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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. FBC Melgar vs ADT

FBC Melgar vs ADT

Result • Liga 1·FBC Melgar·ADT

Liga 1
Liga 1
Sep 6, 2026
23:30
high Confidence
WINNER
FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.38
X4.45
28.30
Stadium
Estadio de la UNSA
high Confidence
ADT

ADT

Away
Odds
11.38
X4.45
28.30
Stadium
Estadio de la UNSA
Win Probabilities
67%
FBC Melgar
24%
Draw
9%
ADT
Home1.3867%
Draw4.4524%
Away8.309%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

FBC Melgar are clear favourites, backed by a strong home record and a dominant head-to-head history against a struggling ADT side. The main risk is Melgar's occasional inconsistency in front of goal, which could keep the match closer than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between FBC Melgar and ADT using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns FBC Melgar a 67% win probability, a 24% chance of a draw, and ADT a 9% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 58%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 58%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Bernardo CuestaAssist: Nelson Cabanillas
    45'
    Goal: Bernardo CuestaFBC Melgar · Assist: Nelson Cabanillas
  2. Goal: Bernardo CuestaAssist: Nicolas Quagliata
    63'
    Goal: Bernardo CuestaFBC Melgar · Assist: Nicolas Quagliata
  3. Substitution: Jhamir D'ArrigoOut: Bernardo Cuesta
    68'
    Substitution: Jhamir D'ArrigoFBC Melgar · Out: Bernardo Cuesta
  4. 73'
    Substitution: Aylton MazzoADT · Out: Juan lucumi
    Substitution: Aylton MazzoOut: Juan lucumi
  5. 73'
    Substitution: Said PeraltaADT · Out: Joao Rojas
    Substitution: Said PeraltaOut: Joao Rojas
  6. 73'
    Substitution: Hernán RengifoADT · Out: Jonathan Bauman
    Substitution: Hernán RengifoOut: Jonathan Bauman
  7. Substitution: Jesús AlcantarOut: Nelson Cabanillas
    75'
    Substitution: Jesús AlcantarFBC Melgar · Out: Nelson Cabanillas
  8. Substitution: Franco ZanelattoOut: Cristian Bordacahar
    75'
    Substitution: Franco ZanelattoFBC Melgar · Out: Cristian Bordacahar
  9. Substitution: Marcos PortilloOut: Nicolas Quagliata
    75'
    Substitution: Marcos PortilloFBC Melgar · Out: Nicolas Quagliata
  10. Goal: Jesús Alcantar
    82'
    Goal: Jesús AlcantarFBC Melgar
  11. 83'
    Substitution: Jhojan GarcilazoADT · Out: Jeremy Canela
    Substitution: Jhojan GarcilazoOut: Jeremy Canela
  12. 83'
    Substitution: Jair ReyesADT · Out: Horacio Benincasa
    Substitution: Jair ReyesOut: Horacio Benincasa
  13. Substitution: Lautaro GuzmánOut: Kevin Minda
    84'
    Substitution: Lautaro GuzmánFBC Melgar · Out: Kevin Minda
  14. Yellow Card: Leonel·Gozalez
    86'
    Yellow Card: Leonel·GozalezFBC Melgar
  15. Yellow Card: Miguel Rondelli
    87'
    Yellow Card: Miguel RondelliFBC Melgar
  16. 89'
    Yellow Card: Hernán RengifoADT
    Yellow Card: Hernán Rengifo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1B. Cuesta vs ADT defence: Cuesta's movement and finishing will be key to breaking down a fragile ADT backline.
2J. Vidales vs ADT midfield: Vidales' creativity and goal threat from midfield could unlock ADT's defensive setup.
3J. Guivin vs Melgar defence: Guivin's pace and dribbling could pose a threat on the counter, testing Melgar's backline.
Strengths · Weaknesses

FBC Melgar

  • Strong home record (7 wins in 12)
  • Superior attacking options (B. Cuesta, J. Vidales)
  • Inconsistent form (LDWLD)
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

ADT

  • J. Guivin provides a goal threat (5 goals)
  • Able to score (averaging 1.2 goals per game)
  • Poor form (LLDDL)
  • Leakiest defence in the league (conceding 2.0 per game)

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
67%
API-Football
50%
59%
FBC Melgar58375

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (59%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

FBC Melgar are clear favourites to beat ADT, a side rooted to the bottom of the table. The home side's superior league position, strong home record, and dominant head-to-head history all point to a comfortable victory.

Form Analysis: Melgar have been inconsistent recently (LDWLD) but have shown they can score, averaging 1.2 goals per game. ADT, on the other hand, are in poor form (LLDDL) and have the worst defensive record in the league, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. Melgar's 46% win rate dwarfs ADT's 21%.

Key Factors: Melgar's home advantage is significant, with 7 wins in 12 home games. They have also won 4 of the last 5 meetings between the sides, with ADT failing to win any. ADT's away form is poor, and they have the second-worst goal difference in the league (-10).

Conclusion: All data points to a home win. Melgar's attacking quality, led by B. Cuesta and J. Vidales, should prove too much for an ADT defence that has been breached regularly. Expect Melgar to control the game and secure a comfortable victory.

Statistical ContextFBC Melgar

Double chance : FBC Melgar or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
FBC MelgarADT
68%Strength31%
60%Attacking Potential40%
65%Defensive Potential35%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
75%H2H Strength25%
69%Goals H2H31%
68%Wins the Game31%
Head-to-head →Injuries · FBC MelgarInjuries · ADTLive scores →

Statistical Context

FBC Melgar

DWLDW
  • DSep 20, 26H · Sport Boys1-1
  • WSep 12, 26A · Cusco0-1
  • LSep 1, 26A · Atletico Grau1-0
  • DAug 23, 26H · Alianza Lima1-1
  • WAug 15, 26A · Club Deportivo Los Chankas0-3

ADT

WLLLD
  • WSep 23, 26H · Cienciano2-1
  • LSep 19, 26A · Alianza Lima2-0
  • LAug 30, 26H · Sport Huancayo1-3
  • LAug 22, 26A · Juan Pablo II College5-1
  • DAug 15, 26H · Alianza Atletico1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
6Juan Pablo II College10+818WWDWW
7FBC Melgar10+718DWWLD
8Sport Boys10+718DWLWW
16UCV Moquegua10-107LLLLW
17ADT10-145WLLLL
18UTC Cajamarca10-132LLLLL

Head to Head

4
FBC Melgar
5
Draws
0
ADT
  • Mar 20, 26ADT – FBC Melgar1-1
  • Aug 24, 25ADT – FBC Melgar2-2
  • Apr 5, 25FBC Melgar – ADT4-0
  • Aug 16, 24ADT – FBC Melgar1-1
  • Mar 9, 24FBC Melgar – ADT3-1

Season Statistics — 2026

FBC MelgarADT
Played2727
Goals Scored4529
Goals Conceded2942
Avg Scored1.71.1
Avg Conceded1.11.6
Clean Sheets86

FBC Melgar vs ADT — Match Analysis

FBC Melgar are clear favourites, backed by a strong home record and a dominant head-to-head history against a struggling ADT side. The main risk is Melgar's occasional inconsistency in front of goal, which could keep the match closer than expected.

FBC Melgar are clear favourites to beat ADT, a side rooted to the bottom of the table. The home side's superior league position, strong home record, and dominant head-to-head history all point to a comfortable victory.

Form Analysis: Melgar have been inconsistent recently (LDWLD) but have shown they can score, averaging 1.2 goals per game. ADT, on the other hand, are in poor form (LLDDL) and have the worst defensive record in the league, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. Melgar's 46% win rate dwarfs ADT's 21%.

Key Factors: Melgar's home advantage is significant, with 7 wins in 12 home games. They have also won 4 of the last 5 meetings between the sides, with ADT failing to win any. ADT's away form is poor, and they have the second-worst goal difference in the league (-10).

Conclusion: All data points to a home win. Melgar's attacking quality, led by B. Cuesta and J. Vidales, should prove too much for an ADT defence that has been breached regularly. Expect Melgar to control the game and secure a comfortable victory.

Win Probabilities: FBC Melgar: 67% · Draw: 24% · ADT: 9%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 56% · Under 2.5: 44% · BTTS: 58%

H2H: FBC Melgar wins: 4 · Draws: 5 · ADT wins: 0

Form (latest first): FBC Melgar: DWLDW · ADT: WLLLD

  • B. Cuesta vs ADT defence: Cuesta's movement and finishing will be key to breaking down a fragile ADT backline.
  • J. Vidales vs ADT midfield: Vidales' creativity and goal threat from midfield could unlock ADT's defensive setup.
  • J. Guivin vs Melgar defence: Guivin's pace and dribbling could pose a threat on the counter, testing Melgar's backline.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Oct 1120:30
Alianza Atletico
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Oct 1618:00
Cusco
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Oct 1620:30
ADT
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Oct 1716:00
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Oct 1720:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Oct 1723:00
Deportivo Garcilaso
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Oct 1801:30
Atletico Grau
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Oct 1818:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Oct 1820:30
Universitario
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Oct 1823:30
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Oct 2318:00
FBC Melgar
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.2516%
21.4171%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Oct 2320:15
ADT
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Oct 2417:45
Alianza Atletico
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Oct 2420:15
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Oct 2500:30
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

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