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  1. Home
  2. Eliteserien
  3. Lillestrom vs Molde

Lillestrom vs Molde

Result • Eliteserien·Lillestrom·Molde

Eliteserien
Eliteserien
Oct 11, 2026
17:15
medium Confidence
DRAW
Lillestrom

Lillestrom

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.45
X3.70
22.40
Stadium
Åråsen Stadion
medium Confidence
DRAW
Molde

Molde

Away
Odds
12.45
X3.70
22.40
Stadium
Åråsen Stadion
Win Probabilities
28%
Lillestrom
30%
Draw
42%
Molde
Home2.4528%
Draw3.7030%
Away2.4042%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Molde are clear favourites for this Eliteserien encounter, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior recent form with three clean sheets in their last five. The main risk to this outcome is Lillestrom's home advantage and their ability to score goals, which could cause an upset if Molde are complacent.

Our AI model analyzes this Eliteserien fixture between Lillestrom and Molde using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Lillestrom a 28% win probability, a 30% chance of a draw, and Molde a 42% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 68%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 68%

Match Events

  1. 10'
    Goal: Sander Hestetun KilenMolde · Assist: Kristian Lonebu
    Goal: Sander Hestetun KilenAssist: Kristian Lonebu
  2. Goal: Felix VáAssist: Daniel Bassi
    16'
    Goal: Felix VáLillestrom · Assist: Daniel Bassi
  3. 24'
    Yellow Card: Sondre GranaasMolde
    Yellow Card: Sondre Granaas
  4. 26'
    Goal: Emil BreivikMolde · Assist: Daniel Daga
    Goal: Emil BreivikAssist: Daniel Daga
  5. 37'
    Yellow Card: Sander Hestetun KilenMolde
    Yellow Card: Sander Hestetun Kilen
  6. Substitution: Sturla OttesenOut: Lars Ranger
    45'
    Substitution: Sturla OttesenLillestrom · Out: Lars Ranger
  7. 45'
    Substitution: Mats Møller DæhliMolde · Out: Sander Hestetun Kilen
    Substitution: Mats Møller DæhliOut: Sander Hestetun Kilen
  8. 50'
    Yellow Card: Martin LinnesMolde
    Yellow Card: Martin Linnes
  9. Substitution: Winston Robin Yaw PaintsilOut: Frederik Elkaer
    66'
    Substitution: Winston Robin Yaw PaintsilLillestrom · Out: Frederik Elkaer
  10. Substitution: Fredrik GulbrandsenOut: Daniel Bassi
    66'
    Substitution: Fredrik GulbrandsenLillestrom · Out: Daniel Bassi
  11. 67'
    Substitution: Niklas ÖdegardMolde · Out: Eirik Haugan
    Substitution: Niklas ÖdegardOut: Eirik Haugan
  12. 67'
    Substitution: Trent Kone-DohertyMolde · Out: Kristian Lonebu
    Substitution: Trent Kone-DohertyOut: Kristian Lonebu
  13. 67'
    Substitution: Viktor BenderMolde · Out: Martin Linnes
    Substitution: Viktor BenderOut: Martin Linnes
  14. 80'
    Yellow Card: Daniel DagaMolde
    Yellow Card: Daniel Daga
  15. Substitution: Henrik Molvaer MellandOut: Eric Kitolano
    80'
    Substitution: Henrik Molvaer MellandLillestrom · Out: Eric Kitolano
  16. 80'
    Substitution: Birk RisaMolde · Out: Daniel Daga
    Substitution: Birk RisaOut: Daniel Daga
  17. Goal: Sander Moen Foss
    87'
    Goal: Sander Moen FossLillestrom
  18. Substitution: Yildren IbrahimajOut: Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
    87'
    Substitution: Yildren IbrahimajLillestrom · Out: Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1T. Lehne Olsen vs E. Breivik: Lillestrom's top scorer will look to exploit any space, but Breivik's defensive work in midfield could limit service.
2G. Nyheim vs E. Hestad: Nyheim's creativity will be crucial for Lillestrom, but Hestad's experience and positioning could neutralize him.
3M. Karlsbakk vs F. Gulbrandsen: Karlsbakk's pace will test Molde's defense, while Gulbrandsen's attacking threat may pin back Lillestrom's full-backs.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Lillestrom

  • Home advantage with a decent home record (5 wins in 10)
  • Capable of scoring goals, averaging 2.0 per game in last 5
  • Inconsistent form with 2 losses in last 5
  • Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.4 goals per game on average

Molde

  • Excellent recent form with 4 wins in last 5
  • Strong defensive record with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Several injuries to squad players, which could affect depth
  • Occasional defensive lapses despite good record

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
42%
API-Football
45%
44%
Molde193844

Moderate agreement on away win (44%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Molde enter this Eliteserien clash at Åråsen Stadion as clear favourites, backed by a strong recent run and a dominant head-to-head record. The visitors sit fourth in the table with a positive goal difference, while Lillestrom are sixth and have a negative goal difference, underlining the gap in quality.

Form Analysis: Molde have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches, including three clean sheets. Their attacking output has been prolific, averaging over three goals per game in that stretch. Lillestrom have been inconsistent, with two wins, two losses and a draw in their last five, and they have struggled to keep clean sheets, managing just one in that period.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Molde, who have won five of the last eight meetings. Additionally, Lillestrom are dealing with multiple suspensions and injuries, including key players in defence and midfield, which could disrupt their rhythm. Molde also have absentees, but their squad depth appears better equipped to cope. The weather conditions, with patchy rain and cool temperatures, may favour a physical approach, which could suit Molde's robust style.

Conclusion: Given Molde's superior form, attacking prowess, and historical dominance over Lillestrom, they are expected to come away with a win. Lillestrom's home advantage and occasional attacking threat could make this competitive, but Molde's defensive solidity and clinical finishing should see them through.

Statistical ContextMolde

Combo Double chance : draw or Molde and +1.5 goals

Team Comparison

AI Powered
LillestromMolde
33%Strength67%
29%Attacking Potential71%
47%Defensive Potential53%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
20%H2H Strength80%
21%Goals H2H79%
33%Wins the Game67%

More information

Eliteserien predicted line-ups: Gameweek 258/8Head-to-headLillestrom – MoldeInjuriesLillestromInjuriesMoldeLive scores

Statistical Context

Lillestrom

WLWDL
  • WOct 25, 26H · Brann3-2
  • LOct 22, 26H · Real Sociedad0-6
  • WOct 18, 26A · Sandefjord0-2
  • DOct 15, 26A · Sparta Praha1-1
  • LSep 20, 26A · Viking3-0

Molde

WWLWW
  • WOct 25, 26H · Fredrikstad5-1
  • WOct 18, 26H · Start6-1
  • LSep 19, 26H · Aalesund1-2
  • WSep 13, 26A · Ham-Kam1-5
  • WSep 6, 26H · KFUM Oslo2-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859WLWWL
3Molde24+2143WWDLW
4Rosenborg25+1843WWWDW
5Tromso24+940LDDWL
6Lillestrom24+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FF24-531WLWLD

Head to Head

3
Lillestrom
1
Draws
5
Molde
  • Apr 6, 26Molde – Lillestrom0-1
  • Oct 6, 24Lillestrom – Molde1-2
  • Aug 11, 24Lillestrom – Molde1-2
  • Jul 7, 24Molde – Lillestrom3-0
  • Nov 12, 23Molde – Lillestrom4-0

Season Statistics — 2026

LillestromMolde
Played2424
Goals Scored3557
Goals Conceded3336
Avg Scored1.52.4
Avg Conceded1.41.5
Clean Sheets74

Lillestrom vs Molde — Match Analysis

Molde are clear favourites for this Eliteserien encounter, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and superior recent form with three clean sheets in their last five. The main risk to this outcome is Lillestrom's home advantage and their ability to score goals, which could cause an upset if Molde are complacent.

Molde enter this Eliteserien clash at Åråsen Stadion as clear favourites, backed by a strong recent run and a dominant head-to-head record. The visitors sit fourth in the table with a positive goal difference, while Lillestrom are sixth and have a negative goal difference, underlining the gap in quality.

Form Analysis: Molde have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches, including three clean sheets. Their attacking output has been prolific, averaging over three goals per game in that stretch. Lillestrom have been inconsistent, with two wins, two losses and a draw in their last five, and they have struggled to keep clean sheets, managing just one in that period.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Molde, who have won five of the last eight meetings. Additionally, Lillestrom are dealing with multiple suspensions and injuries, including key players in defence and midfield, which could disrupt their rhythm. Molde also have absentees, but their squad depth appears better equipped to cope. The weather conditions, with patchy rain and cool temperatures, may favour a physical approach, which could suit Molde's robust style.

Conclusion: Given Molde's superior form, attacking prowess, and historical dominance over Lillestrom, they are expected to come away with a win. Lillestrom's home advantage and occasional attacking threat could make this competitive, but Molde's defensive solidity and clinical finishing should see them through.

Win Probabilities: Lillestrom: 28% · Draw: 30% · Molde: 42%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 66% · Under 2.5: 34% · BTTS: 68%

H2H: Lillestrom wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Molde wins: 5

Form (latest first): Lillestrom: WLWDL · Molde: WWLWW

  • T. Lehne Olsen vs E. Breivik: Lillestrom's top scorer will look to exploit any space, but Breivik's defensive work in midfield could limit service.
  • G. Nyheim vs E. Hestad: Nyheim's creativity will be crucial for Lillestrom, but Hestad's experience and positioning could neutralize him.
  • M. Karlsbakk vs F. Gulbrandsen: Karlsbakk's pace will test Molde's defense, while Gulbrandsen's attacking threat may pin back Lillestrom's full-backs.

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Eliteserien

Eliteserien

Norway15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EliteserienNorway
Brann
Nov 113:30
Molde
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
EliteserienNorway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Nov 116:00
Kristiansund BK
11.8554%
X4.0025%
24.7621%
EliteserienNorway
Start
Nov 116:00
Lillestrom
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
EliteserienNorway
KFUM Oslo
Nov 116:00
Ham-Kam
12.0848%
X3.3330%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Valerenga
Nov 118:15
Tromso
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
EliteserienNorway
Kristiansund BK
Nov 715:00
Valerenga
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Rosenborg
Nov 717:00
Start
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
EliteserienNorway
Tromso
Nov 813:30
Bodo/Glimt
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
EliteserienNorway
Lillestrom
Nov 816:00
Aalesund
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Sandefjord
Nov 816:00
Molde
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
EliteserienNorway
Viking
Nov 816:00
KFUM Oslo
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
EliteserienNorway
Ham-Kam
Nov 816:00
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Fredrikstad
Nov 818:15
Brann
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Molde
Nov 2018:00
Bodo/Glimt
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
EliteserienNorway
Tromso
Nov 2113:00
Viking
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%

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