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  1. Home
  2. Liga 1
  3. Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Result • Liga 1·Sporting Cristal·Deportivo Garcilaso

Liga 1
Liga 1
Jul 17, 2026
20:15
high Confidence
WINNER
Sporting Cristal

Sporting Cristal

Home
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Final Score
1-0
Predicted: 2-1
Odds
11.38
X4.40
28.30
Stadium
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
high Confidence
Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

Away
Odds
11.38
X4.40
28.30
Stadium
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Win Probabilities
63%
Sporting Cristal
26%
Draw
11%
Deportivo Garcilaso
Home1.3863%
Draw4.4026%
Away8.3011%

Oracle's Vision

high Confidence
“

Sporting Cristal are strong favourites to win, backed by a perfect head-to-head record (5 wins in 5) and home advantage. The main risk is Deportivo Garcilaso's excellent recent form, which could make the match tighter than expected.

Our AI model analyzes this Liga 1 fixture between Sporting Cristal and Deportivo Garcilaso using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Sporting Cristal a 63% win probability, a 26% chance of a draw, and Deportivo Garcilaso a 11% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1. Both teams to score probability: 55%. This prediction is rated as high confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 55%
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1Y. Yotún vs Deportivo Garcilaso midfield: Yotún's creativity and passing range will test the visitors' defensive shape.
2Felipe Vizeu vs Deportivo Garcilaso defence: Vizeu's movement and finishing will be key to breaking down a solid away backline.
3L. da Silva vs Sporting Cristal defence: The away side's main goal threat will need to overcome Cristal's home defensive record.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Sporting Cristal

  • Dominant head-to-head record
  • Strong home form
  • Inconsistent recent form
  • Defensive vulnerability (conceded 1.4 avg)

Deportivo Garcilaso

  • Excellent recent form (WDWWW)
  • Strong defensive record (0.8 conceded avg)
  • Poor head-to-head record vs Cristal
  • Away struggles

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
63%
API-Football
45%
54%
Sporting Cristal533611

Moderate agreement on home win (54%).

AI AnalysisHigh Confidence

Sporting Cristal are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 match against Deportivo Garcilaso, backed by strong historical dominance and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Despite a modest recent form (LWLDD), Sporting Cristal have lost only once in their last five and boast a solid home record (4W-2D-2L). Deportivo Garcilaso arrive in excellent form (WDWWW) with three wins in five, but their away struggles and poor head-to-head record against Cristal are major concerns.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history is overwhelmingly in Sporting Cristal's favour: they have won all five of the last meetings, with Deportivo Garcilaso failing to win any. Additionally, Cristal's home advantage at Estadio Alberto Gallardo is significant, while Garcilaso have failed to score in two of their last five games, indicating potential attacking issues.

Conclusion: The combination of dominant H2H record, home strength, and the visitors' historical inability to beat Cristal makes a home win the most likely outcome.

Statistical ContextSporting Cristal

Double chance : Sporting Cristal or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso
52%Strength47%
47%Attacking Potential53%
17%Defensive Potential83%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
93%H2H Strength7%
64%Goals H2H36%
52%Wins the Game47%

Statistical Context

Sporting Cristal

LWDWL
  • LAug 21, 26A · Alianza Atletico3-1
  • WAug 16, 26H · Sport Huancayo4-1
  • DAug 8, 26A · Universitario1-1
  • WAug 2, 26H · Juan Pablo II College2-0
  • LJul 30, 26A · RB Bragantino1-0

Deportivo Garcilaso

WDWWW
  • WAug 23, 26H · Cusco4-1
  • DAug 16, 26A · Cienciano0-0
  • WAug 9, 26H · UCV Moquegua2-0
  • WAug 2, 26A · ADT0-1
  • WJul 27, 26H · FC Cajamarca2-1

Standings

PosPGDPtsForm
1Deportivo Garcilaso6+613WDWWW
2Universitario6+413WWDLW
3Alianza Lima6+412DWDWD
4Sport Boys6+611WDDWW
5FBC Melgar6+411DWLDW
6Sporting Cristal6+310LWDWL
7Atletico Grau6+210WWDLL

Head to Head

5
Sporting Cristal
2
Draws
0
Deportivo Garcilaso
  • Feb 1, 26Deportivo Garcilaso – Sporting Cristal1-1
  • Oct 19, 25Deportivo Garcilaso – Sporting Cristal0-1
  • Jun 15, 25Sporting Cristal – Deportivo Garcilaso3-2
  • Sep 17, 24Sporting Cristal – Deportivo Garcilaso1-0
  • Apr 16, 24Deportivo Garcilaso – Sporting Cristal2-3

Season Statistics — 2026

Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso
Played2322
Goals Scored3826
Goals Conceded3720
Avg Scored1.61.2
Avg Conceded1.60.9
Clean Sheets49

Team Streaks — Last 10 Matches

Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso
Over 2.5 Goals5/10—
Both Teams Scored5/10—
Clean Sheets3/10—

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso — Match Analysis

Sporting Cristal are strong favourites to win, backed by a perfect head-to-head record (5 wins in 5) and home advantage. The main risk is Deportivo Garcilaso's excellent recent form, which could make the match tighter than expected.

Sporting Cristal are clear favourites to win this Liga 1 match against Deportivo Garcilaso, backed by strong historical dominance and home advantage.

Form Analysis: Despite a modest recent form (LWLDD), Sporting Cristal have lost only once in their last five and boast a solid home record (4W-2D-2L). Deportivo Garcilaso arrive in excellent form (WDWWW) with three wins in five, but their away struggles and poor head-to-head record against Cristal are major concerns.

Key Factors: Head-to-head history is overwhelmingly in Sporting Cristal's favour: they have won all five of the last meetings, with Deportivo Garcilaso failing to win any. Additionally, Cristal's home advantage at Estadio Alberto Gallardo is significant, while Garcilaso have failed to score in two of their last five games, indicating potential attacking issues.

Conclusion: The combination of dominant H2H record, home strength, and the visitors' historical inability to beat Cristal makes a home win the most likely outcome.

Win Probabilities: Sporting Cristal: 63% · Draw: 26% · Deportivo Garcilaso: 11%

Predicted Score: 2-1 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 65% · Under 2.5: 35% · BTTS: 55%

H2H: Sporting Cristal wins: 5 · Draws: 2 · Deportivo Garcilaso wins: 0

Form (latest first): Sporting Cristal: LWDWL · Deportivo Garcilaso: WDWWW

  • Y. Yotún vs Deportivo Garcilaso midfield: Yotún's creativity and passing range will test the visitors' defensive shape.
  • Felipe Vizeu vs Deportivo Garcilaso defence: Vizeu's movement and finishing will be key to breaking down a solid away backline.
  • L. da Silva vs Sporting Cristal defence: The away side's main goal threat will need to overcome Cristal's home defensive record.

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Liga 1

Liga 1

Peru15 · Upcoming Fixtures
Liga 1Peru
Comerciantes Unidos
Aug 2820:00
FC Cajamarca
11.9252%
X3.3330%
25.5618%
Liga 1Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Aug 2918:00
Juan Pablo II College
11.9252%
X4.0025%
24.3523%
Liga 1Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Aug 2920:30
Universitario
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Lima
Aug 3000:30
Deportivo Garcilaso
11.4768%
X4.3523%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
UCV Moquegua
Aug 3016:00
Alianza Atletico
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
ADT
Aug 3018:15
Sport Huancayo
12.5040%
X3.5728%
23.1332%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Boys
Aug 3020:30
Sporting Cristal
12.5040%
X3.1332%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Cienciano
Aug 3100:00
Cusco
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
Liga 1Peru
Atletico Grau
Aug 3120:00
FBC Melgar
13.5728%
X3.1332%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
FC Cajamarca
Sep 418:00
Cienciano
Early projection
12.5040%
X3.8526%
22.9434%
Liga 1Peru
Alianza Atletico
Sep 420:15
UTC Cajamarca
Early projection
11.3077%
X7.1414%
211.119%
Liga 1Peru
Sport Huancayo
Sep 520:00
Sport Boys
Early projection
13.0333%
X3.7027%
22.5040%
Liga 1Peru
Cusco
Sep 523:00
UCV Moquegua
Early projection
11.8953%
X4.7621%
23.8526%
Liga 1Peru
Universitario
Sep 601:30
Comerciantes Unidos
Early projection
11.6959%
X5.0020%
24.7621%
Liga 1Peru
Sporting Cristal
Sep 616:00
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Early projection
11.7956%
X4.7621%
24.3523%