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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco

Result • Liga 1·Comerciantes Unidos·Cusco

Liga 1
Liga 1
Aug 7, 2026
20:15
low Confidence
WINNER
Comerciantes Unidos

Comerciantes Unidos

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.60
X3.25
22.65
Stadium
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
low Confidence
Cusco

Cusco

Away
Odds
12.60
X3.25
22.65
Stadium
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Win Probabilities
29%
Comerciantes Unidos
33%
Draw
38%
Cusco
Home2.6029%
Draw3.2533%
Away2.6538%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Cusco are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is Comerciantes Unidos' solid home record, which could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Comerciantes Unidos and Cusco using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Comerciantes Unidos a 29% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Cusco a 38% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%

Match Events

  1. 26'
    Goal: F. CallejoCusco · Assist: L. Colitto
    Goal: F. CallejoAssist: L. Colitto
  2. Yellow Card: F. Alcedo
    33'
    Yellow Card: F. AlcedoComerciantes Unidos
  3. 49'
    Substitution: N. SilvaCusco · Out: L. Colitto
    Substitution: N. SilvaOut: L. Colitto
  4. Substitution: W. AyoviOut: M. P. Carpio Ferro
    61'
    Substitution: W. AyoviComerciantes Unidos · Out: M. P. Carpio Ferro
  5. 68'
    Yellow Card: A. FuentesCusco
    Yellow Card: A. Fuentes
  6. 72'
    Substitution: Herrera JoelCusco · Out: Miguel Silveira
    Substitution: Herrera JoelOut: Miguel Silveira
  7. Substitution: T. SalinasOut: J. Herrera
    72'
    Substitution: T. SalinasComerciantes Unidos · Out: J. Herrera
  8. Substitution: J. OlivaresOut: A. Rodriguez
    72'
    Substitution: J. OlivaresComerciantes Unidos · Out: A. Rodriguez
  9. Goal: F. AlcedoAssist: W. Ayovi
    73'
    Goal: F. AlcedoComerciantes Unidos · Assist: W. Ayovi
  10. Yellow Card: J. Rodriguez
    76'
    Yellow Card: J. RodriguezComerciantes Unidos
  11. 78'
    Substitution: J. TevezCusco · Out: F. Callejo
    Substitution: J. TevezOut: F. Callejo
  12. 78'
    Substitution: D. SotoCusco · Out: C. Diez
    Substitution: D. SotoOut: C. Diez
  13. 84'
    Yellow Card: I. ColmanCusco
    Yellow Card: I. Colman
  14. Goal: M. SenAssist: R. Vilca
    86'
    Goal: M. SenComerciantes Unidos · Assist: R. Vilca
  15. Yellow Card: J. Rodriguez
    89'
    Yellow Card: J. RodriguezComerciantes Unidos
  16. Red Card: J. Rodriguez
    89'
    Red Card: J. RodriguezComerciantes Unidos
  17. Substitution: P. GuzmanOut: R. Vilca
    90'
    Substitution: P. GuzmanComerciantes Unidos · Out: R. Vilca
  18. Substitution: E. M. Perez AzambuyaOut: M. Sen
    90'
    Substitution: E. M. Perez AzambuyaComerciantes Unidos · Out: M. Sen
  19. 90+5'
    Substitution: C. GamarraCusco · Out: N. Silva
    Substitution: C. GamarraOut: N. Silva
  20. Goal: A. CossioAssist: J. Olivares
    90+8'
    Goal: A. CossioComerciantes Unidos · Assist: J. Olivares
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

2 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Comerciantes Unidos 3-1 Cusco
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✗ missPredicted 5.3 – 3.1Real 1 – 1Comerciantes Unidos more corners✗ miss
Total corners—Predicted 8.4Real 2chances only—
Yellow cards✓ hitPredicted 4.2Real 5Over 3.5✓ hit
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 0-1chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 6.7 – 3.4Real 4 – 2Comerciantes Unidos more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 19.9 – 10.1Real 11 – 5chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Sen vs C. Gamarra: The home side's top scorer will test the away defence, and his movement could be key to breaking down Cusco's backline.
2F. Callejo vs A. Cossio: The visitors' leading marksman will look to exploit any defensive lapses, and his duel with the home centre-back could decide the match.
3J. Manzaneda vs J. Parodi: The creative midfielder's ability to unlock defences will be crucial against a home midfield that may sit deep.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Comerciantes Unidos

  • Solid home record with 4 wins in 10 games
  • Top scorer M. Sen provides a goal threat
  • Poor recent form with only one win in five
  • Negative goal difference

Cusco

  • Excellent recent form with four wins in five
  • Strong attacking output, led by F. Callejo
  • No clean sheets in the last five matches
  • Concede an average of 2.0 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
38%
API-Football
45%
42%
Cusco203942

Moderate agreement on away win (42%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Cusco enter this contest as the clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a much stronger league position. The market gives the visitors a narrow but definite edge, and the statistical model reinforces this with a predicted away win. Comerciantes Unidos, struggling near the bottom of the table, will need a significant upturn to overcome a side that has won four of its last five matches.

Form Analysis: Cusco are in excellent form, with four wins in their last five outings (WLWWW), while Comerciantes Unidos have managed just one win in that span (LDDLD). The visitors also boast a superior goal difference and have scored more goals overall. This contrast in momentum is a decisive factor.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favours Cusco, who have won five of the last six meetings. Cusco's attacking threat, led by F. Callejo with nine goals, outshines the home side's top scorer M. Sen with six. Additionally, Cusco sit second in the standings with a positive goal difference, while the hosts languish in 14th with a negative one.

Conclusion: All data points to an away victory. Cusco's superior form, historical dominance, and higher league standing give them a clear edge. While Comerciantes Unidos have a decent home record, the gulf in quality and momentum makes an upset unlikely. Expect Cusco to control the game and secure a valuable win.

Statistical ContextCusco

Double chance : draw or Cusco

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Comerciantes UnidosCusco
32%Strength68%
33%Attacking Potential67%
38%Defensive Potential62%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
31%Goals H2H69%
32%Wins the Game68%

More information

Peru Liga 1 predicted line-ups: Gameweek 179/9Head-to-headComerciantes Unidos – CuscoInjuriesComerciantes UnidosInjuriesCuscoLive scores

Statistical Context

Comerciantes Unidos

DWLDL
  • DOct 30, 26A · FBC Melgar1-1
  • WOct 25, 26H · Cienciano3-1
  • LOct 18, 26A · Sporting Cristal4-2
  • DOct 10, 26H · Juan Pablo II College1-1
  • LSep 18, 26A · Alianza Atletico2-1

Cusco

LWWLL
  • LNov 1, 26H · Sport Boys0-1
  • WOct 29, 26A · Club Deportivo Los Chankas0-1
  • WOct 24, 26H · Sporting Cristal3-1
  • LOct 16, 26A · Sport Huancayo2-1
  • LOct 11, 26H · Alianza Lima1-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Sport Boys14+624WWLLD
10Cusco15+524LWWLL
11Atletico Grau15-618LLDLD
12Cienciano14-217WLWWD
13Comerciantes Unidos14-114DWLDL
14Club Deportivo Los Chankas15-1613DLLWD

Head to Head

1
Comerciantes Unidos
1
Draws
5
Cusco
  • Feb 22, 26Cusco – Comerciantes Unidos3-1
  • Oct 12, 25Cusco – Comerciantes Unidos1-1
  • May 24, 25Comerciantes Unidos – Cusco1-2
  • Sep 14, 24Cusco – Comerciantes Unidos2-1
  • Apr 8, 24Comerciantes Unidos – Cusco0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Comerciantes UnidosCusco
Played3031
Goals Scored4146
Goals Conceded4443
Avg Scored1.41.5
Avg Conceded1.51.4
Clean Sheets56

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Comerciantes UnidosCusco
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco — Match Analysis

Cusco are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is Comerciantes Unidos' solid home record, which could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Cusco enter this contest as the clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a much stronger league position. The market gives the visitors a narrow but definite edge, and the statistical model reinforces this with a predicted away win. Comerciantes Unidos, struggling near the bottom of the table, will need a significant upturn to overcome a side that has won four of its last five matches.

Form Analysis: Cusco are in excellent form, with four wins in their last five outings (WLWWW), while Comerciantes Unidos have managed just one win in that span (LDDLD). The visitors also boast a superior goal difference and have scored more goals overall. This contrast in momentum is a decisive factor.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favours Cusco, who have won five of the last six meetings. Cusco's attacking threat, led by F. Callejo with nine goals, outshines the home side's top scorer M. Sen with six. Additionally, Cusco sit second in the standings with a positive goal difference, while the hosts languish in 14th with a negative one.

Conclusion: All data points to an away victory. Cusco's superior form, historical dominance, and higher league standing give them a clear edge. While Comerciantes Unidos have a decent home record, the gulf in quality and momentum makes an upset unlikely. Expect Cusco to control the game and secure a valuable win.

Win Probabilities: Comerciantes Unidos: 29% · Draw: 33% · Cusco: 38%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Comerciantes Unidos wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Cusco wins: 5

Form (latest first): Comerciantes Unidos: DWLDL · Cusco: LWWLL

  • M. Sen vs C. Gamarra: The home side's top scorer will test the away defence, and his movement could be key to breaking down Cusco's backline.
  • F. Callejo vs A. Cossio: The visitors' leading marksman will look to exploit any defensive lapses, and his duel with the home centre-back could decide the match.
  • J. Manzaneda vs J. Parodi: The creative midfielder's ability to unlock defences will be crucial against a home midfield that may sit deep.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Nov 216:00
FBC Melgar
12.4441%
X3.5728%
23.2331%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Nov 218:15
Deportivo Garcilaso
13.7027%
X3.0333%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Nov 220:30
FC Cajamarca
11.3276%
X5.8817%
214.297%
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Nov 320:00
ADT
11.9651%
X3.2331%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Nov 401:00
Cienciano
11.6760%
X4.3523%
25.8817%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Nov 620:00
Cusco
12.4441%
X3.0333%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Nov 718:00
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.6715%
21.3972%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Nov 720:30
Alianza Atletico
Early projection
14.0025%
X4.5522%
21.8953%
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Nov 723:00
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
12.4441%
X3.8526%
23.0333%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Nov 801:30
Sport Huancayo
Early projection
14.5522%
X5.0020%
21.7258%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Nov 818:00
Alianza Lima
Early projection
14.1724%
X4.7621%
21.8255%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Nov 820:30
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.2381%
X8.3312%
214.297%
Liga 1Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso
Nov 823:00
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.6913%
210.0010%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Nov 901:30
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.6913%
210.0010%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Nov 1421:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%

Betting Tips

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