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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Universitario vs Cusco

Universitario vs Cusco

Result • Liga 1·Universitario·Cusco

Liga 1
Liga 1
Jul 25, 2026
01:30
high Confidence
WINNER
Universitario

Universitario

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.41
X4.33
27.60
Stadium
Estadio Monumental
high Confidence
Cusco

Cusco

Away
Odds
11.41
X4.33
27.60
Stadium
Estadio Monumental
Win Probabilities
61%
Universitario
27%
Draw
12%
Cusco
Home1.4161%
Draw4.3327%
Away7.6012%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Universitario are strong favourites with a 66% win probability, backed by a dominant home record (7-0-2) and 5 wins in the last 9 H2H meetings. The main risk is Cusco's potent attack led by F. Callejo, who has 8 goals this season.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Universitario and Cusco using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Universitario a 61% win probability, a 27% chance of a draw, and Cusco a 12% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1A. Valera vs Cusco defence: Universitario's top scorer faces a defence that has conceded 25 goals in recent matches.
2J. Concha vs J. Manzaneda: Both are creative midfielders; Concha's assists (5) vs Manzaneda's (4) could decide the midfield battle.
3F. Callejo vs Universitario defence: Cusco's main threat against a home defence rated 57%.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Universitario

  • Strong home record (7W-0D-2L)
  • Defensive solidity (57% defense rating)
  • Attack rated only 33% in comparison
  • Recent form only 44% in comparison

Cusco

  • Strong attack (67% rating)
  • Top scorer F. Callejo (8 goals)
  • Defensive frailty (43% defense rating)
  • Poor head-to-head record

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
61%
API-Football
45%
53%
Universitario533611

Moderate agreement on home win (53%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Universitario are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 clash against Cusco, backed by strong home form and a dominant head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Both teams have identical win rates (50%) from their last five matches, but Universitario's home record is formidable: 7 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in 9 home games. Cusco's away form is not provided, but their overall goals against (25) suggest defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Universitario with 5 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss in the last 9 meetings. Additionally, Universitario's defensive strength (57% in team comparison) and home advantage (rating 0.78) are decisive. Cusco's attack is rated higher (67%), but they face a solid home defence.

Conclusion: With odds and model both pointing to a home win, and supported by H2H dominance and home fortress, Universitario are expected to secure three points.

Statistical ContextUniversitario

Double chance : Universitario or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
UniversitarioCusco
53%Strength46%
33%Attacking Potential67%
57%Defensive Potential43%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
62%H2H Strength38%
50%Goals H2H50%
53%Wins the Game46%

Statistical Context

Universitario

WWDLW
  • WAug 23, 26H · Club Deportivo Los Chankas3-0
  • WAug 16, 26A · FC Cajamarca2-3
  • DAug 8, 26H · Sporting Cristal1-1
  • LAug 2, 26A · Cienciano2-0
  • WJul 18, 26A · ADT1-2

Cusco

LWLWW
  • LAug 23, 26A · Deportivo Garcilaso4-1
  • WAug 14, 26H · Juan Pablo II College2-0
  • LAug 7, 26A · Comerciantes Unidos3-1
  • WAug 1, 26H · UTC Cajamarca4-1
  • WJul 18, 26H · Alianza Atletico4-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Deportivo Garcilaso6+613WDWWW
2Universitario6+413WWDLW
3Alianza Lima6+412DWDWD
4Sport Boys6+611WDDWW
5FBC Melgar6+411DWLDW
6Sporting Cristal6+310LWDWL
7Atletico Grau6+210WWDLL
8Alianza Atletico6010WDWLW
9Cusco6+29LWLWL
10Comerciantes Unidos6+28WLWLD

Head to Head

5
Universitario
3
Draws
1
Cusco
  • Feb 8, 26Cusco – Universitario1-1
  • Sep 27, 25Universitario – Cusco3-2
  • May 3, 25Cusco – Universitario2-0
  • Aug 20, 24Cusco – Universitario1-1
  • Mar 13, 24Universitario – Cusco1-0

Season Statistics — 2026

UniversitarioCusco
Played2223
Goals Scored3234
Goals Conceded2235
Avg Scored1.41.5
Avg Conceded1.01.5
Clean Sheets74

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

UniversitarioCusco
Over 2.5 Goals—7/10
Both Teams Scored—6/10
Clean Sheets—3/10

Universitario vs Cusco — Match Analysis

Universitario are strong favourites with a 66% win probability, backed by a dominant home record (7-0-2) and 5 wins in the last 9 H2H meetings. The main risk is Cusco's potent attack led by F. Callejo, who has 8 goals this season.

Universitario are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 clash against Cusco, backed by strong home form and a dominant head-to-head record.

Form Analysis: Both teams have identical win rates (50%) from their last five matches, but Universitario's home record is formidable: 7 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in 9 home games. Cusco's away form is not provided, but their overall goals against (25) suggest defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors: The head-to-head record heavily favours Universitario with 5 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss in the last 9 meetings. Additionally, Universitario's defensive strength (57% in team comparison) and home advantage (rating 0.78) are decisive. Cusco's attack is rated higher (67%), but they face a solid home defence.

Conclusion: With odds and model both pointing to a home win, and supported by H2H dominance and home fortress, Universitario are expected to secure three points.

Win Probabilities: Universitario: 61% · Draw: 27% · Cusco: 12%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Universitario wins: 5 · Draws: 3 · Cusco wins: 1

Form (latest first): Universitario: WWDLW · Cusco: LWLWW

  • A. Valera vs Cusco defence: Universitario's top scorer faces a defence that has conceded 25 goals in recent matches.
  • J. Concha vs J. Manzaneda: Both are creative midfielders; Concha's assists (5) vs Manzaneda's (4) could decide the midfield battle.
  • F. Callejo vs Universitario defence: Cusco's main threat against a home defence rated 57%.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Aug 2820:00
FC Cajamarca
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Aug 2918:00
Juan Pablo II College
11.9252%
X4.0025%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2920:30
Universitario
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Aug 3000:30
Deportivo Garcilaso
11.4768%
X4.3523%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Aug 3016:00
Alianza Atletico
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Aug 3018:15
Sport Huancayo
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 3020:30
Sporting Cristal
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Aug 3100:00
Cusco
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Aug 3120:00
FBC Melgar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 418:00
Cienciano
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 420:15
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 520:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 523:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Sep 601:30
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 616:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%