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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Result • Liga 1·Alianza Lima·Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Liga 1
Liga 1
May 24, 2026
01:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima

Home
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
3-0
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.36
X4.50
28.00
Stadium
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
high Confidence
Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Away
Odds
11.36
X4.50
28.00
Stadium
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Win Probabilities
63%
Alianza Lima
26%
Draw
11%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Home1.3663%
Draw4.5026%
Away8.0011%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

The Oracle sees Alianza Lima's fortress standing firm, their defense unbreachable. Los Chankas' attack falters, and the home side claims victory.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Alianza Lima and Club Deportivo Los Chankas using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Alianza Lima a 63% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Club Deportivo Los Chankas a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 35%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 35%

Match Events

  1. Goal: J. VelezAssist: E. Pavez
    13'
    Goal: J. VelezAlianza Lima · Assist: E. Pavez
  2. Goal: E. CastilloAssist: M. Huaman
    28'
    Goal: E. CastilloAlianza Lima · Assist: M. Huaman
  3. 46'
    Substitution: B. GuevaraClub Deportivo Los Chankas · Out: A. Quintana
    Substitution: B. GuevaraOut: A. Quintana
  4. Substitution: A. CanteroOut: F. Gaibor
    62'
    Substitution: A. CanteroAlianza Lima · Out: F. Gaibor
  5. 63'
    Yellow Card: M. TorresClub Deportivo Los Chankas
    Yellow Card: M. Torres
  6. 70'
    Substitution: K. BarriosClub Deportivo Los Chankas · Out: D. Gonzales
    Substitution: K. BarriosOut: D. Gonzales
  7. 71'
    Substitution: J. QuinteroClub Deportivo Los Chankas · Out: O. Takeuchi
    Substitution: J. QuinteroOut: O. Takeuchi
  8. Substitution: F. GirottiOut: Paolo Guerrero
    76'
    Substitution: F. GirottiAlianza Lima · Out: Paolo Guerrero
  9. 82'
    Substitution: A. AyarzaClub Deportivo Los Chankas · Out: A. Quiroz
    Substitution: A. AyarzaOut: A. Quiroz
  10. Goal: R. GarcesAssist: J. Velez
    82'
    Goal: R. GarcesAlianza Lima · Assist: J. Velez
  11. 86'
    Yellow Card: C. VelardeClub Deportivo Los Chankas
    Yellow Card: C. Velarde
  12. Substitution: P. CariOut: J. Velez
    87'
    Substitution: P. CariAlianza Lima · Out: J. Velez
  13. Substitution: J. ArchimbaudOut: J. Castillo
    87'
    Substitution: J. ArchimbaudAlianza Lima · Out: J. Castillo
  14. Substitution: G. GentileOut: E. Castillo
    87'
    Substitution: G. GentileAlianza Lima · Out: E. Castillo
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1E. Castillo vs Los Chankas defense: Alianza's top scorer will test the away backline's organization.
2F. Torres vs Alianza Lima defense: Los Chankas' main threat must overcome a defense with 3 clean sheets in 5 games.
3Midfield control: Alianza's 4-1-3-2 vs Los Chankas' 5-3-2; the battle for possession will be crucial.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Alianza Lima

  • Excellent defense with 3 clean sheets in last 5
  • Strong attack averaging 2.6 goals per game
  • Potential complacency due to strong form
  • Reliance on top scorer E. Castillo for goals

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

  • Decent away form with occasional wins
  • Top scorer F. Torres provides attacking threat
  • Inconsistent form with 2 losses in last 5
  • Low scoring average of 0.6 goals per game

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
63%
API-Football
50%
57%
Alianza Lima56386

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (57%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Alianza Lima is the clear favorite to win against Club Deportivo Los Chankas, with bookmaker-implied probabilities heavily favoring the home side at 68%. The API-Football model also predicts an Alianza Lima victory, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Alianza Lima is on a 5-match unbeaten streak (WDWWW), averaging 2.6 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game, with 3 clean sheets. In contrast, Los Chankas have lost 2 of their last 5 (WDLLW), scoring just 0.6 goals per game and failing to score in 2 matches.

Key Factors: Head-to-head record heavily favors Alianza Lima, with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 meetings. Alianza Lima also leads the league standings with a +19 goal difference, while Los Chankas sit 2nd with +7. Home advantage at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva further strengthens Alianza's position.

Conclusion: Given Alianza Lima's dominant form, superior H2H record, and strong home advantage, a home win is the most probable outcome. The data consistently points to a comfortable victory for the league leaders.

Statistical ContextAlianza Lima

Winner : Alianza Lima

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Alianza LimaClub Deportivo Los Chankas
79%Strength20%
81%Attacking Potential19%
75%Defensive Potential25%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
93%H2H Strength7%
88%Goals H2H13%
79%Wins the Game20%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Alianza LimaInjuries · Club Deportivo Los ChankasLive scores →

Statistical Context

Alianza Lima

WLDLD
  • WSep 19, 26H · ADT2-0
  • LSep 13, 26H · Universitario1-2
  • DSep 6, 26A · Juan Pablo II College1-1
  • LAug 30, 26H · Deportivo Garcilaso0-1
  • DAug 23, 26A · FBC Melgar1-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

DLLLL
  • DSep 30, 26A · Cienciano1-1
  • LSep 12, 26H · FC Cajamarca1-2
  • LSep 6, 26A · Sporting Cristal5-0
  • LAug 29, 26H · Juan Pablo II College3-4
  • LAug 23, 26A · Universitario3-0

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
9Cusco10+518WLWWL
10Alianza Lima10+416WLDLD
11Atletico Grau10+116LWLWW
12FC Cajamarca10-610LWLWL
13Comerciantes Unidos10-19LLDLW
14Cienciano10-68DLWLL
15Club Deportivo Los Chankas10-138DLLLL
16UCV Moquegua10-107LLLLW

Head to Head

4
Alianza Lima
1
Draws
0
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
  • Nov 5, 25Club Deportivo Los Chankas – Alianza Lima1-2
  • Apr 19, 25Alianza Lima – Club Deportivo Los Chankas1-0
  • Aug 24, 24Club Deportivo Los Chankas – Alianza Lima0-1
  • Mar 29, 24Alianza Lima – Club Deportivo Los Chankas3-0
  • Jun 11, 21Club Deportivo Los Chankas – Alianza Lima2-2

Season Statistics — 2026

Alianza LimaClub Deportivo Los Chankas
Played2726
Goals Scored4435
Goals Conceded1844
Avg Scored1.61.4
Avg Conceded0.71.7
Clean Sheets116

Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees Alianza Lima's fortress standing firm, their defense unbreachable. Los Chankas' attack falters, and the home side claims victory.

Alianza Lima is the clear favorite to win against Club Deportivo Los Chankas, with bookmaker-implied probabilities heavily favoring the home side at 68%. The API-Football model also predicts an Alianza Lima victory, reinforcing this outcome.

Form Analysis: Alianza Lima is on a 5-match unbeaten streak (WDWWW), averaging 2.6 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game, with 3 clean sheets. In contrast, Los Chankas have lost 2 of their last 5 (WDLLW), scoring just 0.6 goals per game and failing to score in 2 matches.

Key Factors: Head-to-head record heavily favors Alianza Lima, with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 meetings. Alianza Lima also leads the league standings with a +19 goal difference, while Los Chankas sit 2nd with +7. Home advantage at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva further strengthens Alianza's position.

Conclusion: Given Alianza Lima's dominant form, superior H2H record, and strong home advantage, a home win is the most probable outcome. The data consistently points to a comfortable victory for the league leaders.

Win Probabilities: Alianza Lima: 63% · Draw: 26% · Club Deportivo Los Chankas: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (20.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 35%

H2H: Alianza Lima wins: 4 · Draws: 1 · Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins: 0

Form (latest first): Alianza Lima: WLDLD · Club Deportivo Los Chankas: DLLLL

  • E. Castillo vs Los Chankas defense: Alianza's top scorer will test the away backline's organization.
  • F. Torres vs Alianza Lima defense: Los Chankas' main threat must overcome a defense with 3 clean sheets in 5 games.
  • Midfield control: Alianza's 4-1-3-2 vs Los Chankas' 5-3-2; the battle for possession will be crucial.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Oct 1120:30
Alianza Atletico
12.3343%
X3.4529%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Oct 1618:00
Cusco
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Oct 1620:30
ADT
Early projection
11.7557%
X5.0020%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Oct 1716:00
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.4967%
X5.8817%
26.2516%
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Oct 1720:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Oct 1723:00
Deportivo Garcilaso
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Oct 1801:30
Atletico Grau
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.7027%
22.6338%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Oct 1818:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8554%
X4.7621%
24.0025%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Oct 1820:30
Universitario
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.8526%
22.4441%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Oct 1823:30
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.5664%
X5.5618%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Oct 2318:00
FBC Melgar
Early projection
17.6913%
X6.2516%
21.4171%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Oct 2320:15
ADT
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Oct 2417:45
Alianza Atletico
Early projection
12.1746%
X4.1724%
23.3330%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Oct 2420:15
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
12.6338%
X3.7027%
22.8635%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Oct 2500:30
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
12.2245%
X4.1724%
23.2331%

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