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  1. Home
  2. Eliteserien
  3. Rosenborg vs Sandefjord

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord

Result • Eliteserien·Rosenborg·Sandefjord

Eliteserien
Eliteserien
Oct 10, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
DRAW
Rosenborg

Rosenborg

Home
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.30
X5.00
27.50
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
high Confidence
DRAW
Sandefjord

Sandefjord

Away
Odds
11.30
X5.00
27.50
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
Win Probabilities
69%
Rosenborg
21%
Draw
10%
Sandefjord
Home1.3069%
Draw5.0021%
Away7.5010%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Rosenborg are clear favourites, driven by a five-match winning streak and a strong home record, while Sandefjord's five suspensions severely weaken their squad. The main risk is Sandefjord's defensive resilience, which could frustrate Rosenborg and lead to a tighter scoreline than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Eliteserien fixture between Rosenborg and Sandefjord using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Rosenborg a 69% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and Sandefjord a 10% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 67%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 67%

Match Events

  1. VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedAmin Chiakha
    4'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedRosenborg · Amin Chiakha
  2. Penalty: Amin Chiakha (Penalty)
    5'
    Penalty: Amin Chiakha (Penalty)Rosenborg
  3. Yellow Card: Amin Chiakha
    20'
    Yellow Card: Amin ChiakhaRosenborg
  4. Yellow Card: Ole Selnaes
    44'
    Yellow Card: Ole SelnaesRosenborg
  5. 45'
    Yellow Card: Tobias BorkeeietSandefjord
    Yellow Card: Tobias Borkeeiet
  6. 51'
    Red Card: Tobias BorkeeietSandefjord
    Red Card: Tobias Borkeeiet
  7. Yellow Card: Nemcik Tomas
    56'
    Yellow Card: Nemcik TomasRosenborg
  8. 60'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty cancelledSandefjord · Evangelos Patoulidis
    VAR: VAR · Penalty cancelledEvangelos Patoulidis
  9. Red Card: Ole Selnaes
    61'
    Red Card: Ole SelnaesRosenborg
  10. 62'
    Substitution: Bendik Slotfeldt BerntsenSandefjord · Out: Evangelos Patoulidis
    Substitution: Bendik Slotfeldt BerntsenOut: Evangelos Patoulidis
  11. Substitution: Simen Bolkan NordliOut: Noah Sahsah
    63'
    Substitution: Simen Bolkan NordliRosenborg · Out: Noah Sahsah
  12. Substitution: Aslak Fonn WitryOut: Jonas Svensson
    63'
    Substitution: Aslak Fonn WitryRosenborg · Out: Jonas Svensson
  13. 67'
    Substitution: Vetle Walle EgeliSandefjord · Out: Gustav Højbjerg
    Substitution: Vetle Walle EgeliOut: Gustav Højbjerg
  14. 67'
    Substitution: Fredrik Carson PedersenSandefjord · Out: Martin Hellan
    Substitution: Fredrik Carson PedersenOut: Martin Hellan
  15. 73'
    Goal: Vetle Walle EgeliSandefjord · Assist: Sander Risan Mörk
    Goal: Vetle Walle EgeliAssist: Sander Risan Mörk
  16. Substitution: David DurisOut: Mathias Ullereng Kjolo
    78'
    Substitution: David DurisRosenborg · Out: Mathias Ullereng Kjolo
  17. 80'
    Substitution: Edvard Sundbö PettersenSandefjord · Out: Jakob Maslo Dunsby
    Substitution: Edvard Sundbö PettersenOut: Jakob Maslo Dunsby
  18. 80'
    Substitution: Jakob Vester NielsenSandefjord · Out: Ervin Gigovic
    Substitution: Jakob Vester NielsenOut: Ervin Gigovic
  19. Substitution: Iver FossumOut: Mads Bomholt
    87'
    Substitution: Iver FossumRosenborg · Out: Mads Bomholt
  20. Substitution: Mark MampassiOut: Nemcik Tomas
    87'
    Substitution: Mark MampassiRosenborg · Out: Nemcik Tomas
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Amin Chiakha vs J. Vester: Chiakha's goal-scoring threat against Vester's defensive experience, though Vester is suspended and will not play.
2M. Kjølø vs T. Børkeeiet: The midfield battle between Rosenborg's creative force and Sandefjord's defensive anchor will determine control of the game.
3E. Ceïde vs V. Egeli: Ceïde's pace and trickery on the wing against Egeli's defensive discipline could be a key source of chances for Rosenborg.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Rosenborg

  • Five-match winning streak with an average of 3.6 goals scored per game
  • Strong home record: 7 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in 11 home matches
  • Several key players injured, including J. Bakke, I. Fossum, D. Islamovic, O. Selnaes, and J. Svensson
  • Defensive record not as strong as Sandefjord's (36% vs 64% in defensive comparison)

Sandefjord

  • Three clean sheets in last five matches, demonstrating defensive resilience
  • Two-match winning streak, building momentum
  • Five players suspended, including key defender J. Vester and others, severely limiting options
  • Struggling attack: only 1.4 goals per game on average

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
69%
API-Football
45%
57%
Rosenborg573310

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Rosenborg enter this Eliteserien clash as clear favourites, backed by a commanding position in the standings, a formidable home record, and a five-match winning streak that has swept them up the table. The bookmakers and the statistical model both point to a home victory, and the data strongly supports that view.

Form Analysis: Rosenborg have been relentless, winning five consecutive matches and scoring at an average of 3.6 goals per game over their last five outings. Their home form is particularly imposing: seven wins, two draws, and only two defeats in eleven home league games. Sandefjord, by contrast, have shown resilience with a two-match winning streak and three clean sheets in their last five, but their overall win rate of 29% and negative goal difference highlight the gap in quality. The away side has struggled for goals, averaging just 1.4 per game, and faces a Rosenborg defence that has kept two clean sheets in its last five.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record leans heavily towards Rosenborg, who have won five of the last ten meetings and lost only twice. Rosenborg's attacking prowess, led by Amin Chiakha's five goals, will test a Sandefjord defence that has been solid but will be without key suspended players. Sandefjord's disciplinary issues are a major concern: five players are unavailable due to suspensions, including two red-card recipients, which severely depletes their squad depth. Rosenborg also have injury concerns, with several players out, but their momentum and home advantage should compensate.

Conclusion: All signs point to a Rosenborg win. Their scintillating form, superior attacking output, and strong home record make them overwhelming favourites. Sandefjord's defensive resilience might keep the scoreline respectable, but the odds and the model agree: Rosenborg should take all three points.

Statistical ContextRosenborg

Double chance : Rosenborg or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
RosenborgSandefjord
58%Strength41%
67%Attacking Potential33%
36%Defensive Potential64%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
57%Goals H2H43%
58%Wins the Game41%

More information

Eliteserien predicted line-ups: Gameweek 258/8Head-to-headRosenborg – SandefjordInjuriesRosenborgInjuriesSandefjordLive scores

Statistical Context

Rosenborg

WWWWW
  • WOct 31, 26A · Fredrikstad0-3
  • WOct 24, 26A · Ham-Kam0-3
  • WOct 18, 26A · Sarpsborg 08 FF0-3
  • WSep 19, 26A · Kristiansund BK1-3
  • WSep 12, 26H · Tromso5-3

Sandefjord

WLLWL
  • WOct 31, 26A · Aalesund3-4
  • LOct 25, 26A · Start1-0
  • LOct 18, 26H · Lillestrom0-2
  • WSep 20, 26H · Start3-0
  • LSep 14, 26A · Bodo/Glimt3-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
3Molde24+2143WWDLW
4Rosenborg25+1843WWWDW
5Tromso24+940LDDWL
12Ham-Kam24-1826LLWLL
13Sandefjord24-924LLDWL
14Aalesund24-1324LWLWL

Head to Head

5
Rosenborg
3
Draws
2
Sandefjord
  • Apr 18, 26Sandefjord – Rosenborg0-0
  • Oct 29, 25Rosenborg – Sandefjord1-1
  • Jul 6, 25Sandefjord – Rosenborg2-0
  • Sep 29, 24Sandefjord – Rosenborg0-1
  • Apr 1, 24Rosenborg – Sandefjord2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

RosenborgSandefjord
Played2424
Goals Scored4622
Goals Conceded3131
Avg Scored1.90.9
Avg Conceded1.31.3
Clean Sheets96

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord — Match Analysis

Rosenborg are clear favourites, driven by a five-match winning streak and a strong home record, while Sandefjord's five suspensions severely weaken their squad. The main risk is Sandefjord's defensive resilience, which could frustrate Rosenborg and lead to a tighter scoreline than expected.

Rosenborg enter this Eliteserien clash as clear favourites, backed by a commanding position in the standings, a formidable home record, and a five-match winning streak that has swept them up the table. The bookmakers and the statistical model both point to a home victory, and the data strongly supports that view.

Form Analysis: Rosenborg have been relentless, winning five consecutive matches and scoring at an average of 3.6 goals per game over their last five outings. Their home form is particularly imposing: seven wins, two draws, and only two defeats in eleven home league games. Sandefjord, by contrast, have shown resilience with a two-match winning streak and three clean sheets in their last five, but their overall win rate of 29% and negative goal difference highlight the gap in quality. The away side has struggled for goals, averaging just 1.4 per game, and faces a Rosenborg defence that has kept two clean sheets in its last five.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record leans heavily towards Rosenborg, who have won five of the last ten meetings and lost only twice. Rosenborg's attacking prowess, led by Amin Chiakha's five goals, will test a Sandefjord defence that has been solid but will be without key suspended players. Sandefjord's disciplinary issues are a major concern: five players are unavailable due to suspensions, including two red-card recipients, which severely depletes their squad depth. Rosenborg also have injury concerns, with several players out, but their momentum and home advantage should compensate.

Conclusion: All signs point to a Rosenborg win. Their scintillating form, superior attacking output, and strong home record make them overwhelming favourites. Sandefjord's defensive resilience might keep the scoreline respectable, but the odds and the model agree: Rosenborg should take all three points.

Win Probabilities: Rosenborg: 69% · Draw: 21% · Sandefjord: 10%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (14.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 67% · Under 2.5: 33% · BTTS: 67%

H2H: Rosenborg wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Sandefjord wins: 2

Form (latest first): Rosenborg: WWWWW · Sandefjord: WLLWL

  • Amin Chiakha vs J. Vester: Chiakha's goal-scoring threat against Vester's defensive experience, though Vester is suspended and will not play.
  • M. Kjølø vs T. Børkeeiet: The midfield battle between Rosenborg's creative force and Sandefjord's defensive anchor will determine control of the game.
  • E. Ceïde vs V. Egeli: Ceïde's pace and trickery on the wing against Egeli's defensive discipline could be a key source of chances for Rosenborg.

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Eliteserien

Eliteserien

Norway15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EliteserienNorway
Brann
Nov 113:30
Molde
13.8526%
X3.3330%
22.2744%
EliteserienNorway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Nov 116:00
Kristiansund BK
11.8554%
X4.0025%
24.7621%
EliteserienNorway
Start
Nov 116:00
Lillestrom
14.0025%
X3.2331%
22.2744%
EliteserienNorway
KFUM Oslo
Nov 116:00
Ham-Kam
12.0848%
X3.3330%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Valerenga
Nov 118:15
Tromso
13.5728%
X3.2331%
22.4441%
EliteserienNorway
Kristiansund BK
Nov 715:00
Valerenga
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Rosenborg
Nov 717:00
Start
Early projection
11.4569%
X6.2516%
26.6715%
EliteserienNorway
Tromso
Nov 813:30
Bodo/Glimt
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
EliteserienNorway
Lillestrom
Nov 816:00
Aalesund
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%
EliteserienNorway
Sandefjord
Nov 816:00
Molde
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.1724%
22.0848%
EliteserienNorway
Viking
Nov 816:00
KFUM Oslo
Early projection
11.3375%
X7.1414%
29.0911%
EliteserienNorway
Ham-Kam
Nov 816:00
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Fredrikstad
Nov 818:15
Brann
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
EliteserienNorway
Molde
Nov 2018:00
Bodo/Glimt
Early projection
13.5728%
X4.3523%
22.0449%
EliteserienNorway
Tromso
Nov 2113:00
Viking
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%

Betting Tips

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