Rosenborg vs Aalesund

PredictionEliteserien

Eliteserien
Eliteserien
16 May 2026
14:00
medium Confidence
PREDICTED DRAW
Rosenborg

Rosenborg

🏠Home
VS
PREDICTED DRAW
Aalesund

Aalesund

✈️Away
🏟️Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
Win Probabilities
Home35%
Draw35%
Away30%
🔮

Oracle's Vision

The Oracle sees a stalemate brewing under the Lerkendal lights, where historical dominance clashes with current struggles. Ancient wisdom reveals a draw as the most likely outcome, with both teams seeking redemption in a tight contest.

Our AI model analyzes this Eliteserien fixture between Rosenborg and Aalesund using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Rosenborg a 35% win probability, a 35% chance of a draw, and Aalesund a 30% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 45%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

Rosenborg 35%Draw 35%Aalesund 30%BTTS: 45%
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📈Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
Rosenborg
2/10
Form
Win Rate
20%
Aalesund
2/10
Form
Win Rate20%
Momentum Advantage
Even Match

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Score Analysis

AI Powered
Top Predictions
Correct Score
1-1
20.0%
1-0
15.0%
0-0
12.0%
Over 2.5
40%
45%
Expected Goals
Total match goals
2.0

🎯Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Confidence

61%
Data Quality78%
Form Reliability33%
H2H Available100%
Model Agreement90%

Based on data completeness, model certainty, and historical patterns.

Rosenborg vs AalesundExpert Prediction & Analysis

The Oracle sees a stalemate brewing under the Lerkendal lights, where historical dominance clashes with current struggles. Ancient wisdom reveals a draw as the most likely outcome, with both teams seeking redemption in a tight contest.

Based on the data, the match is predicted to be a draw, with Rosenborg having a slight edge due to home advantage and historical dominance, but both teams are struggling in form, making a clear winner uncertain.

Form Analysis: Rosenborg has a form of 60% compared to Aalesund's 40%, but their recent matches show a WLLL record with only 2 goals scored and 7 conceded in the last 5 games, including failing to score in 4 of those. Aalesund has a DLDL record with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded, indicating slightly better attacking but poor defense. Both teams are low in the standings, with Rosenborg in 13th place and Aalesund in 15th, separated by only 1 point.

Key Factors: The head-to-head history strongly favors Rosenborg with 6 wins in the last 10 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. Rosenborg's home advantage rating of 0.55 provides a slight boost. Injuries are minimal for both teams, with only doubtful players listed, so no major impact is expected.

Conclusion: The data suggests a tight match with no clear favorite, aligning with the market probabilities that show nearly equal chances. A draw is the most likely outcome, supported by both teams' poor form and balanced odds, but Rosenborg's home advantage and H2H record give them a slight edge in probability.

Win Probabilities: Rosenborg: 35% · Draw: 35% · Aalesund: 30%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 40% · Under 2.5: 60% · BTTS: 45%

H2H: Rosenborg wins: 1 · Draws: 3 · Aalesund wins: 6

Form: Rosenborg: LLLLW · Aalesund: LWDLD

  • N/A vs N/A: Key matchup in midfield where Rosenborg's 4-4-2 meets Aalesund's 5-3-2, focusing on control and transitions
  • N/A vs N/A: Defensive battle as Rosenborg's strikers face Aalesund's five-man defense, crucial for breaking down low blocks
  • N/A vs N/A: Set-piece specialists could decide the match, given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities
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