstad
Sep 1317:15
Sarpsborg 08 FF
12.2744%
X3.1332%
24.1724%
EliteserienNorway
Bodo/Glimt
Sep 1417:00
Sandefjord
11.2083%
X7.6913%
225.004%
EliteserienNorway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sep 1817:00
KFUM Oslo
11.8255%
X3.7027%
25.5618%
EliteserienNorway
Kristiansund BK
Sep 1914:00
Rosenborg
15.0020%
X3.4529%
21.9651%
EliteserienNorway
Molde
Sep 1916:00
Aalesund
11.4768%
X4.7621%
29.0911%
EliteserienNorway
Valerenga
Sep 2012:30
Fredrikstad
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Tromso
Sep 2015:00
Ham-Kam
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
EliteserienNorway
Sandefjord
Sep 2015:00
Start
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.2619%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Viking
Sep 2015:00
Lillestrom
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
EliteserienNorway
Brann
Sep 2017:15
Bodo/Glimt
Early projection
14.1724%
X5.0020%
21.7956%
EliteserienNorway
Brann
Oct 917:00
Viking
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.7621%
21.8554%

Betting Tips

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