Based on the data, FBC Melgar is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win, aligning with the API-Football model's prediction of FBC Melgar as the winner and its double chance advice, while staying close to the market probabilities.
Form Analysis: Both teams have poor recent form: FBC Melgar has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches (LDDLL), with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. UTC Cajamarca has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses (LDLWL), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. UTC Cajamarca failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating offensive struggles.
Key Factors: The API-Football comparison shows FBC Melgar with a 93% H2H strength advantage over UTC Cajamarca's 7%, based on historical meetings. FBC Melgar has a home advantage rating of 0.55, which supports their chances. No significant injuries are reported for either team, minimizing disruption.
Conclusion: The data suggests FBC Melgar is more likely to win or draw, supported by strong H2H dominance and home advantage, despite similar market odds. The probabilities are calibrated to reflect this while adhering to market constraints.
