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  1. Home
  2. Ekstraklasa
  3. Cracovia Krakow vs Arka Gdynia

Cracovia Krakow vs Arka Gdynia

Result • Ekstraklasa·Cracovia Krakow·Arka Gdynia

Ekstraklasa
Ekstraklasa
Apr 12, 2026
10:15
medium Confidence
DRAW
Cracovia Krakow

Cracovia Krakow

Home
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-0
Final Score
2-2
Predicted: 1-0
Odds
12.00
X3.10
23.60
Stadium
Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium
medium Confidence
DRAW
Arka Gdynia

Arka Gdynia

Away
Odds
12.00
X3.10
23.60
Stadium
Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium
Win Probabilities
45%
Cracovia Krakow
33%
Draw
22%
Arka Gdynia
Home2.0045%
Draw3.1033%
Away3.6022%

Oracle's Vision

medium Confidence
“

The Oracle sees shadows of past victories favoring the home side, yet whispers of resilience from the visitors. Ancient wisdom reveals a tight contest where defensive walls may hold sway.

Our AI model analyzes this Ekstraklasa fixture between Cracovia Krakow and Arka Gdynia using historical performance data, current form, head-to-head records, and tactical indicators. The model assigns Cracovia Krakow a 45% win probability, a 33% chance of a draw, and Arka Gdynia a 22% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0. Both teams to score probability: 40%. This prediction is rated as medium confidence based on the quality and consistency of available data points.

BTTS: 40%

Match Events

  1. Goal: G. CharpentierAssist: A. Al Ammari
    24'
    Goal: G. CharpentierCracovia Krakow · Assist: A. Al Ammari
  2. 29'
    Goal: O. KubiakArka Gdynia · Assist: S. Kerk
    Goal: O. KubiakAssist: S. Kerk
  3. Substitution: M. PraszelikOut: G. Charpentier
    46'
    Substitution: M. PraszelikCracovia Krakow · Out: G. Charpentier
  4. 48'
    Goal: V. GutkovskisArka Gdynia · Assist: D. Gojny
    Goal: V. GutkovskisAssist: D. Gojny
  5. Goal: M. PerkovicAssist: A. Hasic
    54'
    Goal: M. PerkovicCracovia Krakow · Assist: A. Hasic
  6. 61'
    Substitution: P. SzyszArka Gdynia · Out: D. Kocyla
    Substitution: P. SzyszOut: D. Kocyla
  7. Substitution: M. DominguezOut: D. Kameri
    62'
    Substitution: M. DominguezCracovia Krakow · Out: D. Kameri
  8. 72'
    Substitution: L. PereaArka Gdynia · Out: A. Nguiamba
    Substitution: L. PereaOut: A. Nguiamba
  9. 73'
    Substitution: N. RusynArka Gdynia · Out: O. Kubiak
    Substitution: N. RusynOut: O. Kubiak
  10. Yellow Card: A. Al Ammari
    74'
    Yellow Card: A. Al AmmariCracovia Krakow
  11. Substitution: M. TabiszOut: P. Sans
    81'
    Substitution: M. TabiszCracovia Krakow · Out: P. Sans
  12. Substitution: B. TraoreOut: M. Perkovic
    82'
    Substitution: B. TraoreCracovia Krakow · Out: M. Perkovic
  13. 82'
    Substitution: E. D. Espiau HernandezArka Gdynia · Out: V. Gutkovskis
    Substitution: E. D. Espiau HernandezOut: V. Gutkovskis
  14. 82'
    Substitution: M. RzuchowskiArka Gdynia · Out: K. Jakubczyk
    Substitution: M. RzuchowskiOut: K. Jakubczyk
Share Prediction

AI Analysis & Prediction Review

Analysis & Key Battles

AI Powered
Key Player Battles
1F. Stojilković vs Arka Gdynia defense: Cracovia's top scorer will be crucial in breaking down Arka's defense, which has shown vulnerability with 1.4 goals conceded per game.
2Edu Espiau vs Cracovia Krakow defense: Arka's leading attacker faces a Cracovia defense that has conceded 1.8 goals per game, offering opportunities for breakthroughs.
3Midfield battle in 4-2-3-1 setups: Both teams' midfield duels will be key in controlling possession and creating chances, given similar formations and tactical approaches.
Strengths · Weaknesses

Cracovia Krakow

  • Head-to-head advantage with 3 wins in last 5 meetings
  • Higher league position and better goal difference
  • Poor recent form (LWLLL) and low scoring average (0.8 goals per game)
  • Defensive vulnerability, conceding 1.8 goals per game on average

Arka Gdynia

  • Better recent form (WLDWL) and higher form rating (70%)
  • More consistent scoring with 1.4 goals per game on average
  • Poor league standing (17th place) and significant negative goal difference (-17)
  • Head-to-head disadvantage with only 1 win in last 5 meetings

Combined Analysis

Medium Agreement
Betora AI
45%
API-Football
45%
45%
Cracovia Krakow453916

Moderate agreement on home win (45%).

AI AnalysisMedium Confidence

Based on the data, Cracovia Krakow is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win, aligning closely with market probabilities and API-Football model predictions.

Form Analysis: Cracovia Krakow has poor recent form (LWLLL, 30% form rating), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, with 1 clean sheet in the last 5 matches. Arka Gdynia shows better form (WLDWL, 70% form rating), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with 2 clean sheets. However, both teams have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating offensive inconsistency.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head history favors Cracovia Krakow with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 2) Standings context shows Cracovia Krakow in 11th place with 36 points and a neutral goal difference, while Arka Gdynia is 17th with 33 points and a -17 goal difference, suggesting Cracovia has a slight overall advantage. 3) No significant injuries or suspensions reported for either team, minimizing disruption.

Conclusion: The data supports Cracovia Krakow as the favorite, with probabilities adjusted slightly from market values due to form and H2H factors, but within allowed deviations. A draw is also plausible given balanced odds and defensive records.

Statistical ContextCracovia Krakow

Double chance : Cracovia Krakow or draw

Team Comparison

AI Powered
Cracovia KrakowArka Gdynia
56%Strength44%
36%Attacking Potential64%
44%Defensive Potential56%
50%Poisson Distribution50%
71%H2H Strength29%
73%Goals H2H27%
56%Wins the Game44%
Head-to-head →Injuries · Cracovia KrakowInjuries · Arka GdyniaLive scores →

Statistical Context

Cracovia Krakow

LLLWW
  • LSep 13, 26A · Wisla Plock3-1
  • LSep 6, 26H · Gornik Zabrze0-1
  • LAug 29, 26A · Radomiak Radom2-1
  • WAug 21, 26H · Wieczysta Kraków3-2
  • WAug 16, 26H · Raków Częstochowa2-1

Arka Gdynia

LLDDL
  • LMay 23, 26A · Raków Częstochowa3-0
  • LMay 18, 26H · Nieciecza2-3
  • DMay 13, 26H · Gornik Zabrze0-0
  • DMay 8, 26A · Lech Poznan1-1
  • LApr 27, 26A · Piast Gliwice4-1

Head to Head

3
Cracovia Krakow
1
Draws
1
Arka Gdynia
  • Oct 4, 25Arka Gdynia – Cracovia Krakow2-1
  • Feb 7, 20Arka Gdynia – Cracovia Krakow0-1
  • Aug 24, 19Cracovia Krakow – Arka Gdynia3-1
  • Dec 10, 18Arka Gdynia – Cracovia Krakow0-3
  • Aug 6, 18Cracovia Krakow – Arka Gdynia0-0

Season Statistics — 2026 · 2025

Cracovia KrakowArka Gdynia
Played833
Goals Scored734
Goals Conceded1158
Avg Scored0.91.0
Avg Conceded1.41.8
Clean Sheets27

Cracovia Krakow vs Arka Gdynia — Match Analysis

The Oracle sees shadows of past victories favoring the home side, yet whispers of resilience from the visitors. Ancient wisdom reveals a tight contest where defensive walls may hold sway.

Based on the data, Cracovia Krakow is predicted to win or draw, with a slight edge for a home win, aligning closely with market probabilities and API-Football model predictions.

Form Analysis: Cracovia Krakow has poor recent form (LWLLL, 30% form rating), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, with 1 clean sheet in the last 5 matches. Arka Gdynia shows better form (WLDWL, 70% form rating), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with 2 clean sheets. However, both teams have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 games, indicating offensive inconsistency.

Key Factors: 1) Head-to-head history favors Cracovia Krakow with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings, giving them a psychological edge. 2) Standings context shows Cracovia Krakow in 11th place with 36 points and a neutral goal difference, while Arka Gdynia is 17th with 33 points and a -17 goal difference, suggesting Cracovia has a slight overall advantage. 3) No significant injuries or suspensions reported for either team, minimizing disruption.

Conclusion: The data supports Cracovia Krakow as the favorite, with probabilities adjusted slightly from market values due to form and H2H factors, but within allowed deviations. A draw is also plausible given balanced odds and defensive records.

Win Probabilities: Cracovia Krakow: 45% · Draw: 33% · Arka Gdynia: 22%

Predicted Score: 1-0 (15.0% chance)

Over 2.5: 35% · Under 2.5: 65% · BTTS: 40%

H2H: Cracovia Krakow wins: 3 · Draws: 1 · Arka Gdynia wins: 1

Form (latest first): Cracovia Krakow: LLLWW · Arka Gdynia: LLDDL

  • F. Stojilković vs Arka Gdynia defense: Cracovia's top scorer will be crucial in breaking down Arka's defense, which has shown vulnerability with 1.4 goals conceded per game.
  • Edu Espiau vs Cracovia Krakow defense: Arka's leading attacker faces a Cracovia defense that has conceded 1.8 goals per game, offering opportunities for breakthroughs.
  • Midfield battle in 4-2-3-1 setups: Both teams' midfield duels will be key in controlling possession and creating chances, given similar formations and tactical approaches.

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Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa

Poland15 · Upcoming Fixtures
EkstraklasaPoland
Widzew Łódź
Sep 1816:00
Wieczysta Kraków
11.9252%
X3.7027%
24.7621%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wisla Krakow
Sep 1818:30
Slask Wroclaw
11.8953%
X4.0025%
24.5522%
EkstraklasaPoland
Korona Kielce
Sep 1912:45
Raków Częstochowa
12.3842%
X3.4529%
23.4529%
EkstraklasaPoland
GKS Katowice
Sep 1915:30
Cracovia Krakow
12.3842%
X3.3330%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Motor Lublin
Sep 1918:15
Gornik Zabrze
13.4529%
X3.5728%
22.3343%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Sep 2010:15
Pogon Szczecin
12.5639%
X3.5728%
23.0333%
EkstraklasaPoland
Zaglebie Lubin
Sep 2012:45
Wisla Plock
12.4441%
X3.2331%
23.5728%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Sep 2015:30
Legia Warszawa
13.2331%
X3.4529%
22.5040%
EkstraklasaPoland
Lech Poznan
Sep 2018:15
Radomiak Radom
11.4569%
X5.0020%
29.0911%
EkstraklasaPoland
Wieczysta Kraków
Oct 916:00
Wisla Plock
Early projection
12.2744%
X4.0025%
23.2331%
EkstraklasaPoland
Raków Częstochowa
Oct 918:30
GKS Katowice
Early projection
17.1414%
X6.2516%
21.4370%
EkstraklasaPoland
Cracovia Krakow
Oct 1012:45
Zaglebie Lubin
Early projection
12.7836%
X3.5728%
22.7836%
EkstraklasaPoland
Slask Wroclaw
Oct 1015:30
Lech Poznan
Early projection
18.3312%
X6.6715%
21.3773%
EkstraklasaPoland
Jagiellonia
Oct 1018:15
Gornik Zabrze
Early projection
12.8635%
X3.5728%
22.7037%
EkstraklasaPoland
Piast Gliwice
Oct 1112:45
Widzew Łódź
Early projection
11.7258%
X5.0020%
24.5522%

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