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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. ADT vs Universitario

ADT vs Universitario

Result • Liga 1·ADT·Universitario

Liga 1
Liga 1
Jul 18, 2026
18:15
low Confidence
ADT

ADT

Home
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-1
Final Score
1-2
Predicted: 1-1
Odds
12.84
X3.20
22.48
Stadium
Estadio Union Tarma
low Confidence
WINNER
Universitario

Universitario

Away
Odds
12.84
X3.20
22.48
Stadium
Estadio Union Tarma
Win Probabilities
27%
ADT
33%
Draw
40%
Universitario
Home2.8427%
Draw3.2033%
Away2.4840%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Universitario are favored at 40% to win away at ADT. The draw is rated 33% and the home win 27%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between ADT and Universitario using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns ADT a 27% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Universitario a 40% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-1. Both teams to score probability: 48%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 48%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1ADT's attack vs Universitario's defense: ADT's home attacking threat will be tested against Universitario's solid backline, which has kept two clean sheets in recent games.
2J. Concha vs ADT midfield: Concha's creativity and assists will be crucial in unlocking ADT's defense, while ADT's midfield must disrupt his supply.
3A. Valera vs ADT defense: Valera's goalscoring form poses a constant danger, and ADT's defenders will need to be alert to contain him.
Strengths · Weaknesses

ADT

  • Attacking threat at home
  • Recent win streak
  • Inconsistent scoring
  • Defensive vulnerabilities

Universitario

  • Strong defensive record
  • Dominant head-to-head history
  • Lower goalscoring average
  • Failed to score in two of last five

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
40%
API-Football
45%
43%
Universitario193943

Moderate agreement on away win (43%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

This Liga 1 match between ADT and Universitario is expected to be a closely contested affair, with the visitors holding a slight edge. The bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model both lean towards Universitario, though the model sees a higher chance of a draw.

Form Analysis: ADT have shown mixed form with a recent win but have failed to score in two of their last five games. Universitario have been more consistent, with two clean sheets in their last five and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Universitario, who have won 6 of the last 9 meetings. Additionally, the API comparison data gives Universitario a significant edge in defense (67% vs 33%) and overall strength (61.8% vs 38.2%). However, ADT have a slight advantage in attack (54% vs 46%) and home advantage, which could keep the match tight.

Conclusion: While Universitario are the favorites based on historical dominance and defensive solidity, ADT's home form and attacking threat suggest they can avoid defeat. A low-scoring draw or a narrow away win appears the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextUniversitario

Double chance : draw or Universitario

Team Comparison

AI Powered
ADTUniversitario
38%Strength61%
54%Attacking Potential46%
33%Defensive Potential67%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
20%H2H Strength80%
27%Goals H2H73%
38%Wins the Game61%

Statistical Context

ADT

LDDLL
  • LAug 22, 26A · Juan Pablo II College5-1
  • DAug 15, 26H · Alianza Atletico1-1
  • DAug 8, 26A · UTC Cajamarca1-1
  • LAug 2, 26H · Deportivo Garcilaso0-1
  • LJul 25, 26A · Sport Boys2-0

Universitario

WWDLW
  • WAug 23, 26H · Club Deportivo Los Chankas3-0
  • WAug 16, 26A · FC Cajamarca2-3
  • DAug 8, 26H · Sporting Cristal1-1
  • LAug 2, 26A · Cienciano2-0
  • WJul 25, 26H · Cusco2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Deportivo Garcilaso6+613WDWWW
2Universitario6+413WWDLW
3Alianza Lima6+412DWDWD
17UTC Cajamarca6-82LLDLD
18ADT6-82LDDLL

Head to Head

2
ADT
1
Draws
6
Universitario
  • Feb 1, 26Universitario – ADT2-0
  • Oct 26, 25ADT – Universitario1-2
  • Jun 21, 25Universitario – ADT5-0
  • Oct 20, 24Universitario – ADT2-1
  • May 3, 24ADT – Universitario2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

ADTUniversitario
Played2322
Goals Scored2632
Goals Conceded3322
Avg Scored1.11.4
Avg Conceded1.41.0
Clean Sheets67

ADT vs Universitario — Match Analysis

Universitario are favored at 40% to win away at ADT. The draw is rated 33% and the home win 27%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

This Liga 1 match between ADT and Universitario is expected to be a closely contested affair, with the visitors holding a slight edge. The bookmaker-implied probabilities and the API-Football model both lean towards Universitario, though the model sees a higher chance of a draw.

Form Analysis: ADT have shown mixed form with a recent win but have failed to score in two of their last five games. Universitario have been more consistent, with two clean sheets in their last five and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on average.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favors Universitario, who have won 6 of the last 9 meetings. Additionally, the API comparison data gives Universitario a significant edge in defense (67% vs 33%) and overall strength (61.8% vs 38.2%). However, ADT have a slight advantage in attack (54% vs 46%) and home advantage, which could keep the match tight.

Conclusion: While Universitario are the favorites based on historical dominance and defensive solidity, ADT's home form and attacking threat suggest they can avoid defeat. A low-scoring draw or a narrow away win appears the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: ADT: 27% · Draw: 33% · Universitario: 40%

Predicted Score: 1-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 48%

H2H: ADT wins: 2 · Draws: 1 · Universitario wins: 6

Form (latest first): ADT: LDDLL · Universitario: WWDLW

  • ADT's attack vs Universitario's defense: ADT's home attacking threat will be tested against Universitario's solid backline, which has kept two clean sheets in recent games.
  • J. Concha vs ADT midfield: Concha's creativity and assists will be crucial in unlocking ADT's defense, while ADT's midfield must disrupt his supply.
  • A. Valera vs ADT defense: Valera's goalscoring form poses a constant danger, and ADT's defenders will need to be alert to contain him.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Aug 2820:00
FC Cajamarca
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Aug 2918:00
Juan Pablo II College
11.9252%
X4.0025%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2920:30
Universitario
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Aug 3000:30
Deportivo Garcilaso
11.4768%
X4.3523%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Aug 3016:00
Alianza Atletico
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Aug 3018:15
Sport Huancayo
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 3020:30
Sporting Cristal
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Aug 3100:00
Cusco
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Aug 3120:00
FBC Melgar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 418:00
Cienciano
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 420:15
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 520:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 523:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Sep 601:30
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 616:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%