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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Cusco vs Alianza Atletico

Cusco vs Alianza Atletico

Result • Liga 1·Cusco·Alianza Atletico

Liga 1
Liga 1
Jul 18, 2026
23:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Cusco

Cusco

Home
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
4-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.51
X4.00
26.25
Stadium
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
high Confidence
Alianza Atletico

Alianza Atletico

Away
Odds
11.51
X4.00
26.25
Stadium
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Win Probabilities
57%
Cusco
29%
Draw
14%
Alianza Atletico
Home1.5157%
Draw4.0029%
Away6.2514%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Cusco are predicted to win with 59% probability, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (5 wins in 8 meetings) and strong home form. The main risk is Alianza Atletico's potent attack, which could cause an upset if Cusco's defense underperforms.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Cusco and Alianza Atletico using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cusco a 57% win probability, a 29% chance of a draw, and Alianza Atletico a 14% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 60%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 60%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Callejo vs Alianza Atletico defense: Cusco's top scorer faces a vulnerable backline, likely to be decisive.
2J. Manzaneda vs Alianza Atletico midfield: Manzaneda's creativity will test the away midfield's discipline.
3Cusco defense vs Alianza Atletico attack: The home side's solid defense (58%) must contain a potent attack (60%).
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cusco

  • Strong home record (5W-2D-1L)
  • Dominant head-to-head history
  • Negative goal difference (-3)
  • Inconsistent away form

Alianza Atletico

  • Strong attack (60% rating)
  • Positive goal difference (+2)
  • Poor away form
  • Weak defense (42% rating)

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
57%
API-Football
45%
51%
Cusco513712

Moderate agreement on home win (51%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Cusco are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 clash against Alianza Atletico, backed by strong home form and a dominant head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Cusco have been solid at home with 5 wins in 8 matches, while their recent form (WWLDD) shows consistency. Alianza Atletico have been inconsistent (LDWLW) and struggle away from home.

Key Factors: Cusco have won 5 of the last 8 meetings, including a perfect 5-0-2 H2H record. They also boast a strong home advantage (rating 0.63) and a higher league position (6th vs 8th). Alianza Atletico's attack is rated higher (60%) but their defense is weaker (42%), which could be exploited.

Conclusion: With odds and statistical models aligning, Cusco are expected to secure a narrow victory, though Alianza Atletico's attacking threat means a clean sheet is unlikely.

Statistical ContextCusco

Double chance : Cusco or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
CuscoAlianza Atletico
58%Strength41%
40%Attacking Potential60%
58%Defensive Potential42%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
67%Goals H2H33%
58%Wins the Game41%

Statistical Context

Cusco

LWLWL
  • LAug 23, 26A · Deportivo Garcilaso4-1
  • WAug 14, 26H · Juan Pablo II College2-0
  • LAug 7, 26A · Comerciantes Unidos3-1
  • WAug 1, 26H · UTC Cajamarca4-1
  • LJul 25, 26A · Universitario2-1

Alianza Atletico

WDWLW
  • WAug 21, 26H · Sporting Cristal3-1
  • DAug 15, 26A · ADT1-1
  • WAug 6, 26H · Cienciano1-0
  • LAug 2, 26A · Alianza Lima3-1
  • WJul 24, 26H · Club Deportivo Los Chankas3-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Atletico Grau6+210WWDLL
9Alianza Atletico6010WDWLW
10Cusco6+29LWLWL
11Comerciantes Unidos7+18LWLWL

Head to Head

5
Cusco
1
Draws
2
Alianza Atletico
  • Feb 1, 26Alianza Atletico – Cusco1-0
  • Aug 17, 25Cusco – Alianza Atletico1-0
  • Mar 28, 25Alianza Atletico – Cusco2-4
  • Aug 15, 24Alianza Atletico – Cusco1-1
  • Mar 7, 24Cusco – Alianza Atletico2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

CuscoAlianza Atletico
Played2322
Goals Scored3427
Goals Conceded3527
Avg Scored1.51.2
Avg Conceded1.51.2
Clean Sheets46

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

CuscoAlianza Atletico
Over 2.5 Goals7/10—
Both Teams Scored6/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Cusco vs Alianza Atletico — Match Analysis

Cusco are predicted to win with 59% probability, backed by a dominant head-to-head record (5 wins in 8 meetings) and strong home form. The main risk is Alianza Atletico's potent attack, which could cause an upset if Cusco's defense underperforms.

Cusco are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 clash against Alianza Atletico, backed by strong home form and a dominant head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Cusco have been solid at home with 5 wins in 8 matches, while their recent form (WWLDD) shows consistency. Alianza Atletico have been inconsistent (LDWLW) and struggle away from home.

Key Factors: Cusco have won 5 of the last 8 meetings, including a perfect 5-0-2 H2H record. They also boast a strong home advantage (rating 0.63) and a higher league position (6th vs 8th). Alianza Atletico's attack is rated higher (60%) but their defense is weaker (42%), which could be exploited.

Conclusion: With odds and statistical models aligning, Cusco are expected to secure a narrow victory, though Alianza Atletico's attacking threat means a clean sheet is unlikely.

Win Probabilities: Cusco: 57% · Draw: 29% · Alianza Atletico: 14%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 60%

H2H: Cusco wins: 5 · Draws: 1 · Alianza Atletico wins: 2

Form (latest first): Cusco: LWLWL · Alianza Atletico: WDWLW

  • F. Callejo vs Alianza Atletico defense: Cusco's top scorer faces a vulnerable backline, likely to be decisive.
  • J. Manzaneda vs Alianza Atletico midfield: Manzaneda's creativity will test the away midfield's discipline.
  • Cusco defense vs Alianza Atletico attack: The home side's solid defense (58%) must contain a potent attack (60%).

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Aug 3016:00
Alianza Atletico
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Aug 3018:15
Sport Huancayo
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 3020:30
Sporting Cristal
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Aug 3100:00
Cusco
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Aug 3120:00
FBC Melgar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 418:00
Cienciano
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 420:15
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 520:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 523:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Sep 601:30
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 616:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sep 618:30
Atletico Grau
Early projection
11.6461%
X5.2619%
25.0020%
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Sep 620:00
Alianza Lima
Early projection
13.7027%
X4.3523%
22.0050%
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Sep 623:30
ADT
Early projection
11.2282%
X8.3312%
216.676%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Sep 1120:00
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
14.7621%
X5.2619%
21.6760%