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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau

Prediction • Liga 1·Alianza Lima·Atletico Grau

Liga 1
Liga 1
Oct 18, 2026
01:30
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

Home
VS
VS
Stadium
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Early projection · Odds pending
PREDICTED DRAW
Atletico Grau

Atletico Grau

Away
Stadium
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Win Probabilities
35%
Alianza Lima
27%
Draw
38%
Atletico Grau
Home2.8635%
Draw3.7027%
Away2.6338%

Oracle's Vision

Early projection
“

Atletico Grau are favored at 38% to win away at Alianza Lima. The draw is rated 27% and the home win 35%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

See our exact score, over/under 2.5 and BTTS call for Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau.

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Momentum

Recent Matches

Team Momentum

Last 5
2.0Alianza Lima
/10
6.0Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
FormLatest first
WLDLD
Win Rate20%
Atletico Grau
FormLatest first
LWLWW
Win Rate60%
Momentum AdvantageAtletico Grau+4.0

Score Predictions

Most Likely Score

Confidence Breakdown

Weather Impact

Alianza Lima
Home

Alianza Lima

Form
DLDLW
Latest first
2
Pos
37
Pts
+24
Goal Diff

Season Performance(2026 · 26 matches)

Clean Sheets1038%
Goal Diff+24
  • Strong home record: 10 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in 13 home league games
  • Dominant head-to-head record: 6 wins in last 9 meetings
  • Prolific striker E. Castillo with 11 goals and 5 assists

Key Players

E. Castillo
E. Castillo
7.2
Goals
11
Assists
5
R. Garcés
R. Garcés
7.3
Goals
5
Assists
0
L. Advíncula
L. Advíncula
6.6
Goals
0
Assists
1

Head to Head

Last 9
Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
6Wins
2
Draws
Atletico Grau
1Wins
Atletico Grau
67%22%11%

Recent Matches

Last 9
Apr262026
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
0-1
Win
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
Oct22025
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
2-1
Win
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
May102025
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
1-1
Draw
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
Sep182024
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
1-0
Loss
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
Apr152024
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
2-0
Win
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
Jun242023
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
2-0
Win
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
Mar262023
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
1-2
Win
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
Jul102022
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
1-2
Win
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
Feb52022
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
1-1
Draw
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau

Past Predictions

100%1/1 correct

Atletico Grau 0 - 1 Alianza Lima

Apr 26, 2026

15% / 32% / 53%

Alianza Lima4-1-3-2vs4-2-3-1Atletico GrauPredicted Lineup · high

Tactical Matchup: Tactical matchup will test both managers' adaptability.

See the full predicted line-ups ↓

No Reported Injuries

Both teams have a clean bill of health

Liga 1

League Statistics

Liga 1 • Standings & Top Performers

Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Garcilaso
10712186+1222
2
Universitario
Universitario
106221916+320
3
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
106132010+1019
4
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico
106132017+319
5
Sport Huancayo
Sport Huancayo
106131613+319
6
Juan Pablo II College
Juan Pablo II College
105322012+818
7
FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar
10532169+718
8
Sport Boys
Sport Boys
10532147+718
9
Cusco
Cusco
106041914+518
10
Alianza Lima
Alianza LimaHome
104421410+416
11
Atletico Grau
Atletico GrauAway
105141413+116
12
FC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
103161824-610
13
Comerciantes Unidos
Comerciantes Unidos
102351718-19
14
Cienciano
Cienciano
82151015-57
15
UCV Moquegua
UCV Moquegua
10145717-107
16
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
92161023-137
17
UTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
100281124-132
18
ADT
ADT
9027520-152
Champions League
Relegation
HomeAway

Oracle's Vision

Early projection

Draw

Odds pending

Win Probabilities

35%Alianza Lima
27%Draw
38%Atletico Grau

Key Markets

Predicted ScoreBTTSOver 2.5
KickoffSun, Oct 18 · 01:30
StadiumEstadio Alejandro Villanueva
League StatsLiga 1
Line-ups →Head-to-head →Injuries · Alianza LimaInjuries · Atletico GrauLive scores →

Statistical Context

Alianza Lima

WLDLD
  • WSep 19, 26H · ADT2-0
  • LSep 13, 26H · Universitario1-2
  • DSep 6, 26A · Juan Pablo II College1-1
  • LAug 30, 26H · Deportivo Garcilaso0-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · FBC Melgar1-1

Atletico Grau

LWLWW
  • LSep 19, 26A · Sporting Cristal3-1
  • WSep 13, 26H · Alianza Atletico3-1
  • LSep 6, 26A · Deportivo Garcilaso4-2
  • WSep 1, 26H · FBC Melgar1-0
  • WAug 21, 26A · FC Cajamarca1-3

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Cusco10+518WLWWL
10Alianza Lima10+416WLDLD
11Atletico Grau10+116LWLWW
12FC Cajamarca10-610LWLWL

Head to Head

6
Alianza Lima
2
Draws
1
Atletico Grau
  • Apr 26, 26Atletico Grau – Alianza Lima0-1
  • Oct 2, 25Alianza Lima – Atletico Grau2-1
  • May 10, 25Atletico Grau – Alianza Lima1-1
  • Sep 18, 24Atletico Grau – Alianza Lima1-0
  • Apr 15, 24Alianza Lima – Atletico Grau2-0

Season Statistics — 2026

Alianza LimaAtletico Grau
Played2627
Goals Scored4226
Goals Conceded1831
Avg Scored1.61.0
Avg Conceded0.71.1
Clean Sheets109

Predicted line-ups: Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau

Predicted XI

Alianza Lima

4-1-3-2Formation· Coach: P. Bengoechea

Atletico Grau

4-2-3-1Formation· Coach: Á. Comizzo

  1. 1P. Álvarez
  1. 25G. Alfaro
  2. 16J. Ataupillco
  3. 6E. Rodas
  4. 4D. Rodríguez
  1. 7D. Barreto
  2. 21E. Correa
  1. 5R. Guarderas
  2. 15P. Lavandeira
  3. 13F. Oncoy
  1. 77M. da Luz
  1. 11A. Cantero
  2. 8E. Castillo
  1. 18A. Burlamaqui
  2. 15J. Castillo
  3. 7F. Gaibor
  1. 29J. Archimbaud
  1. 17L. Advíncula
  2. 3M. Antoni
  3. 4G. Chávez
  4. 6R. Garcés
  1. 12Á. de la Cruz

Bench

  • 1A. Duarte
  • 32J. García
  • 13M. Huamán
  • 22C. Neira
  • 5E. Pavez
  • 20J. Vélez
  • 25G. Gentile

Bench

  • 33J. Calderón
  • 3I. Tapia
  • 27R. Tapia
  • 8C. Vásquez
  • 20A. Vásquez
  • 96L. Benítes
  • 10P. de la Cruz

Predicted line-ups based on recent matches and absences; official line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau — Expert Prediction & Analysis

Atletico Grau are favored at 38% to win away at Alianza Lima. The draw is rated 27% and the home win 35%, so the numbers side with the visitors.

Alianza Lima are the narrow favourites for this Liga 1 encounter at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, with the statistical model pointing to a home win or draw as the most probable outcome. The model …

Win Probabilities: Alianza Lima: 35% · Draw: 27% · Atletico Grau: 38%

H2H: Alianza Lima wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Atletico Grau wins: 1

Form (latest first): Alianza Lima: WLDLD · Atletico Grau: LWLWW

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Sep 3020:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
12.7037%
X3.7027%
22.7836%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Oct 818:00
Cienciano
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Oct 820:30
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.4171%
X6.6715%
27.1414%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso
Oct 1001:00
Sport Huancayo
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Oct 1018:00
FC Cajamarca
Early projection
13.4529%
X4.1724%
22.1347%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Oct 1020:30
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.7027%
22.7037%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Oct 1100:00
FBC Melgar
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Oct 1118:00
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Oct 1120:30
Alianza Atletico
Early projection
12.5639%
X3.7027%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Oct 1123:30
Alianza Lima
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.5522%
24.1724%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Oct 1618:00
Cusco
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Oct 1620:30
ADT
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Oct 1716:00
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Oct 1720:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Oct 1723:00
Deportivo Garcilaso
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
View Full AnalysisGet Premium Access

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