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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco

Result • Liga 1·Comerciantes Unidos·Cusco

Liga 1
Liga 1
Aug 7, 2026
20:15
low Confidence
WINNER
Comerciantes Unidos

Comerciantes Unidos

Home
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-2
Final Score
3-1
Predicted: 1-2
Odds
12.60
X3.25
22.65
Stadium
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
low Confidence
Cusco

Cusco

Away
Odds
12.60
X3.25
22.65
Stadium
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Win Probabilities
29%
Comerciantes Unidos
33%
Draw
38%
Cusco
Home2.6029%
Draw3.2533%
Away2.6538%

Oracle's Vision

low Confidence
“

Cusco are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is Comerciantes Unidos' solid home record, which could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Comerciantes Unidos and Cusco using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Comerciantes Unidos a 29% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Cusco a 38% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as low confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1M. Sen vs C. Gamarra: The home side's top scorer will test the away defence, and his movement could be key to breaking down Cusco's backline.
2F. Callejo vs A. Cossio: The visitors' leading marksman will look to exploit any defensive lapses, and his duel with the home centre-back could decide the match.
3J. Manzaneda vs J. Parodi: The creative midfielder's ability to unlock defences will be crucial against a home midfield that may sit deep.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Comerciantes Unidos

  • Solid home record with 4 wins in 10 games
  • Top scorer M. Sen provides a goal threat
  • Poor recent form with only one win in five
  • Negative goal difference

Cusco

  • Excellent recent form with four wins in five
  • Strong attacking output, led by F. Callejo
  • No clean sheets in the last five matches
  • Concede an average of 2.0 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
38%
API-Football
45%
42%
Cusco203942

Moderate agreement on away win (42%).

AI AnalysisLow Confidence

Cusco enter this contest as the clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a much stronger league position. The market gives the visitors a narrow but definite edge, and the statistical model reinforces this with a predicted away win. Comerciantes Unidos, struggling near the bottom of the table, will need a significant upturn to overcome a side that has won four of its last five matches.

Form Analysis: Cusco are in excellent form, with four wins in their last five outings (WLWWW), while Comerciantes Unidos have managed just one win in that span (LDDLD). The visitors also boast a superior goal difference and have scored more goals overall. This contrast in momentum is a decisive factor.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favours Cusco, who have won five of the last six meetings. Cusco's attacking threat, led by F. Callejo with nine goals, outshines the home side's top scorer M. Sen with six. Additionally, Cusco sit second in the standings with a positive goal difference, while the hosts languish in 14th with a negative one.

Conclusion: All data points to an away victory. Cusco's superior form, historical dominance, and higher league standing give them a clear edge. While Comerciantes Unidos have a decent home record, the gulf in quality and momentum makes an upset unlikely. Expect Cusco to control the game and secure a valuable win.

Statistical ContextCusco

Double chance : draw or Cusco

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Comerciantes UnidosCusco
32%Strength68%
33%Attacking Potential67%
38%Defensive Potential62%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
7%H2H Strength93%
31%Goals H2H69%
32%Wins the Game68%

Statistical Context

Comerciantes Unidos

WLLDD
  • WAug 22, 26A · UTC Cajamarca1-3
  • LAug 14, 26A · Atletico Grau1-0
  • LJul 31, 26A · Club Deportivo Los Chankas3-2
  • DJul 26, 26H · Alianza Lima2-2
  • DJul 18, 26A · UCV Moquegua2-2

Cusco

LWWLW
  • LAug 23, 26A · Deportivo Garcilaso4-1
  • WAug 14, 26H · Juan Pablo II College2-0
  • WAug 1, 26H · UTC Cajamarca4-1
  • LJul 25, 26A · Universitario2-1
  • WJul 18, 26H · Alianza Atletico4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
8Alianza Atletico6010WDWLW
9Cusco6+29LWLWL
10Comerciantes Unidos6+28WLWLD
11Juan Pablo II College6+28WLDLW

Head to Head

1
Comerciantes Unidos
1
Draws
5
Cusco
  • Feb 22, 26Cusco – Comerciantes Unidos3-1
  • Oct 12, 25Cusco – Comerciantes Unidos1-1
  • May 24, 25Comerciantes Unidos – Cusco1-2
  • Sep 14, 24Cusco – Comerciantes Unidos2-1
  • Apr 8, 24Comerciantes Unidos – Cusco0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Comerciantes UnidosCusco
Played2223
Goals Scored2734
Goals Conceded2935
Avg Scored1.21.5
Avg Conceded1.31.5
Clean Sheets54

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Comerciantes UnidosCusco
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco — Match Analysis

Cusco are clear favourites, backed by superior form and a dominant head-to-head record. The main risk is Comerciantes Unidos' solid home record, which could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Cusco enter this contest as the clear favourites, backed by superior form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a much stronger league position. The market gives the visitors a narrow but definite edge, and the statistical model reinforces this with a predicted away win. Comerciantes Unidos, struggling near the bottom of the table, will need a significant upturn to overcome a side that has won four of its last five matches.

Form Analysis: Cusco are in excellent form, with four wins in their last five outings (WLWWW), while Comerciantes Unidos have managed just one win in that span (LDDLD). The visitors also boast a superior goal difference and have scored more goals overall. This contrast in momentum is a decisive factor.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history heavily favours Cusco, who have won five of the last six meetings. Cusco's attacking threat, led by F. Callejo with nine goals, outshines the home side's top scorer M. Sen with six. Additionally, Cusco sit second in the standings with a positive goal difference, while the hosts languish in 14th with a negative one.

Conclusion: All data points to an away victory. Cusco's superior form, historical dominance, and higher league standing give them a clear edge. While Comerciantes Unidos have a decent home record, the gulf in quality and momentum makes an upset unlikely. Expect Cusco to control the game and secure a valuable win.

Win Probabilities: Comerciantes Unidos: 29% · Draw: 33% · Cusco: 38%

Predicted Score: 1-2 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Comerciantes Unidos wins: 1 · Draws: 1 · Cusco wins: 5

Form (latest first): Comerciantes Unidos: WLLDD · Cusco: LWWLW

  • M. Sen vs C. Gamarra: The home side's top scorer will test the away defence, and his movement could be key to breaking down Cusco's backline.
  • F. Callejo vs A. Cossio: The visitors' leading marksman will look to exploit any defensive lapses, and his duel with the home centre-back could decide the match.
  • J. Manzaneda vs J. Parodi: The creative midfielder's ability to unlock defences will be crucial against a home midfield that may sit deep.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Aug 2820:00
FC Cajamarca
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Aug 2918:00
Juan Pablo II College
11.9252%
X4.0025%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2920:30
Universitario
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Aug 3000:30
Deportivo Garcilaso
11.4768%
X4.3523%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Aug 3016:00
Alianza Atletico
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Aug 3018:15
Sport Huancayo
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 3020:30
Sporting Cristal
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Aug 3100:00
Cusco
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Aug 3120:00
FBC Melgar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 418:00
Cienciano
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 420:15
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 520:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 523:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Sep 601:30
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 616:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%