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Today's Tips
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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos

Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos

Result • Liga 1·Sporting Cristal·Comerciantes Unidos

Liga 1
Liga 1
Oct 18, 2026
16:00
high Confidence
WINNER
Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal

Home
Final Score
4-2
Predicted: 2-0
Final Score
4-2
Predicted: 2-0
Odds
11.30
X5.00
28.50
Stadium
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
high Confidence
Comerciantes Unidos

Comerciantes Unidos

Away
Odds
11.30
X5.00
28.50
Stadium
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Win Probabilities
71%
Sporting Cristal
21%
Draw
8%
Comerciantes Unidos
Home1.3071%
Draw5.0021%
Away8.508%

Oracle's Vision

High Confidence
“

Sporting Cristal are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a strong home record. The main risk is complacency against a Comerciantes Unidos side that has shown some attacking threat through M. Sen.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Sporting Cristal and Comerciantes Unidos using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sporting Cristal a 71% win probability, a 21% chance of a draw, and Comerciantes Unidos a 8% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-0. Both teams to score probability: 58%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 58%

Match Events

  1. Goal: Luis Iberico
    35'
    Goal: Luis IbericoSporting Cristal
  2. 39'
    Substitution: Agustín RodríguezComerciantes Unidos · Out: Alexis Arias
    Substitution: Agustín RodríguezOut: Alexis Arias
  3. 45'
    Substitution: Josuee HerreraComerciantes Unidos · Out: Yimy Gamero
    Substitution: Josuee HerreraOut: Yimy Gamero
  4. Yellow Card: Cristiano
    51'
    Yellow Card: CristianoSporting Cristal
  5. 56'
    Goal: Josuee HerreraComerciantes Unidos · Assist: Rodrigo Vilca
    Goal: Josuee HerreraAssist: Rodrigo Vilca
  6. Substitution: Hernán BarcosOut: Agustín Álvarez
    63'
    Substitution: Hernán BarcosSporting Cristal · Out: Agustín Álvarez
  7. Substitution: Martín TávaraOut: Michael Hoyos
    63'
    Substitution: Martín TávaraSporting Cristal · Out: Michael Hoyos
  8. Goal: Luis IbericoAssist: Santiago González
    64'
    Goal: Luis IbericoSporting Cristal · Assist: Santiago González
  9. Goal: Hernán BarcosAssist: Martín Távara
    71'
    Goal: Hernán BarcosSporting Cristal · Assist: Martín Távara
  10. Substitution: Luis AbramOut: Maxloren Castro
    73'
    Substitution: Luis AbramSporting Cristal · Out: Maxloren Castro
  11. 78'
    Substitution: Thiago Alessandro Salinas MelgarComerciantes Unidos · Out: Rodrigo Vilca
    Substitution: Thiago Alessandro Salinas MelgarOut: Rodrigo Vilca
  12. 82'
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedComerciantes Unidos · Josuee Herrera
    VAR: VAR · Penalty confirmedJosuee Herrera
  13. 84'
    Penalty: Matías Eric Sen (Penalty)Comerciantes Unidos
    Penalty: Matías Eric Sen (Penalty)
  14. 84'
    Substitution: Maximiliano PérezComerciantes Unidos · Out: Jean Olivares
    Substitution: Maximiliano PérezOut: Jean Olivares
  15. 84'
    Substitution: Óscar PintoComerciantes Unidos · Out: Jose Antonio·Parodi
    Substitution: Óscar PintoOut: Jose Antonio·Parodi
  16. Goal: Hernán BarcosAssist: Yoshimar Yotún
    90+4'
    Goal: Hernán BarcosSporting Cristal · Assist: Yoshimar Yotún
  17. Substitution: Juan GonzalezOut: Luis Iberico
    90+6'
    Substitution: Juan GonzalezSporting Cristal · Out: Luis Iberico
  18. Substitution: GabrielOut: Leandro Sosa
    90+6'
    Substitution: GabrielSporting Cristal · Out: Leandro Sosa
Share Prediction

Match stats · predicted vs real

1 / 3stats picks landed in this match
Sporting Cristal 4-2 Comerciantes Unidos
FT
MarketPredictedRealOur pickResult
Corners per team✗ missPredicted 7.9 – 1.8Real 5 – 5Sporting Cristal more corners✗ miss
Total corners—Predicted 9.8Real 10chances only—
Yellow cards✗ missPredicted 3.8Real 1Over 2.5✗ miss
Half-time score—Predicted 0-0Real 1-0chances only—
Shots on target✓ hitPredicted 5.8 – 3.5Real 6 – 5Sporting Cristal more shots on target✓ hit
Total shots—Predicted 17.1 – 12.1Real 18 – 14chances only—

Our pre-match numbers for this match, next to the final statistics.

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Felipe Vizeu vs F. Alcedo: Vizeu's goal-scoring ability against Alcedo's defensive resilience could determine the scoreline.
2L. Iberico vs A. Cossio: Iberico's creativity and goal threat will test Cossio's defensive discipline.
3Gustavo Cazonatti vs Y. Gamero: Cazonatti's midfield control against Gamero's work rate will shape the game's tempo.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Sporting Cristal

  • Five consecutive wins with 2.4 goals scored per game
  • Three clean sheets in last five matches
  • Occasional defensive lapses despite clean sheets
  • Reliance on top scorers for goals

Comerciantes Unidos

  • M. Sen is a consistent goal threat with 6 goals
  • Capable of scoring away from home
  • Winless in last five with four losses
  • Concede 1.8 goals per game on average

Combined Analysis

Low Agreement
Betora AI
71%
API-Football
50%
61%
Sporting Cristal60364

Models disagree significantly. Suggests home win (61%) but proceed with caution.

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Sporting Cristal are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 encounter against Comerciantes Unidos, based on their superior form, league position, and head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Sporting Cristal are in exceptional form with five consecutive wins, scoring 2.4 goals per game and keeping three clean sheets in their last five. Comerciantes Unidos, by contrast, have struggled with a winless streak, conceding 1.8 goals per game and failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five.

Key Factors: The home side sits second in the league with 22 points, while the visitors are 15th with just 10 points. Sporting Cristal have a strong home record (9W-2D-2L) and have dominated this fixture historically, winning six of the last ten meetings. The weather is neutral, and no significant injuries are reported for either side.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory for Sporting Cristal.

Statistical ContextSporting Cristal

Double chance : Sporting Cristal or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos
76%Strength24%
65%Attacking Potential35%
75%Defensive Potential25%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
80%H2H Strength20%
83%Goals H2H17%
76%Wins the Game24%

More information

Peru Liga 1 predicted line-ups: Gameweek 179/9Head-to-headSporting Cristal – Comerciantes UnidosInjuriesSporting CristalInjuriesComerciantes UnidosLive scores

Statistical Context

Sporting Cristal

DWWLW
  • DNov 7, 26A · ADT1-1
  • WNov 2, 26H · FC Cajamarca5-0
  • WOct 29, 26H · Alianza Lima3-2
  • LOct 24, 26A · Cusco3-1
  • WOct 11, 26A · UTC Cajamarca0-1

Comerciantes Unidos

DDDWD
  • DNov 8, 26A · Deportivo Garcilaso0-0
  • DNov 3, 26H · ADT2-2
  • DOct 30, 26A · FBC Melgar1-1
  • WOct 25, 26H · Cienciano3-1
  • DOct 10, 26H · Juan Pablo II College1-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Sport Huancayo16+934WWLWW
2Sporting Cristal16+1732DWWLW
3Universitario16+1132DDWWW
12Cienciano16-417LLWLW
13Comerciantes Unidos16-116DDDWL
14FC Cajamarca16-1414WLLLL

Head to Head

6
Sporting Cristal
2
Draws
2
Comerciantes Unidos
  • Apr 25, 26Comerciantes Unidos – Sporting Cristal1-0
  • Nov 1, 25Comerciantes Unidos – Sporting Cristal1-4
  • Jun 29, 25Sporting Cristal – Comerciantes Unidos2-0
  • Nov 3, 24Sporting Cristal – Comerciantes Unidos3-0
  • May 25, 24Comerciantes Unidos – Sporting Cristal0-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos
Played3232
Goals Scored6244
Goals Conceded4747
Avg Scored1.91.4
Avg Conceded1.51.5
Clean Sheets75

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos — Match Analysis

Sporting Cristal are clear favourites, backed by a five-match winning streak and a strong home record. The main risk is complacency against a Comerciantes Unidos side that has shown some attacking threat through M. Sen.

Sporting Cristal are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 encounter against Comerciantes Unidos, based on their superior form, league position, and head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Sporting Cristal are in exceptional form with five consecutive wins, scoring 2.4 goals per game and keeping three clean sheets in their last five. Comerciantes Unidos, by contrast, have struggled with a winless streak, conceding 1.8 goals per game and failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five.

Key Factors: The home side sits second in the league with 22 points, while the visitors are 15th with just 10 points. Sporting Cristal have a strong home record (9W-2D-2L) and have dominated this fixture historically, winning six of the last ten meetings. The weather is neutral, and no significant injuries are reported for either side.

Conclusion: All data points to a comfortable home victory for Sporting Cristal.

Win Probabilities: Sporting Cristal: 71% · Draw: 21% · Comerciantes Unidos: 8%

Predicted Score: 2-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 57% · Under 2.5: 43% · BTTS: 58%

H2H: Sporting Cristal wins: 6 · Draws: 2 · Comerciantes Unidos wins: 2

Form (latest first): Sporting Cristal: DWWLW · Comerciantes Unidos: DDDWD

  • Felipe Vizeu vs F. Alcedo: Vizeu's goal-scoring ability against Alcedo's defensive resilience could determine the scoreline.
  • L. Iberico vs A. Cossio: Iberico's creativity and goal threat will test Cossio's defensive discipline.
  • Gustavo Cazonatti vs Y. Gamero: Cazonatti's midfield control against Gamero's work rate will shape the game's tempo.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru9 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Nov 1421:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
12.5040%
X3.0333%
23.7027%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Nov 1421:00
Cienciano
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Nov 1421:00
FC Cajamarca
11.2381%
X7.1414%
220.005%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Nov 1421:00
Universitario
12.4441%
X3.3330%
23.4529%
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Nov 1421:00
Sport Boys
12.5040%
X3.2331%
23.4529%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Nov 1421:00
FBC Melgar
14.1724%
X3.2331%
22.2245%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Nov 1421:00
ADT
11.5664%
X4.1724%
28.3312%
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Nov 1421:00
Deportivo Garcilaso
13.8526%
X3.0333%
22.4441%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Nov 1421:00
Atletico Grau
12.1746%
X3.4529%
24.0025%

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