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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atletico

Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atletico

Result • Liga 1·Comerciantes Unidos·Alianza Atletico

Liga 1
Liga 1
Apr 22, 2026
18:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Comerciantes Unidos

Comerciantes Unidos

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.05
X3.00
23.70
Stadium
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
high Confidence
Alianza Atletico

Alianza Atletico

Away
Odds
12.05
X3.00
23.70
Stadium
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Win Probabilities
43%
Comerciantes Unidos
32%
Draw
25%
Alianza Atletico
Home2.0543%
Draw3.0032%
Away3.7025%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Comerciantes Unidos riding an unbeaten wave, while Alianza Atletico battles a losing tide. Ancient wisdom reveals a close contest favoring the home side's momentum.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Comerciantes Unidos and Alianza Atletico using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Comerciantes Unidos a 43% win probability, a 32% chance of a draw, and Alianza Atletico a 25% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1N/A
2N/A
3N/A
Strengths · Weaknesses

Comerciantes Unidos

  • Unbeaten streak in recent form
  • Higher average goals scored (1.6 per game)
  • Inconsistent defense with 15 goals conceded in last 5 games
  • Low win rate in recent matches

Alianza Atletico

  • Balanced head-to-head record with 5 wins in last 5 meetings
  • N/A for other strengths based on provided data
  • 3-game losing streak
  • Poor defensive record with 1.4 goals conceded per game and 0 clean sheets

Combined Analysis

High Agreement
Betora AI
43%
API-Football
35%
39%
Comerciantes Unidos393428

Strong consensus for home win (39%). Both models highly confident.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Based on the data, Comerciantes Unidos is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win, aligning closely with market probabilities and supported by form and H2H advantages.

Form Analysis: Comerciantes Unidos is on a 5-game unbeaten streak (DDDWL), scoring 15 goals and conceding 15 in the last 5 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, and 2 clean sheets. Alianza Atletico is on a 3-game losing streak (LDDWL), scoring 9 goals and conceding 9 in the last 5 matches, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, and 0 clean sheets.

Key Factors: 1) Comerciantes Unidos has a strong recent form with an unbeaten streak and better goal-scoring average. 2) Alianza Atletico is struggling with a 3-game losing streak and poor defensive record. 3) Head-to-head history shows Comerciantes Unidos with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings, indicating a psychological edge.

Conclusion: The data supports Comerciantes Unidos as the favorite, with probabilities adjusted slightly from market values due to form and H2H evidence, but staying within allowed deviations.

Statistical ContextComerciantes Unidos

Double chance : Comerciantes Unidos or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Atletico
51%Strength48%
53%Attacking Potential47%
47%Defensive Potential53%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
38%Goals H2H63%
51%Wins the Game48%

Statistical Context

Comerciantes Unidos

LWLDD
  • LAug 14, 26A · Atletico Grau1-0
  • WAug 7, 26H · Cusco3-1
  • LJul 31, 26A · Club Deportivo Los Chankas3-2
  • DJul 26, 26H · Alianza Lima2-2
  • DJul 18, 26A · UCV Moquegua2-2

Alianza Atletico

DWLWL
  • DAug 15, 26A · ADT1-1
  • WAug 6, 26H · Cienciano1-0
  • LAug 2, 26A · Alianza Lima3-1
  • WJul 24, 26H · Club Deportivo Los Chankas3-1
  • LJul 18, 26A · Cusco4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Atletico Grau507WDLLW
10Alianza Atletico5-27DWLWL
11Club Deportivo Los Chankas5-37LDWLW
12Comerciantes Unidos505LWLDD
13Juan Pablo II College5-25LDLWD

Head to Head

4
Comerciantes Unidos
1
Draws
5
Alianza Atletico
  • Oct 18, 25Comerciantes Unidos – Alianza Atletico1-0
  • Jun 12, 25Alianza Atletico – Comerciantes Unidos3-0
  • Sep 23, 24Alianza Atletico – Comerciantes Unidos1-0
  • Apr 23, 24Comerciantes Unidos – Alianza Atletico0-0
  • Dec 11, 20Alianza Atletico – Comerciantes Unidos1-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Atletico
Played2221
Goals Scored2726
Goals Conceded2926
Avg Scored1.21.2
Avg Conceded1.31.2
Clean Sheets56

Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atletico — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Comerciantes Unidos riding an unbeaten wave, while Alianza Atletico battles a losing tide. Ancient wisdom reveals a close contest favoring the home side's momentum.

Based on the data, Comerciantes Unidos is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win, aligning closely with market probabilities and supported by form and H2H advantages.

Form Analysis: Comerciantes Unidos is on a 5-game unbeaten streak (DDDWL), scoring 15 goals and conceding 15 in the last 5 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, and 2 clean sheets. Alianza Atletico is on a 3-game losing streak (LDDWL), scoring 9 goals and conceding 9 in the last 5 matches, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, and 0 clean sheets.

Key Factors: 1) Comerciantes Unidos has a strong recent form with an unbeaten streak and better goal-scoring average. 2) Alianza Atletico is struggling with a 3-game losing streak and poor defensive record. 3) Head-to-head history shows Comerciantes Unidos with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings, indicating a psychological edge.

Conclusion: The data supports Comerciantes Unidos as the favorite, with probabilities adjusted slightly from market values due to form and H2H evidence, but staying within allowed deviations.

Win Probabilities: Comerciantes Unidos: 43% · Draw: 32% · Alianza Atletico: 25%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 45% · Under 2.5: 55% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Comerciantes Unidos wins: 4 · Draws: 1 · Alianza Atletico wins: 5

Form (latest first): Comerciantes Unidos: LWLDD · Alianza Atletico: DWLWL

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Aug 2117:00
Atletico Grau
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Aug 2120:00
Sporting Cristal
12.5040%
X3.4529%
23.2331%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Aug 2216:00
UCV Moquegua
11.4967%
X4.3523%
210.0010%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2218:15
Comerciantes Unidos
12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Aug 2220:30
ADT
12.1746%
X3.2331%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso
Aug 2300:00
Cusco
13.0333%
X3.1332%
22.8635%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 2318:00
Cienciano
12.2245%
X3.1332%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Aug 2320:30
Alianza Lima
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Aug 2323:30
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
11.3375%
X5.5618%
214.297%
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Aug 2820:00
FC Cajamarca
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Aug 2918:00
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 2920:00
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
12.1347%
X4.1724%
23.4529%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2920:30
Universitario
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.0020%
21.6959%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Aug 3000:30
Deportivo Garcilaso
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Aug 3016:00
Alianza Atletico
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%