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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca

Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca

Result • Liga 1·Deportivo Garcilaso·FC Cajamarca

Liga 1
Liga 1
Jul 27, 2026
00:00
medium Confidence
WINNER
Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

Home
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
2-1
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.70
X3.60
24.85
Stadium
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
medium Confidence
FC Cajamarca

FC Cajamarca

Away
Odds
11.70
X3.60
24.85
Stadium
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Win Probabilities
52%
Deportivo Garcilaso
31%
Draw
17%
FC Cajamarca
Home1.7052%
Draw3.6031%
Away4.8517%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

Deportivo Garcilaso are strong favourites to win, with a 55% probability backed by a formidable home record (6W-2D-1L) and a superior defensive rating (67%). The main risk is their recent loss and occasional scoring droughts, but FC Cajamarca's poor defence and lack of clean sheets make an upset unlikely.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Deportivo Garcilaso and FC Cajamarca using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Deportivo Garcilaso a 52% win probability, a 31% chance of a draw, and FC Cajamarca a 17% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 50%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 50%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1L. da Silva vs FC Cajamarca defence: The home side's top scorer will test a vulnerable backline that has kept no clean sheets recently.
2H. Barcos vs Deportivo Garcilaso defence: The away team's main threat must overcome a defence rated 67% in the API comparison.
3C. Olivares vs B. Palacios: Both creative midfielders will look to influence the game from the flanks.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Deportivo Garcilaso

  • Strong home record (6W-2D-1L)
  • Solid defence (67% rating)
  • Recent loss in last match
  • Failed to score in 2 of last 5 games

FC Cajamarca

  • Top scorer H. Barcos (7 goals)
  • Slightly better league position (14th)
  • Poor defensive record (33% rating)
  • No clean sheets in last 5 matches

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
52%
API-Football
45%
49%
Deportivo Garcilaso493814

Moderate agreement on home win (49%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Deportivo Garcilaso are the clear favourites to win this Liga 1 encounter against FC Cajamarca, backed by strong home form and a superior defensive record.

Form Analysis: Deportivo Garcilaso have a 39% win rate overall and average 1.8 goals scored per game, while FC Cajamarca have only a 22% win rate and concede 1.6 goals per game. The home side also boast a formidable home record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss in 9 matches at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Key Factors: The home team's defence is a standout, rated at 67% in the API comparison, while the away side's defence is rated just 33%. Additionally, FC Cajamarca have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 matches, and Deportivo Garcilaso have the attacking firepower of top scorer L. da Silva (6 goals, 3 assists).

Conclusion: With a strong home advantage, superior defensive stats, and a clear edge in recent form, Deportivo Garcilaso are well-positioned to secure three points. FC Cajamarca's struggles on the road and defensive frailties make an upset unlikely.

Statistical ContextDeportivo Garcilaso

Double chance : Deportivo Garcilaso or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca
56%Strength43%
47%Attacking Potential53%
67%Defensive Potential33%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
50%H2H Strength50%
50%Goals H2H50%
56%Wins the Game43%

Statistical Context

Deportivo Garcilaso

WWDWW
  • WAug 30, 26A · Alianza Lima0-1
  • WAug 23, 26H · Cusco4-1
  • DAug 16, 26A · Cienciano0-0
  • WAug 9, 26H · UCV Moquegua2-0
  • WAug 2, 26A · ADT0-1

FC Cajamarca

WLLWL
  • WAug 28, 26A · Comerciantes Unidos2-3
  • LAug 21, 26H · Atletico Grau1-3
  • LAug 16, 26H · Universitario2-3
  • WAug 9, 26A · FBC Melgar2-4
  • LAug 1, 26H · Sport Huancayo0-2

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Deportivo Garcilaso7+716WWDWW
2Universitario7+616WWWDL
12Comerciantes Unidos7+18LWLWL
13FC Cajamarca7-37WLLWL
14UCV Moquegua7-37LWDLD

Head to Head

0
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
Draws
0
FC Cajamarca
  • Feb 9, 26FC Cajamarca – Deportivo Garcilaso1-1

Season Statistics — 2026

Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca
Played2323
Goals Scored3033
Goals Conceded2142
Avg Scored1.31.4
Avg Conceded0.91.8
Clean Sheets90

Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca — Match Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso are strong favourites to win, with a 55% probability backed by a formidable home record (6W-2D-1L) and a superior defensive rating (67%). The main risk is their recent loss and occasional scoring droughts, but FC Cajamarca's poor defence and lack of clean sheets make an upset unlikely.

Deportivo Garcilaso are the clear favourites to win this Liga 1 encounter against FC Cajamarca, backed by strong home form and a superior defensive record.

Form Analysis: Deportivo Garcilaso have a 39% win rate overall and average 1.8 goals scored per game, while FC Cajamarca have only a 22% win rate and concede 1.6 goals per game. The home side also boast a formidable home record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss in 9 matches at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Key Factors: The home team's defence is a standout, rated at 67% in the API comparison, while the away side's defence is rated just 33%. Additionally, FC Cajamarca have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 matches, and Deportivo Garcilaso have the attacking firepower of top scorer L. da Silva (6 goals, 3 assists).

Conclusion: With a strong home advantage, superior defensive stats, and a clear edge in recent form, Deportivo Garcilaso are well-positioned to secure three points. FC Cajamarca's struggles on the road and defensive frailties make an upset unlikely.

Win Probabilities: Deportivo Garcilaso: 52% · Draw: 31% · FC Cajamarca: 17%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (12.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45% · BTTS: 50%

H2H: Deportivo Garcilaso wins: 0 · Draws: 1 · FC Cajamarca wins: 0

Form (latest first): Deportivo Garcilaso: WWDWW · FC Cajamarca: WLLWL

  • L. da Silva vs FC Cajamarca defence: The home side's top scorer will test a vulnerable backline that has kept no clean sheets recently.
  • H. Barcos vs Deportivo Garcilaso defence: The away team's main threat must overcome a defence rated 67% in the API comparison.
  • C. Olivares vs B. Palacios: Both creative midfielders will look to influence the game from the flanks.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Sep 120:00
FBC Melgar
12.9434%
X3.3330%
22.7836%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 418:00
Cienciano
14.1724%
X3.1332%
22.2744%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 420:15
UTC Cajamarca
11.9252%
X3.4529%
25.2619%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 520:00
Sport Boys
12.2744%
X3.3330%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 523:00
UCV Moquegua
11.3375%
X5.5618%
214.297%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Sep 601:30
Comerciantes Unidos
11.3972%
X5.0020%
212.508%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 616:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
11.3773%
X5.2619%
212.508%
Liga 1Peru
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sep 618:30
Atletico Grau
Early projection
11.5963%
X5.2619%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Sep 620:00
Alianza Lima
15.5618%
X3.3330%
21.9252%
Liga 1Peru
FBC Melgar
Sep 623:30
ADT
11.4768%
X4.5522%
210.0010%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Sep 1120:00
Juan Pablo II College
Early projection
15.8817%
X5.8817%
21.5266%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 1200:00
FBC Melgar
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sep 1215:30
FC Cajamarca
Early projection
12.3842%
X4.0025%
23.0333%
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Sep 1218:00
Sport Huancayo
Early projection
12.0848%
X4.1724%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Sep 1220:15
Sporting Cristal
Early projection
13.2331%
X4.0025%
22.2744%